457 karma · joined July 20, 2018
The complete answer of the universe would of course be 42cm.
Although I think it really depends on how you structure your program.
Nobody really thinks that AI is useless anymore. We disagree on timelines, we disagree on how useful it will be, but the extremes are not between useful and useless (although some people believe it will not change anything, but pretty fringe). The real extremes here are "evil god AGI" and "benevolent god AGI". This piece takes the road where they say: it's pretty powerful/useful, but it's not a godlike something because it's not everywhere, all the time, at once. It will change the world, but over a pretty long timespan and it will feel like normal technology. It will be used for evil and good.
But. The next day after a nice rest I actually started to see that many things are actually very special and beautiful but our upbringing has destroyed the ability to experience this beauty. Society has teached us that rotten things are ugly. But that is just a layer on your perception. The materiality of things has their intention embedded in them and if their intention is of great beauty, then the materiality tends to be beautiful as well.
What I am trying to say is that first order dismissal of "deep insights" might not be warranted. You might have really had a deep insight, but you cannot correctly assess it because the setting has changed.
1) all work gets done by AI. Owners of AI reap the benefits for a while. There is a race to the bottom concerning costs, but also because people are not earning wages and come ang really afford the outputs of production. Thus rendering profits close to zero. If the people controlling the systems do not give the people "on the bottom" some kind allowance they will not have any chance for income. They might ask horrible and sadistic things from the bottom people but they will need to do something.
2) if people get pushed into these situations they will get riot or start civil wars. "Butlerian jihads" will be quite normal.
3) another scenario is that the society controlled by the rich will start to criminalise non-work in the early stages, that will lead to a new slave class. I find this scenario highly likely.
4) one of the options that I find very likely if "useless" people do NOT get "culled" en mass is an initial period of Revolt followed an AI controlled communist "Utopia". Where people do not need to work but "own" the means of production (AI workers). Nobody needs to work. Work is LARPing and is done by people who act like workers but don't really do anything (like some people do today) A lot of people don't do this, there are still people who see non-workers as leeching of the workers, because workers are "rewarded" by ingame mechanics (having a "better job"). Parallel societies will become normal. Just like now. Rich people will give themselves "better jobs" some people dont play the game and there are no real consequences, but not being allowed to play.
5) an amalgamation of the scenario as above, but in this scenario everybody will be forced to larp with the asset owning class. They will give people "jobs" but these jobs are bullshit. Just like many jobs right now. Jobs are just a way of creating different social classes. There is no meritocracy. Just rituals. Some people get to do certain rituals that give them more social status and wealth. This is based on oligarch whims. Once in a while a revolt, but mostly not needed.
Many other scenarios exist of course.
Seeing Sweden seize suspected sea sabotage ships.