1,037 karma · joined September 4, 2019
I mean, the premise is "who's going to get wiped[...]?", but the harder question is why would they? And that answer is not trivial because these companies are actually generating money and are competitive. The people and investors running these companies and investing are also not just standing still.
I think one can assume these companies are all a massive scam, but having used LLMs in my day to day every day from the very same companies this article talks about, I don't feel so. I only see the integration of intelligence becoming deeper, and even if cheaper per unit(token), many more tokens will be required. Productivity unlocked is further unlocking business and social opportunities we are only now exploring and getting to know. In the very essence it is very easy to see how this will turn out badly: after all a collapse passes all the known floors on the way down, but we have no idea where we are going up with this technology. I don't buy the comparison with the dotcom bubble because it is very easily falsified by simple metrics as the profitability of these technologies in the present. In the dotcom companies were not profitable, and many other counter examples disprove the comparison applicability. I will not even comment on the comparison with the subprime loans which were related to real estate, which has very little unknown upside.
Anyway, have some faith people this is hacker news, and with LLMs I never was able to do so much cool tinkering in my whole life. I have custom modifications on my gnome shell, I have privately developed file servers, I have automations that make use of my rooted TV, I have a prototype web page to help my folk's small business. I am able to support and learn from the LLM about topics that would be too expensive to get input from. For example with a calibrated microphone the LLM generated the custom equalized bands for my type of amplituner. It looked at a picture of my living room and suggested moving certain furniture like the curtains and measure it. With LLMs I was able to take pictures of nice rugs in the internet and visualize them in my living room before actually buying to great effect. So many possibilities... Focusing on the known unknowns is the easy part, let us have our imaginations run wild and let the whimsical hacker spirit return.
I get the pain, but the answer from Scott Redig totally makes sense. I am not sure what is worse: Libraries swallowing cancelled() or libraries lying that they support cancelled.
The idea of it being a pain killer for birth but requiring a vibrator is interesting, because I don’t think any culture developed clitoris stimulation as a child birth helper. If it did help I would expect it to change birth outcomes and thus being a source of positive selection.
The only thing that bothered me is that gender affirming is in fact an amputation, because they gave their clitorises to science. It even took me a while to understand what the term “gender affirming surgery” meant.
There are 3 options in order of effort: eat the next snack from a pack in your hand, decide and stop eating the cookie that is in the pack; get another pack to continue eating.
It requires more effort to get another pack and that biases towards the “stop eating” outcome. If packages are large the the easiest action is continue eating.
I think the pattern In these posts is that they are looking for models that are explainable and have the potential for low latency, like the kann fpga project. While more general and opaque classifiers possibly work they are unlikely to work at the speed and risk constraint required to make money.
I apologise if I completely missed the point, it is not my field at all.
Given Spain’s history it is incredible that the gold collected over centuries was spent in a few years.
The wiki article is very carefully tip toeing that there is no evidence that the Soviets defrauded or abused the Spanish, but it is hard to believe that 72% of the world’s gold reserves were visibly spent in a few years.
I did not investigate further but I understood the documents are not completely public, and my conspiracy hat tells me that is because it is a national humiliation.
The same way programmers gave power to AI as a tool, so they could be more powerful in effecting automation, politicians that do not give up power to AI will be at a disadvantage to those who use AI to achieve more complex and effective power. The only problem might be the despot no longer shares power with those pesky humans but with a god in a machine, which in theory is in a box and does not have conflicting interests with the despot.
As today is Sunday, God help us.
So if I am exhausted of a run and cannot rest or sleep, it is almost sure I get sick soon after. Just my experience.
I got sick so often it limited a lot my general life: I stopped practicing sports regularly and started being very careful with sleep(sleep deprivation likely increased the chance of infection), because I knew if I did not lead a perfectly balanced lifestyle I would get sick. I am quite upset I stopped running 15km per week, even with snow. I never fully went back to it, due to fear of getting sick, and having to take care of toddlers while being feverish or nauseated.
In those years I think I was not disease free more than 3 months at a time. In a year where many people decide to not have children, it does not help the cause of having children seeing other parents suffer so much, in those early years. I have non parent friends that get sick after meeting us, resenting meeting us and asking if we are sick, because they spent all the night in the bathroom or with fever. Fortunately it feels we are already immune because we are not sick very often anymore.
