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prostoalex

125,988 karma · joined July 3, 2007

Engineer in Southern California.
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prostoalex··on Robinhood cuts losses after transaction revenue drops
If the goal is to have your portfolio on autopilot with index funds, Fidelity’s zero-cost FZROX, FZIPX, FBILX and FZILX are only available through Fidelity itself.
prostoalex··on Young adults in L.A. to get $1k a month under new guaranteed income program
Yeah, the current markup still is

<title>L.A. basic income program to give young adults $1,000 a month - Los Angeles Times</title>

prostoalex··on One of the Hottest Trends in the World of Investing Is a Sham
Give companies a score to gamify, but then act surprised when it's gamified https://dilbert.com/strip/2022-09-19
prostoalex··on Looming natural gas shortages has the EU scrambling for solutions
If only somebody foresaw this

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-eu-summit-idUSBREA2P0...

https://www.pbs.org/newshour/world/trump-scolded-germany-for...

prostoalex··on Love Song to Costco
> what can we all do to make it desirable for people to want to be in their homes?

Great book on the subject is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Why_Nations_Fail It explores precisely this phenomenon - why certain places that have geographic proximity (Dominican Republic and Haiti, Nogales AZ and Nogales Sonora) drifted so far away from one another economically, why some places with vast natural resources (Nigeria) are undesirable while some other countries with limited natural resources (Japan, Singapore) are economic successes.

prostoalex··on TerraUSD crash led to vanished savings, shattered dreams
It's frequently touted as such, but don't you generally need some supply-demand parity across the borders?

E.g., there's likely high demand for USDT to move money out of Russia, given the currency control and Visa/MC restrictions. But if you're currently in Russia sitting on a massive pile of USDT, you probably don't want a massive ruble exposure either, and hodl'ing that USDT seems like a fairly solid strategy for the time-being?

prostoalex··on TerraUSD crash led to vanished savings, shattered dreams
Not saying the strategy outperforms, but he should be aware that there are ETFs now covering the covered-call strategy - XYLD, RYLD, QYLD - which automate most of that at reasonable cost.
prostoalex··on Questions candidates can ask about equity compensation
The book I’ve seen recommended is “Consider your options” https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/1635049.Consider_Your_Op...
prostoalex··on Quitting Twitter? What People Say About Life After Social Media
> Seeing people frame not using a website

Most likely the sentiment is about app. A Web site doesn’t send notifications to drag you back in.

Switching from app to a web site exclusively on desktop would probably go a long way for many.

prostoalex··on Sheryl Sandberg stepping down as Facebook COO
> The metaverse is a real idea yes - but strapping a phone to your face and walking through your coffee table isn’t it.

We should not confuse the technology with the use case. Once you are the standard-bearer on technology, any future use case is something you can easily piggyback and dominate.

E.g. early versions of iPhone did not support NFC payments, while some competitor models did. Nevertheless, Apple Pay is fairly dominant.

prostoalex··on A world grain shortage puts tens of millions at risk
As well as mines.
prostoalex··on The Decade of Cheap Rides Is Over
With recent subway shooting in NYC and homeless attacks fairly commonplace in LA https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2022-05-11/metro-ra... I'd venture a lack of luxury is not what's keeping people away.
prostoalex··on The Biggest Potential Water Disaster in the United States
Returning to the atmosphere is not really sustainable, is it? Sure, it enables a rainfall at some point, but not necessarily at the time and the place you need it next year.
prostoalex··on Robinhood aims to court users with 1% interest rate on cash
Principal risk, though.
prostoalex··on UST Stablecoin Loses Dollar Peg
Who is on the other side of transaction? Isn’t it some other [equivalently vulnerable if things don’t go their way] people?
prostoalex··on Hedonism is overrated – to make the best of life there must be pain
In the book "Stoic Challenge" William Irvine explores the concept of deliberate abstinence that many stoics submitted themselves to.

If you ate ice cream every day, then very soon your taste buds would grow accustomed to it, craving newer flavors. If you ate ice cream twice a year, you would experience a major taste sensation.

The purpose of abstinence is to keep those sensation events (and the joy derived from them) at high level.

prostoalex··on Homes in 97% of U.S. cities are overvalued, Moody's says
> If I am not mistaken 30% of buyers are cash buyers, hence they do not care about the mortgage rate.

Not necessarily. For anyone who's been working at FAANG and amassed certain amount of financial independence, the advice generally ran along the following scenario:

1) Secure a pledged-asset loan against your stock portfolio. That reduces the need to sell anything and trigger capital gains.

