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reallydude

268 karma · joined December 10, 2017

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reallydude··on How a 6k-Year-Old Dog Cancer Spread Around the World
CCP Makes a pretty good case regarding livestock - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JEYh5WACqEk

America did offer a new disease that ravaged Europe. Syphillis.

reallydude··on Alarm over voter purges as 17m Americans removed from rolls in two years
The article mentions a purge of 107k voters in, what I thought, was a reasonable approach to regulating polls.

> In July 2017, more than half a million people were removed from Georgia's voter rolls. Of those, 107,000 were purged because they had decided not to vote in previous elections and they failed to respond to mailed notices from the state.

Ignoring notices from the state often have larger consequences than not being able to vote in a specific district...where you can't prove you live. Even if you were to vote in a general election, you could register without prompting from the state. Ignorance of the law and such, the state did it's minimal duty, in this case.

Given the disparity in numbers being thrown around, it's hard to know what's factual and what's misconstrued. Either way, informed consent is what US citizens seem to mobilize around. Getting cancer from eating sausage? Shoulda said it was a danger on the box. Removed from the voting roster because you didn't receive notice? Tough.

reallydude··on The Birth of the Semicolon
some languages (eg Erlang) do use dots as terminators. Dots are harder to see and verify.

Imagine: A = something+"some string.".

reallydude··on The Fasting Cure Is No Fad
I haven't eaten before noon regularly, since I was 10, nor does my wife. I'm not unique among my friends, each who are thin and eat 2 meals a day (sometimes snacks). I'm over 40. My mom, who is losing weight, eats exactly twice a day at 10a and 10p with a snack for lunch. I don't know a person who eats a regular measurable breakfast at work, excepting the occasional company bagels and morning coffees (we don't drink coffee either). I never questioned the normalcy of it, since I know so many others who have the same pattern shrug
reallydude··on The Flawed Reasoning Behind the Replication Crisis
Just from a casual look, the cancer diagnosis modeling is flawed.

> the doctor would need to consider the overall incidence rate of cancer among similar women with similar symptoms, not including the result of the mammogram

That's a bad assumption. Mammogram is a radiology tool to investigate tissue. It's not a randomizing element as it's fundamental to arriving at the thesis, which is then correlated from MULTIPLE vectors.

> a similar patient finds a lump it turns out to be benign

A manual inspection is not the same. In good faith, let's assume they are the same for no reason but to argue about how not to do medicine as some precept for "Base rates are effectively random".

Turns out, Base rates are not random guesses.

What's interesting about Bayesian Theory is we use it all the time and then observe and collect statistical data about the outcomes, after making assumptions (like a specific Base rate) and use back propagation to correct until models fit measurable events. This is why, tests often have caveats about efficacy. Base rate is sometimes, reasonably, unknown because there is no additional correlation. This doesn't indict Base rates wherein the vast majority of cases, there are multiple vectors (or new vectors are generated) that show this process is reliable (beyond a few dice rolls). There have also been cases where there is no corroboration from new measures and the deduction is the that original measure and Base rate were random.

It's a lot of hand waving from a classic troll. Why? Probably for students who want to feel like they have "discovered" how the establishment is ignorant.

reallydude··on The Flawed Reasoning Behind the Replication Crisis
I always interpreted that comic to be synergistically thoughtful. If the sun exploded, it doesn't matter who has the $50, so it's a good bet from a pragmatic standpoint.
reallydude··on The Flawed Reasoning Behind the Replication Crisis
This is fundamental to Chaos theory (how small initial states can lead to rich systems that contain both expected and unexpected outcomes), which isn't a theory as much as an area of mathematical modeling of the most complex systems. Me waving off a butterfly is just as likely to influence a hurricane as the unmolested butterfly flapping.

Any given reader's brain existing to comprehend this comment is highly unlikely, yet it occurs and continues within layers of chaotic systems, that exist turbulently, in perceived reality.

reallydude··on Detroit’s Indigent Defense System Fails Poor Defendants
Careless or not, you would be charged as a military serviceman. The double-standards are obvious, but the wordplay makes good news fodder.

https://fas.org/irp/doddir/army/ar380-5/vi.htm

How the FBI classifies something, is wholly irrelevant.

reallydude··on Devilution – A web port of the original Diablo game
They got replaced by videos of the games in action (as opposed to the specific "let's play" genre). The screenshots + description + a video + reviews informs me about most games on STEAM.

