731 karma · joined March 3, 2013
Though FWIW I’m unable to disagree.
If low code apps simply provide more flexibility and maintainability than a spreadsheet, they’re already winning.
1. Investment returns are multiplicative and should be looked at as a geometric series. To optimize the portfolio, optimize for geometric mean not arithmetic mean.
2. To optimize the geometric mean of some specific games, apply some specific mathematical rules that Kelly derived.
Then 2nd part is not applicable to general market investing. The 1st part is.
If it dips below 150% the contract is automatically liquidated. Should give ample time for the creditor to get their money back.
It's also kind of unclear what the interest is from that page. edit: apparently it's 8.5% https://mkr.tools/governance/stabilityfee
Proof of stake is also a "mining" operation insofar as it produces a limited supply at a macro-predictable rate.
Signing makes sense.
Joining a company that's relatively close to IPO is an interesting middle area.
Obviously if jQuery is critical to your site working at all there’s not much you can do, but for any dependencies that are not critical or only critical to a small portion of features, it’s a much better UX to degrade only those features.
Yes, some blind luck is needed to win at this game. However, the job market has been such that a solid programmer can get something lined up pretty quickly if their current job fails. I don't think the risk is as bad as people portray. Again, picture buying long term call options for a single stock with a proportion of income each year. Somewhat risky, but risk is capped and the payoff could be quite big. More diversification is almost definitely more efficient but carries less tail upside.
By "unfairness" I don't mean risk, I just mean unfairness.
Dilution can happen regardless of any preferred stock agreement. The biggest sources are when top leadership exercise huge options packages or when the company issues new stock for sale. If you buy stock or call options you are subject to dilution on the public market too. Under dilution, any investors that negotiated an anti-dilution clause on their preferred stock are the winners, everyone else loses. It's stacked but it doesn't break the game completely.
There's a pretty good chance of failure of this strategy. I've stuck around my company for almost 10 years to hit my FI target, and the first 2 years I didn't get equity by default as an intern. The opportunity cost is potentially huge. However, as an individual there's no way I would have been able to invest at this company at the time I got options. The job has been pretty nice in the mean time. FAANG also would have returned extremely well in that time, but more like 10x not 100x.
Is this an efficient strategy on the risk-reward frontier? I don't know. But sometimes the outcome works out very well. Unfairness in the system is there but not so different than owning any random stock. Fiduciary duty exists.
Paid by who and in what case? If the company IPOs or buys back a sizeable chunk of stock as part of fundraising or acquisition, employees with options do just fine. Employees are paid when they choose to sell.
If the company liquidates that's obviously a bad deal for employees, but it's a bad deal for everyone involved.
In some sense, working for a tech startup is like working for FAANG and spending part of your salary on buying 10 year call options on random other private tech companies (if that were possible without having VC-tier wealth). Lost sleep is a founder issue.
I'm glad the things I want to do on Linux are all terminal based. I used a tiling WM for years on Arch and don't miss it much with all the macOS WM extensions available now (Magnet, Rectangle, Moom, Hammerspoon, etc). Less themeable but perfectly functional.
Though 2021 will be higher, will it be 20x higher?