2) Shop around for real estate and submit a cash based offer to signal that you can close quickly.

3) Finalize the transaction.

4) Shop around cashout refi loans with fixed rates. Refi. Cashout. Repay the asset-backed loan.

If those 30% who are cash buyers kept their cash locked up in their houses, you wouldn't see household mortgage debt (that includes refi) skyrocket https://www.emarketer.com/newsroom/index.php/us-mortgage-deb...

prostoalex··on Why is every consumer startup selling me what I already own for 10x the price?
> He complains about a direct-to-consumer underwear brand costing 10x as much as fruit of the loom. This isn't any different from Ralph Lauren, or Calvin Klein, or any of the legacy players in the segment.

I mean, sure, but

1) Warby Parker glasses are generally cheaper than equivalent Prada frames. They might be more expensive than their online competition (Zenni, GlassesUSA), but the price advantage is unbeatable compared to optometrist's display case.

2) Harry's handles and razors are cheaper than equivalent Gilette's. Both brand now have online and offline presence (Harry's started exclusively online), but once again, it was hard to pass up on the price alone.

prostoalex··on USPS sued by states and environmental groups over purchase of 8.6 mpg trucks
Is that possible? I thought the whole reason they're not plain old federal employees is this setup where USPS is chartered as an independent entity? Do they even have a general fund?
prostoalex··on USPS sued by states and environmental groups over purchase of 8.6 mpg trucks
It's possible to be run like a business but still have a mandate through a government regulatory body. Hospitals and utilities are examples private businesses that operate in a regulated environment.

Narrowing down the USPS debate to "operate" vs "not operate" is a false dichotomy. For example, how critical is 6-day delivery schedule to the least populated areas? Would a 5-day schedule work out reasonably well?

prostoalex··on USPS sued by states and environmental groups over purchase of 8.6 mpg trucks
> Congress and Biden recently fixed the prepay pension handcuffs initially intended to hold the USPS down from investment in their infra.

I don't really have a horse in this game, but what's the playbook now for the scenario when the pension fund under-performs, and USPS is on the hook to make up the difference?

prostoalex··on Georgia to mandate personal finance education
I’ve had something similar to this in high school. We learned the basics of checking and savings accounts, how to write checks and what those funky numbers on the slip meant, how to balance checkbooks (kinda dating myself here), what credit cards are, how mortgages work, how to prepare for a car loan, what impacts credit history, various surprise fees one can accrue (such as using out of network ATMs, or using credit cards for a cash advance).

Around April someone’s accountant dad taught us to fill in 1040EZ. A manager of a local bank branch explained how CDs worked.

For something taught once a week a semester seemed like the right amount, but it was definitely low-key low-intensity class.

prostoalex··on Stock Market Crash: Expert Warns of 80% Drop Following Melt-Up
If you're an expert, would you

a) borrow as much as you can load up on short positions to benefit from subsequent crash (e.g., Michael Burry, John Paulson)

or

b) write a Business Insider article?

prostoalex··on A downtick is coming for online advertising
I don’t think there One True Way to Release New Episodes that’s applicable for 100% of the cases.

Some shows worked better with entire season released at once, some didn’t. Streaming services will probably dabble with both.

prostoalex··on Ask HN: Shouldn't we be turning an eye to power consumption?
Shouldn't we be turning an eye to power generation?

From infrastructure perspective, rather than chase millions of consumption endpoints, it's just more efficient to replace polluting generating facilities with nuclear, wind, solar, or even newer gas-burning plants with carbon capture.

prostoalex··on Missing wheat from the war is less than 1% of global wheat crop
> and farmers in other countries (India, USA) already are planting more to make up for it

Are they? Fertilizer prices are up 3x-5x, depending on where you look, due to Russian export restrictions, so for many farmers it's cheaper to wait it out and give the soil a rest.

Planting reports have only started trickling in, so we don't have a good global view of what has been planted in spring 2022.

prostoalex··on Ask HN: How to Listen to Questions?
Try to rephrase their question to them to ensure you understand it.

I think I've heard Scott Adams describe the practice on a podcast, the first step to understanding your opponent is to ask them to summarize what they think you both disagree on.

prostoalex··on 45% of Gen Z and millennials don’t see the point of saving for the future
On the other hand, 55% do.

But with savings accounts yielding sub-1%, I understand the hesitation.

prostoalex··on India considers buying discounted Russian oil, commodities
Discount from today's prices is basically normal price from 30 days ago.
prostoalex··on India considers buying discounted Russian oil, commodities
US produces mainly WTI but refineries are set up to process mainly Brent.
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