A random game I have up in my queue on steam: https://store.steampowered.com/app/1101660/Cooking_Trip_Back...

Do you really need a demo?

reallydude··on China is on track to beat its peak-emissions pledge
> rotten to the core

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/asia/china/101323...

Dishonesty is so pervasive, it's considered integral to success in every strata. A Chinese citizen getting arrested for misconduct elicits commentary of "they are unlucky" not "that's good for society".

reallydude··on Biology is the New Tech: Letter from a conference on CRISPR
Humanity is the blink of an eye in the universe. Claiming the suffering is always worth it (ie doesn't matter), is defeatist. Not sure how that's an argument for how dissemination of medical tech is "working".
reallydude··on Biology is the New Tech: Letter from a conference on CRISPR
"Already" 30 years later.

https://hab.hrsa.gov/livinghistory/timeline/1995.htm

reallydude··on Neil Armstrong’s Death, and a Stormy, Secret $6M Settlement
Having personally had 3 open heart surgeries (where they remove your heart, do work and put it back), it's important to pay attention to which hospitals are the best at which types of care.

Veteran care has improved drastically since the first Bush administration (might have been started with Clinton, I dunno for sure). Cheney used VA hospitals for full body scans, etc which my father casually used as a reason to get his own. All veterans are equal in the VA now.

Largely, hospitals ALL have a basic level of competence in the US (meaning medical training and certification and subject to regulation) and it's disrespectful to imply otherwise. There is no benefit to people dying in a hospital. Nobody wins and the penalties are stiff. The staff are people, which are imperfect (often overworked) and situations are fluid.

The idea that opening him up again was going to save him, is tenuous. It would not surprise me to find the implant wires caused angina; given his history it would be warranted that a nurse would move the patient to cath, since the heart can only survive so many "insults". A nurse is not a doctor and doctors (especially cardiologists) are RARELY walking around, especially in that facility at that time. The nurse made a call and a patient died that may have died anyway waiting for a doctor to make the decision.

reallydude··on In a Lab Accident, Scientists Create the First-Ever Permanently Magnetic Liquid
ALL permanence is relative, due to entropy, as you tried to say. We still use the word permanent as a useful term.

Permanent, in the headline, is certainly meaning something like a ferrite magnet or ceramic magnet. "Permanent" meaning it does not naturally lose it's coercivity in any perceptually measurable way. This is different than saying a substance can't have the coercivity reduced.

> https://www.physlink.com/education/askexperts/ae472.cfm

reallydude··on The Trust Crisis
> These things are not comparable

That's just true on your single characterization, which is not relevant to making a equivalency. The ultimate outcomes of those resources are irrelevant and it's a disingenuous comment to re-frame a situation and claim someone is wrong within your frame of reference.

*did not mod your comment either way

reallydude··on “My GitHub account has been restricted due to US sanctions as I live in Crimea”
> The fact is, github adds value because it isn't "decentralized"

Exactly. It's the most popular brand, same as Disney buying Hulu. Not to make Hulu into Disney, but to bring the customers into an arena for control. While I do not use github, npm does, for example.

reallydude··on Climate change: 12 years to save the planet? Make that 18 months
It's 18 months because of upcoming UN meetings. Which means nothing, so it's making an alarmist headline to tie to a story, which has no bearing on the reality. The UN can't keep humans from slaughtering each other, so what chance at "Saving the planet", for whatever that means?
reallydude··on Why We Can’t Figure Out Why Infrastructure Is So Expensive
> Building HSR is expensive and takes a long time to do

Bids and bonds have already been levied against those estimates. Even if you make up new ones to match reality, it was fraudulent in concept. With less than half the length (515km versus the proposed >1200km CA project), the japanese built a HSR for about 2.3 billion USD (adjusted from 1959 ~400 billion yen). From the start, this has been a doomed project to get some people paid. Admittedly, the idea of starting something (anything) to connect the top and bottom half of CA is perhaps visionary, selling it as a doable project was dishonest.

However it turns out, the CA HSR (or slow speed rail) will not be completed in the lifetime of anyone alive today, but Californians still get to pay for it. I'm reminded of Lyta's admission about the Vorlon mistakes in Babylon 5's Thirdspace movie. It's just compounded for the poor Californians, each time.

reallydude··on No CS Degree – Interviews with self-taught developers
I didn't get that "point" from your post. I was just trying to assert the oft-ignored type of person (I am not an aberration) that still likes coding, after a lifetime. Even when I am inevitably confined to a hospital bed, I will code in my head.
reallydude··on What If Consciousness Comes First?
This "theory of mind" can be called "imagination" in a limited form. Allowing our conceptual self to act and predict what will happen is key to "consciousness".

