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refrigerator

2,407 karma · joined December 28, 2011

founder: https://causal.app twitter: @TaimurAbdaal blog: https://taimur.me
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refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Nice — definitely try Causal out! We have a 'scenarios' feature that lets you easily spin up "discrete" scenarios, and then you can use the Monte Carlo stuff to see continuous ranges of outcomes.
refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Haha, I think the evolution was something like this:

1. Slack introduces "sidebar" concept

2. Notion takes it a step further

3. Everyone starts doing sidebars, including Linear

We took inspiration from Linear's 'search button in sidebar' and 'profile pic in sidebar', which I think were maybe their unique contributions to the tradition :)

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
No similarities at all, just the name
refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Yes! Causal natively supports Monte Carlo simulation. E.g. instead of writing "7.5%" in a cell, you can write "5% to 10%" and it will turn that into a distribution, and automatically run a few thousand samples with different values every time it re-calculates.

Docs: https://docs.causal.app/formulas/values-with-uncertainty

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Ahh thanks, glad you liked it! We made it internally with the help of a video editor.
refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Ah nice, definitely sounds like something Causal can handle for you :)
refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
1. It comes from the concept of 'causal inference' in statistics[1] — when we started out, we though the product would go in a much technical/statistical direction, but we were very wrong about that But 'causal' as a word is still relevant to modelling, etc.

2. Fair question haha. While a majority of our customers are startups/tech cos, a bunch of our customers are also non-tech small businesses (e.g. small agencies/consulting firms in various niches). Interestingly, we found that after the economy went down 18 months ago there seemed to be more demand for Causal from smaller companies (startups + regular SMBs) — our guess is that staying on top of finances is important when things are tough, and less important when there's tonnes of cash flying around!

[1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Causal_inference

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
We do actually have a bunch of bigger companies using Causal (incl. public companies) so it definitely works for bigger companies depending on exactly what they need. If they're looking for a great modelling tool with nice dashboards then I think we're perfect, if they're looking for something with more "workflows" type of stuff with lots of stakeholders who need to contribute to things, then we're less good.

Because of this, we're focusing on smaller companies as a self-serve product for a while, and then gradually plan to build out that kind of enterprise stuff for bigger companies.

There's also a lot more competition in the mid-market/enterprise in this space, and 0 competition for SMBs/self-serve, so we thought it would be good to lean in there :)

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Totally get it — we know the $250 is too big a jump and we're currently trying to figure out the mechanics of a starter plan at $99/mo.

In the meantime, we're pretty chill about offering $99 plans to early stage companies if you're under 10 people, or have raised under $500k.

You can find the form for that on our pricing page under "Startup programme": https://causal.app/pricing

Hope that helps, and thanks for the kind words and loyal support!

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Hi everyone, I'm one of the Causal founders — we actually launched a super barebones MVP here on HN in 2019[1], back when we were still tinkering around on nights and weekends, and the reception + signups from that gave us the confidence to quit our jobs and go full-time on this, so thanks for the early support!

The product has come a long way since that first HN launch. The best way to think about it is as a 'multidimensional spreadsheet' — instead of writing formulas that operate on single cells, Causal formulas operate on "variables" that span lots of cells (e.g. multiple 'months', or multiple 'products', or multiple 'countries'), so you can express any kind of model with 100–1000x fewer formulas. Lot of other important functionality like live data integrations, dashboards, etc. but the multi-dimensional modelling system is really the secret sauce :)

Sounds super abstract, but the main use-case today is financial planning/reporting for early-stage companies, although some of our users have actually replaced their BI tools with Causal as well.

Anyway, thanks for the support and keen to hear feedback :)

1: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19704418

refrigerator··on Show HN: Causal 2.0 – Modern Financial Planning for Startups
Thanks man! Messaging has been a long journey and I still think we're very far from cracking it haha
refrigerator··on Show HN: Hypertune – Visual, functional, statically-typed configuration language
Congrats on the launch!

We've been using Hypertune at Causal (https://causal.app) for the last few months and it's saved tonnes of engineering cycles letting me and our PM iterate directly on custom onboarding copy for different Causal templates, alongside more typical feature flag use-cases :)

refrigerator··on Journey Planner Challenge – You need to visit 5 tube stations
This is super cool!
refrigerator··on Minimum Viable Finance: The Guide for Seed/Series A Startups
Hey man, the target audience is normal Seed/Series A companies —

$30m–60m+ Series A rounds are extreme outliers, especially in 2023, and the $1m MRR number you quoted in another comment is 5x higher than where most Series A companies are at.

Would genuinely appreciate feedback on anything specific in the post that you disagree with, with that target audience in mind :)

refrigerator··on Minimum Viable Finance: The Guide for Seed/Series A Startups
Lots of tools integrate with Quickbooks and Xero now so you're right that a big chunk of bookkeeping work is pretty automated, but there will always be a bunch of transactions that don't live inside a nice system that will need manual categorisation, e.g. random invoices from vendors that need to be manually paid and categorised.

Outside of categorisation, there's some more technical accounting stuff that also needs to be done, e.g. accounting for revenue properly on the Balance Sheet.

refrigerator··on Minimum Viable Finance: The Guide for Seed/Series A Startups
Appreciate the thought-leadership skepticism :)

Causal is a financial modelling tool so while we're only Series A, we've spent the last 4 years working with finance teams across all stages (our customers), as well as the wider startup finance ecosystem of accountants, CFOs, VCs.

