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rayiner

129,314 karma · joined December 29, 2010

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rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
> Dutch tolerance is fairly well known by those who settle here from other countries

Yeah but it doesn’t make society itself better. It papers over a problem that’s created by immigration policy in the first place.

What’s impressive is the aspects of Dutch culture that you could copy to make other countries better and more successful. If I could magically flip a switch and import aspects of Dutch society into Bangladesh, I’d import Dutch orderliness, rule of law, cleanliness, eating culture (lunch sandwiches instead of wasting time with curries), etc. Tolerance wouldn’t even be on the list, because it’s a solution to a problem we don’t even have.

> Integration takes time. Generations.

I agree! Most immigration proponents aren’t willing to admit that, but you’re right!

So why undertake that burden? Why do all that work to, what, just get back to the same level of civic and social functioning you were at to begin with? (If you can even do that?) Why? Because you like difference and novelty for its own sake? That’s irrational.

> My kids will not conquer the world at your command. They will not forcibly teach others to think and act like Dutch people

I know they won’t. They will allow Europe to regress to the global mean instead of fighting to bring the world up to a higher standard.

> The Romans conquering Western Europe may have been good for Europe

It was good for the whole world!

rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
Yes, assimilation was the marketing ploy, not the goal. The goal is ethnopolitical clientelism: https://www.wsj.com/opinion/free-expression/a-tammany-hall-f....
rayiner··on xAI installs eight converted jet engines to power Mississippi data center
Do you think the author realizes that gas turbine makers already sell aeroderivative turbines because the core power plant of a gas turbine generator and a jet engine are very similar?
rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
But pastry chefs can hang with gluten intolerant people. Butchers can also hang with vegans! And political parties often are comprised of people who do not like each other, but agree on political goals.
rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
That’s like saying: “ask liberal white people how well it works to aspire to be kindred spirits of black nationalists.” Or telling liberal Christians that, despite their efforts, many Muslims still consider them “infidels.” Liberal whites obviously don’t hold their opinions in order to ingratiate themselves to non-whites or non-Christians. Likewise, their political opinions obviously aren't swayed by the fact that some people in their coalition dislike white people or Christians.
rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
Australia is a British offshoot so that would be weird. But the people from e.g. Spain certainly are posting about that.
rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
> Was that ever a requirement for immigration

Yes, that’s how immigration was sold and it’s the pillar of the moral case for it. The pitch was that differences were purely superficial—like actors wearing different costumes at Disney World—such that it would be irrational to have any feelings or judgment of them. Maybe they’ll like to eat curry instead of beans on toast. But it would be irrational to judge someone just because they eat curry—many British people eat curry too!

This concept that the differences are superficial such that judgment would be irrational was central to the moral case. If immigrants are more than superficially different in terms of social, cultural, and civic thoughts and behavior, then it’s rational to oppose immigration purely on those terms. Judging superficial differences is irrational, but judging substantive differences is rational. You can judge whether, say, different attitudes towards extended family are better or worse for civic life in a democracy, and whether you want to participate in the same democracy with more people who have different attitudes than your own.

rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
Yeah, and it pisses off the locals everywhere they go. Now imagine if they did all that and also were from cultures that didn’t know how to queue properly.
rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
> We don't have a huge immigration problemq

My Bangladeshi parents were in London in 2023 and they were shocked by the number of immigrants. My mom was very upset because it blew up the idea that the immigrants would act and talk exactly like British people who just happened to be less sensitive to the sun. They’re retaining their differences, they’re participating in politics in ethnic blocs, they’re raising their kids with their own culture and values. It’s the opposite of what her generation had hoped for—London becoming more like Dhaka instead of Dhaka becoming more like London. This is because you’re letting them in too fast, in groups that are too large.

