1,006 karma · joined January 5, 2013
applied math.
uchicago '12
some of the cars that i've seen have EV equivalents that are so significantly more costly that the gas savings only start to work out at around 1.25-2x the average driving distance of a personal vehicle owner. it makes no sense for example for me to replace my glc300 with a eqc. and if you don't drive at least 10k miles/yr, the kona electric is more expensive than the kona ice.
a lot of discussions revolve around downgrading from an expensive ice to a cheap ev to make the cost work but that seems a bit disingenuous. of course getting a cheaper car is cheaper. when we do like-for-like, a lot of the advantages disappear.
i know i am not an average user but that's like a month of driving for me.
right now i live a block down from a grocery store and a grocery run is 15 minutes tops.
because grocery shopping was such a hassle in the suburbs we did it once a week and tried to buy as much as possible to avoid going back. in the city i just grab whatever is on my list walking home from the train station.
never games that i'm not familiar with. it seems downright unfair to the person who is half-way through it.
i have seen my friends who've mostly played J-RPGs try to jump into a coop Gears of War at a party and it wasn't good at all, in fact, it was extremely embarrassing.
a lot of games today are "story games", even if there isn't a fixed story, there is some progression and different parts of the game open up at different times and result in different emergent gameplay. even something sandbox, toy-like like cities skyline and minecraft has a progression.
i am reminded of gta V, which i thought had a really good story, where the game jumps you into a bank heist in the first scene of the game, it was a huge scenario with lots of set pieces, a lot of mechanics are introduced right away, it's pretty intense, and thwarts the RPG baby-crab-killing trope, thank goodness.
games as toys, like pong i guess, where you begin the game immediately having access to every single feature of the game, still exist - apex legends, cs go, rocket league. but you still won't be able to jump into it at a decent competitive level right away. in most popular competitive FPS games, you will be rocked for a good first 20-50 hours of gameplay until you build understanding.
w.r.t to what nolan means when he has to go through an hour of things before he can start playing the real game, sadly that's a historical era. games today have so much more features, so much more complications, a mix of meta thinking, hand-eye coordination, and mechanical practice that it's hard to simply jump into a game and be comfortable right away. a lot of games today need some amount of practice, whether 10 minutes, 10 hours or 10 months.
but then again, i wouldn't put it past elon to do all the things that the SEC explicitly tells people not to do.
every other method of selection, e.g. structured interviews, work samples, etc, are (noisier) proxies of general mental ability.
95% of your value as a "data scientist" is figuring out how to squeeze diamonds from tons and tons of steaming piles of sh*t, and that kind of work is basically just filtering, collating, collecting, organizing from disparate data sets with different fields, data types, formats, some of them with varying degrees of accuracy. it's not fun, but very few other people are doing it, and the result is valuable to a lot of people, so it pays well.
i mean, i can imagine large swathes of human habitation where society is organized around deadly force. literally one country exists right at the border, where cartels manage the economy.
the only analogy i can cook up is that - imagine if formally, everyone wrote English in German, but when you speak you speak English, and when you read English you'd see German words and sentence structures but you will preprocess it into English before understanding it. and with different levels of formality, would You with underschiedenly Germandegrees speak English. but in no case would you speak German.
All that you mentioned looks like features to me, not bugs.
I, too, live in a country with high quality transit and also got a car when i had a family and i could afford a car.
i have about 1400 km per year on it. having a car and driving it are two different things.
offsets and indirects also exist in that twilight zone being volatile functions.
these three combined can bring down a reasonably sized spreadsheet.
the more "failed tests" in production, the safer aviation becomes.
we give thanks to those who have fallen (literally, out of the sky).
additionally, the lenders to revlon took on both an expectation on money in the future and a non-zero default probability. maybe you can say it is fine for money in the future to be money in the present, making the layman assumption that the carry mechanism exists every single day from the date of accidental payment to the date of actual payment, but the lenders cannot also give up the non-zero default probability. that's their obligation in return for full future payment. but since payment and the obligation are inseparable, i personally see no difference between early payment with no obligation and shylock's taking of a pound of flesh and all the blood along with it.
if you think about money as a commodity, to be consumed, transformed, redeployed, similar to let's say... corn. what would you do, as a grain processor, if your supplier decided to show up with 500k bushels six months too early?
we don't need personal trust because there is systems trust.
japan is a high personal trust system that obviates the need for high systems trust. insolvency proceedings in japan for example rely on private proceedings, social and familial relationships, instead of formal remediation. without the need for high systems trust, there is a virtually non-existent (high-yield) credit market, because companies don't "fail" in japan in the way we traditionally think of credit failures, and the outcomes of a credit event is non-standard and very difficult to predict. furthermore, if you are an outsider to the personal trust system, it is very difficult to fully participate in society.