The post is mostly based on that accumulated experience, but of course coloured by our own experience operating at the Seed/Series A stage as well.

refrigerator··on Minimum Viable Finance: The Guide for Seed/Series A Startups
Hi HN, I'm the founder of https://causal.app and the author of this post —

Most of the finance content online is very textbook-y and overkill for early stage cos, so wanted this to be a 'no-nonsense' guide for founders/ops people that have to juggle a bit of finance stuff alongside everything else.

We've helped lots of startups across different stages with finance stuff over the last few years through Causal, so I'm happy to try and answer any questions :)

Thanks for reading!

refrigerator··on Why Salesforce Is Great
Super interesting, sounds like low-code/no-code
refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (February 2023)
Causal | Engineering | REMOTE (US, UK, Canada) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 25, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of engineering roles:

- Backend Engineer — Data (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/e696335f-c4d8-49ec-b264-c06...)

- Full-stack Engineer — Product (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/4acaafbe-ef3d-45a6-bbe6-687...)

If this sounds interesting, then we'd love to hear from you: lukas [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (December 2022)
Causal | Engineering | REMOTE (US, UK, Canada) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 25, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of engineering roles:

- Backend Engineer — Data (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/e696335f-c4d8-49ec-b264-c06...)

- Backend Engineer — Performance (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/6059574a-06f5-4635-99f6-536...)

- Full-stack Engineer — Product (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/4acaafbe-ef3d-45a6-bbe6-687...)

If this sounds interesting, then we'd love to hear from you: lukas [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Meta lays off 11,000 people
5 years => 26 weeks = 0.5 years of pay, right?
refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (October 2022)
Causal | Engineering | REMOTE (US, UK, Canada) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 25, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of engineering roles:

- Backend Engineer — Data (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/e696335f-c4d8-49ec-b264-c06...)

- Backend Engineer — Performance (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/6059574a-06f5-4635-99f6-536...)

- Full-stack Engineer — Product (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/4acaafbe-ef3d-45a6-bbe6-687...)

If this sounds interesting, then we'd love to hear from you: lukas [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (September 2022)
Causal | Engineering | REMOTE (US, UK, Canada) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 20, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of engineering roles:

- Backend Engineer — Data (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/e696335f-c4d8-49ec-b264-c06...)

- Backend Engineer — Performance (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/6059574a-06f5-4635-99f6-536...)

- Frontend Engineer — Growth (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/b3a654f5-933d-4be9-aca9-803...)

- Frontend Engineer — Product (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/4acaafbe-ef3d-45a6-bbe6-687...)

If this sounds interesting, then we'd love to hear from you: lukas [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (August 2022)
Causal | Engineering, Design | REMOTE (EST to GMT+1) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 20, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of product roles:

- First product designer (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/512ec4d8-ef6b-44ee-8175-f5e...)

- Software engineers (various: https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app)

If this sounds interesting, then I'd love to hear from you: taimur [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (June 2022)
Causal | Engineering, Design, Sales, Marketing | REMOTE (EST to GMT+1) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 20, raised $25m from top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of roles:

- First product designer (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/512ec4d8-ef6b-44ee-8175-f5e...)

- First demand gen hire (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/d1b99b23-42c1-4c64-87e4-0c7...)

- Software engineers (various: https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app)

- Account executives (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/979aacbe-2ee1-4d57-8dc3-45c...)

If this sounds interesting, then I'd love to hear from you: taimur [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Launch HN: 8vdX (YC W22) – Venture debt to complement a seed round
FYI - it would be good to include a link to your site in the first paragraph — took me a while to find "8vdx.com" in the final paragraph, which isn't clickable.
refrigerator··on Ask HN: Who is hiring? (February 2022)
Causal | Engineering, Design, Sales, Marketing | REMOTE (EST to GMT+1) | Full-time | https://causal.app

Causal is a tool for performing calculations, visualising data, and communicating with numbers. We take the good parts of spreadsheets and combine them with the good parts of programming, to make number-crunching fast, collaborative, and accessible to everyone.

We're a team of 12, well-funded by top VCs (Coatue, Accel) and angels (Naval, Scott Belsky, and more), and are hiring for a bunch of roles:

- First product designer (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/512ec4d8-ef6b-44ee-8175-f5e...)

- First product marketer (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/3a90b381-4962-4e89-afd3-b6c...)

- Software engineers (various: https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app)

- Account executives (https://jobs.lever.co/causal-app/2a8587b4-0912-495d-8040-cf1...)

If this sounds interesting, then I'd love to hear from you: taimur [at] causal [dot] app. Thanks!

refrigerator··on Around one-in-three children globally suffer from lead poisoning
LEEP (https://leadelimination.org) is a very promising early stage non-profit working on this problem.

They’re currently working in Malawi, Pakistan, Liberia + I think a couple of other countries, and expanding this year.

If they're successful then their work will be more impactful (per dollar spent) than even the top GiveWell recommended charities.

refrigerator··on Venture Fund Model
Thanks! Not a priority right now but definitely something we can do if there's demand for it. What do you think is the value of offline vs browser-based/online?
refrigerator··on Venture Fund Model
Thanks :) It's called Decimal: https://www.typography.com/blog/introducing-decimal
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