654 karma · joined September 5, 2011
And this matters because? Most devs are not working on novel never before seen problems.
It is interesting to think about. This kind of training and model will only capture macro effects. You cannot use this to simulate what happens in a biological cell or tweak a gravity parameter and see how plants grow etc. For a true world model, you'd need to train models that can simulate at microscopic scales as well and then have it all integrated into a bigger model or something.
As an aside, I would love to see something like this for the human body. My belief is that we will only be able to truly solve human health if we have a way of simulating the human body.
I think we have a long way to go yet. Humanity is still in the early stages of its tech tree with so many unknown and unsolved problems. If ASI does happen and solves literally everything, we will be in a position that is completely alien to what we have right now.
> How to even find the value in living given all of that?
I feel like a lot of AI angst comes from people who place their self-worth and value on external validation. There is value in simply existing and doing what you want to do even if nobody else wants it.
The future with AI is not going to be our current world with some parts replaced by AI. It will be a whole new way of life.
This seems like a good eval case for autonomous coding agents.
VR/AR is tech that is nowhere near ready so its premature to make judgements there. I am bullish on XR.
In terms of value-add, many times technology needs to be invented first before we decide whether its worthwhile. Nobody asked for computers in every home, smartphones in every pocket etc.
When computers/internet first came about, there were (and still are!) people who would struggle with basic tasks. Without knowing the specific task you are trying to do, its hard to judge whether its a problem with the model or you.
I would also say that prompting isn't as simple as made out to be. It is a skill in itself and requires you to be a good communicator. In fact, I would say there is a reasonable chance that even if we end up with AGI level models, a good chunk of people will not be able to use it effectively because they can't communicate requirements clearly.
IMO if coding models get good enough to replace devs, we will see an explosion of software before it flattens out.
The metaverse is a 10 year bet that involves progress across multiple axes. No-one here can predict the state of progress in ten years.
He's at the football world cup final right now.
I don't know how effective Taboo ambush tactics would be in the long run but not finishing off death eaters and letting them respawn was definitely a bad move tactically. Should have atleast dumped them all in a fidelius charmed warehouse or something in a Stunned state.
It will still be lurking around the corner and it will change your risk calculus completely. Today, if you go out and get hit by a bus, at worst, you lost 70 years of your life. In the future, you're risking 10-100k years of your life. What's worse is having to accept this risk for your loved ones.
A better question to consider would be, what would people do if they had only 1/5/10 years to live.