We don't need to die by walking off a cliff, if we can have a conceptual version of ourself walk off, imagine the result of walking off the cliff and choose not to do it.

Yes this expands consciousness to animals, but I doubt it goes much farther than that. I think it fits.

reallydude··on Why We Can’t Figure Out Why Infrastructure Is So Expensive
The California High Speed Rail was also corruption. It's all over everywhere, because nobody is accountable for it, except the people over-charging, while simultaneously pointing out that they are taking all the liability when things go wrong (and someone actually tries to prosecute).
reallydude··on Fork: A fast and friendly Git client for Mac and Windows
> would mean banning every EULA and software license

That seems proper. AFAIK, these have (statistically) never protected the public, so the legalese is there for protect the company's ability to restrict and penalize the user, as well as fill the pockets of lawyers.

reallydude··on No CS Degree – Interviews with self-taught developers
I've written code for fun since I first taught myself how to do it. After decades of work, I still do it for fun.
reallydude··on NASA’s Lunar Space Station Is a Great/Terrible Idea
Going back the moon is the logical next step in going to Mars. You don't send off materials and bodies in the hope that years later it will work out.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_missions_to_the_Moon

It took many attempts to get a successful moon mission where we landed. How many more before we could dig into the rock for a habitat? Now multiply the time by the round trip to Mars. The fantasy of being on Mars in X years is fraught with dangers that include our own imperfection in execution. Don't expect a man on Mars in your lifetime, at least not one who comes back.

reallydude··on The reliability pillar of the AWS Well-Architected Framework [pdf]
> The Well Architected stuff

While that is the topic, that is not what I was referencing. "produced literature" is a bit more expansive than that and casually accessible (eg https://media.amazonwebservices.com/architecturecenter/AWS_a...). If you're going to reply about how someone is wrong, please have the courtesy to digest the statements made. Lashing out with non-sequitors is not constructive, when you could take a statement in good faith and consider you misinterpreted it.

reallydude··on The reliability pillar of the AWS Well-Architected Framework [pdf]
> the idea that you can just pay opex to run in multiple regions and lay off your SREs,

> That is not AWS's intent.

Yet that's what all their produced literature describes.

> its FUD to suggest that somehow cloud vendors want to make money out of reliability.

It's literally a selling point. Not sure how mentioning it is FUD.

It's FUD (and rightly so) to point out that your cross-platform solution is likely less production-ready and reliable than AWS (in total) as a single point of failure.

reallydude··on PHP 5 and 7.0 end of life
There was nothing crippling about php5 when it came out, why would it matter now? Not having some nice-to-haves like null coalescing, return types, etc are not core features. The biggest php7 selling point was speed improvements, which isn't even on some lists (https://feryn.eu/blog/php-7-is-now-available-new-features-im...)
reallydude··on WeWork Co-Founder Has Cashed Out at Least $700M Via Sales, Loans
> Who owned the real estate? Ray Kroc?

From wikipedia: At the closing table, Kroc became annoyed that the brothers would not transfer to him the real estate and rights to the original San Bernardino location

Regardless of the legal agreements, the intent was the same. Since the beginning of this thread, it looks like nitpicking to avoid concession, so you can believe what you want. GL with that.

To recap, history. Ray Kroc is analogous to Adam Neumann. 2 founders who leveraged real-estate over the initial franchise business. Substituting McDonald's in name for Ray Kroc is a matter of a temporal situation (or laziness).

reallydude··on WeWork Co-Founder Has Cashed Out at Least $700M Via Sales, Loans
https://money.howstuffworks.com/mcdonalds2.htm

Just googling the history, so you can understand what happened, is a minimum when having a discussion about history. Whoever went so far as to wasting a point downmodding me, didn't even do that.

reallydude··on WeWork Co-Founder Has Cashed Out at Least $700M Via Sales, Loans
Ray Kroc is analogous to Adam Neumann.

They both expanded a marginally profitable (and hard to grow) business by expanding a few locations than leveraging the capital to buy real-estate, which allowed them to stop caring about the original and individual franchised business success. Using the massive income of being commercial property landlords, even if the franchises failed, they had revenue growth. Now that Kroc is gone, the reference to McDonald's as a corporation is convenient, since the history is understood and available.

The movie "The Founder" might clear things up.

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