I would say that word is so offensive that it forced me to think whether I am a fascist for wanting it to be toned down, just like the CCP. Articles like this are a good check on personal beliefs. From that point of view the article is really well written.
For example mixed income housing is really nice for “us” that have been in generational poverty. For “them” it is just living with signals of alcohol abuse, domestic abuse and more. All while their children get a good front seat into “empowerment”.
With sarcasm over, details matter, complexity matters, social assistance matters, a contingency plan for total failure to rehabilitate some people matters.
Many people would benefit from the Northern European style of institutionalisation where if incarcerated people would need to go to isolated communities and learn to buy groceries, cook a meal take care of personal hygiene (in Sweden they literally have prison islands where inmates have houses and must live as they would in the outside world. Then progressively move to temporary shelters to get their footing and then be released. If need be put those people in the countryside.
As a personal experience: Many German youths get sent to the middle of Portugal when their environment leads them astray. In the countryside there is a publicly funded host family or community to receive them and they have to learn trade jobs like being a painter or a plumber and get pushed into an normalised environment. There is no access to drugs as well in the middle of nowhere. There is alcohol but in the next morning there is work to do and people who are waiting for you. I met some of those youths when I was young and it always struck me that a good solution for failed communities in urban environments was to break them apart and scatter them into other more rural communities in such small units (family at most) that their habits would not impact the locals and that the habits could not be fulfilled as a matter of fact. Where are you going to hang out at night in a village of 1k? There is housing but you likely need to repair it; the locals will lend you a hand but they will exert peer pressure for you to normalise.
There is no need for class warfare. But there needs to be a warfare against antisocial self destruction behaviours.
It would be a bad show to have SP500 (cheating rules) underperfoming SP500(proven rules). It would also be a bad show with many financiers and even influencers calling out the corruption.
I for one would be advising newer investments in the proven rules ETF trackers. I also think there might be lawsuits from people who had contracts tied to the old rules. After all if you need to sell to transfer to another vehicle there might be tax consequences.
PS: It is a shame that multiple classes of, non floating, controlling stock do not cause penalties in terms of market cap weight. I will research the issue. I know an ETF is not an index, but the relationship is tight enough for practical reasons.
Yes, I share the sentiment of dread don’t get me wrong. But this also has happened before, and it gave us communism. There are people that said it was ok to live in those times. I guess if the state actually delivered the necessities for people to survive as opposed to how it happened historically, I think many people would be fine with that status quo. Not all but perhaps the majority. I think it is worth seeing a shitty way out than a despairing wall…lol this came out more desperate than i thought.
> it is not about "open weights" or "free tokens". you can not eat tokesn, nor weights. it is about "food on the table".
The idea is that anyone will be able to use these new means of production to answer more demanding tasks that would not be possible to fulfil without the llms. If we are all hopelessly automated though, yeah, we will either be living in a slum or in a utopia.
Given history and my trusty Hobbes social contract I believe society will come up with a way to not predate on each other.
Even taxing might be enough to tilt the scale in favour of labor. If whole countries have their socio-economic fabric damaged because the means of production are locked elsewhere this constitutes a sovereignty issue and it will be dealt with.
The Industrial Revolution had the same pains, and it took a few centuries to get societies where we are today.
Power generation is also instrumental to almost all labor produced today, and thus utilities were born.
I think the pope is right and the AI bros are wrong. I am currently rooting for the open weights to give the power back to the people. For teachers and artists to work for their neighbourhoods and communities.
I have a performance problem and went down the path of optimising part of a pipeline that when benchmarked was not the bottleneck, even if it looked plausible for me and the llm. When I asked it to make a final benchmark for documentation I found most of the work I did improved 30% while another path would have improved a magnitude more.
Thankfully iteration is now faster than ever and given how fast it creates tests, previous tests created for the aborted optimisation were helpful.
It really releases the stress slightly to call bugs, buggas and generally role play a humorous setting than a purely tech me. I think I will make it speak out loud just to have a laugh at cavemen speak about default arguments in a method.
> I didn’t find bugga but others from tribe will scratch head. Leave comment.
> You clever. Fix it.
I predict caveman speak will be a fad, and people will jokingly speak like that. It also compresses human language.
Also you omitted the part where I said I disagreed with what Israel did. But as a human I believe we are evil like that, and I am really sorry about it.