You’re also letting in the wrong kind of immigrants. You want immigrants who dislike their home countries and want to leave and westernize. You don’t want to take refugees, who are generally people who are forced by external circumstances rather than internal motivation to leave their homelands.

rayiner··on The U.S. Is Bullying Europe Like Never Before
You can’t “bully” a continent that is entirely dependent on you for its security. The Ukraine war has proven that Europe is utterly incapable of putting out a fire in its own back yard without American military and financial support.
rayiner··on Jobless tech workers are being left out of San Francisco's AI boom
> nobody takes issue with a Swede waving their flag on midsummers eve or some 6th generation irish folks getting drunk on st patricks day eh?

A member of my wife's family is Swedish American. Her Swedish identity is superficial, a historical curiosity. Swedish Americans aren't glued together in any meaningful way by a common identity, they don't seek each other out to live near each other. Nor can you influence them by appealing to their Swedish heritage. By contrast, I have on multiple occasions gotten comped meals from hotel workers based on being Bangladeshi. Bangladeshis in the US and Canada feel real affinity for each other--they live in Bangladeshi neighborhoods, marry within their communities, etc. And you can influence them by appealing to their shared identity.

Irish identity is largely superficial today, but for a century it wasn't. They lived in Irish enclaves, they did favors for each other based on shared identity, and they organized politically based on ethnic background, not ideology or issues. And that had real social and political consequences for the country for a long time.

Indeed, Americans underestimate how different Irish and Swedish Americans really are from Anglo Americans even today. Americans descended from different European countries remain quite different in fundamental attitudes (e.g. social trust, views towards saving, etc). And they still vote quite differently as a result. It's also obvious just going around America. As a foreigner, it's blatantly obvious which parts of the country was settled by Italians, Scandinavians, Germans, different kinds of British, etc.

rayiner··on Jobless tech workers are being left out of San Francisco's AI boom
Immigration implicates economic and cultural issues, trying to reframe them as being about "hate" or "fear" is misdirection. When you see second and third generation immigrants waving foreign flags in western countries, you should realize that, even if you don't believe in nationalism, the immigrants themselves often do.

Similarly, dismissing the concerns as "short sighted" is just ignorant of history. Plato was thinking about the challenges of reconciling immigration with democracy 2,000 years ago. Alexander Hamilton presaged the destabilizing effects of immigration on democracy at the inception of the U.S. https://www.iwp.edu/articles/2016/12/21/hamiltons-actual-vie...

rayiner··on Jobless tech workers are being left out of San Francisco's AI boom
There is nothing "weak" about standing up for your own economic interests. The H1B program has largely been based on a fiction--using a handful of superstars as marketing cover for tens of thousands of mid-skill developers. But with AI now coming for everyone's job the pretext of a "skills shortage" is unsustainable.
rayiner··on U.S. workers took home their smallest share of capital since at least 1947
> how many cuts to education or defense spending save social security?

You can't save it by cutting education or defense spending. By 2036 the combined social security and medicare shortfall is projected to reach $2.7 trillion. If defense spending stays at around 3.1% of GDP--it has been decreasing as a share of GDP since the 1990s--then the shortfall in medicare and social security will be about $1 trillion more than the entire defense budget.

rayiner··on Martian dust presents additional risks for future crewed missions to Mars
The notion that we need to achieve utopia here before moving forward is so toxic. If people in the past had thought that way, we'd still be trying to make the perfect village in Africa.

"Humanity" isn't a preschool classroom where we all hold hands and do one thing at a time like the teacher says. It's fine for some people to be working towards the future while others are trying to fix things in the present.

rayiner··on Serbia just elected the world's brainiest parliament
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Muslim_Student_Followers_of_th...

"Muslim Students of the Imam Khomeini Line,[1] was an Iranian student group that occupied the U.S. embassy in Tehran on 4 November 1979. The students were supporters of the Islamic Revolution who occupied the embassy to show their support for Ayatollah Khomeini and their outrage that the ex-Shah of Iran was admitted to the United States for cancer treatment, instead of being returned to Iran for trial and execution. The occupation triggered the Iran hostage crisis where 52 American diplomats and citizens were held hostage for 444 days."

Students can certainly be Islamists, as both are generally aligned on left-wing and communitarian economics. E.g. in Bangladesh in 2024: https://www.aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/jamaat-student-wing-wi...

"The student wing of Jamaat-e-Islami won a landslide in Dhaka University’s student body election, marking the first time the Islamist group has taken control of the influential union since Bangladesh’s independence in 1971."

rayiner··on Serbia just elected the world's brainiest parliament
If I were paranoid, I'd say it's a color revolution intended to derail India's current trajectory of economic growth, like happened with Bangladesh in 2024.
rayiner··on A drop in US births due to smartphone use? These researchers say so
Birth rate is collapsing even in countries that have plenty of housing and don’t have skyrocketing rents.
rayiner··on Halloween is a crass American import – I'll never indulge it
It’s a collective action problem. The government should ban it.
rayiner··on Serbia just elected the world's brainiest parliament
I hope it works out for them. In my home country students overthrow the government and put a Nobel Prize winning economist in charge. Now GDP growth has collapsed and the security situation has become precarious.

I’m also reminded of Ashraf Ghani, the last President of Afghanistan, who was a professor and wrote a book “Fixing Failed States.” He ended up fleeing the country like a coward as it collapsed.

It’s notable that students played a major role in the 1979 Iranian revolution that ended up putting the Ayatollah in power. In fact to my knowledge, student-led revolutions have never produced a long term positive outcome. Any examples?

rayiner··on Musk, Zuckerberg push to rebrand AI as 'super intelligence' on earnings calls
That may be the literal meaning but over 70 years. The term has gotten the connotation of man-made, but in a fake bad way. Your car may be artificial, but no car company advertises anything to do with the car as artificial. Mercedes doesn’t have artificial leather in the car.

To be clear, I think most marketing is dumb. But avoiding the word artificial isn’t completely random.

rayiner··on Musk, Zuckerberg push to rebrand AI as 'super intelligence' on earnings calls
It's because "artificial" sounds scary. If you think about it, nobody would use "artificial" for branding in any other context.
rayiner··on Medicare Will Pay $50k for Your Heart Attack. It Should Pay $100 to Prevent It
If you keep in mind that the median voter in a primary is 65, then the government we have seems to do a pretty good job of reflecting the opinions of the politically engaged subset of the population.
rayiner··on Alleged Chinese spy had 'close relationship' with Nvidia boss Jensen Huang
Mostly monogamous marriage is almost certainly a stable equilibrium given that you see it in societies all over the world that had no contact with each other and little in common otherwise. You see monogamous marriage in neolithic europe as well as among native americans.
rayiner··on Cuba is skipping its November 1, 2026 clock change and staying on DST until 2027
It's co-evolution. As the society advances, it develops rigid timekeeping to enable further development.
rayiner··on Cuba is skipping its November 1, 2026 clock change and staying on DST until 2027
We have given it a try. It’s how most of the world worked until industrialization, and how much of the world still works (like my dad’s village in Bangladesh). It’s a recipe for poverty.
rayiner··on If IPv4 were land
Wow I didn’t know CGNAT was a thing for home users.
rayiner··on If IPv4 were land
Meanwhile I’m here carving out a couple of /64s from the /48 block of IPv6 addresses Comcast gave me.
rayiner··on Cuba is skipping its November 1, 2026 clock change and staying on DST until 2027
> Or, we come up with a system that actually follows the rhythms of nature, rather than forcing a standard schedule year round.

The clock-driven day is one of humanity's greatest inventions. You can't build a spacefaring society on "following the rhythms of nature."

rayiner··on Cuba is skipping its November 1, 2026 clock change and staying on DST until 2027
It's actually extremely logical. It makes sense to line up the day with the actual sunlight hours at any given time. But people have millions of events keyed to specific times. It's much simpler just to shift the time base for everyone than for everyone to remember "the kids' karate practice is at 4 pm in the winter and 5 pm in the summer."
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