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sailfast

4,142 karma · joined July 13, 2011

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sailfast··on AI promised less work. I've never worked more
This tracks with my experience. The other bit that contributes here is that upstream inputs using AI also get faster - so you’re basically speeding up the entire machine but you’re still a human.

Unfortunately this means that you always feel the need to keep building or fall behind (picturing Lucy and Ethel at the chocolate factory) which means you’re pretty much always feeling burnt out and it feels harder to step away than ever before without feeling a certain way about it.

I hate it. It’s the best time ever to build. That excitement lasted about a year - but now it’s a treadmill I can’t escape and companies are not really paying more for the productivity (even factoring in the cost of my AI usage)

sailfast··on Dutch government had hacked into Jared Kushner's phone
Clear, extrajudicial funding outside of the law seems like one of those things? Iran/Contra comes to mind as a point of comparison but at least that had some tacit bureaucratic process to it.
sailfast··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
Maybe a brand that recently got bought by a PE firm but doesn’t build good things anymore…

Brooks Brothers maybe?

sailfast··on IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem
But I don’t need my LLMs part time? And we all live in the same time zone.

And what happens when the girl at the bar figures out that you TIMESHARE that Lambo?

sailfast··on No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector
Do you mean the FTC? Typically the SEC is just concerned with trading regulation which would not prevent a merger.

Also I no longer assume any of these agencies will enforce their charters if the executive is sufficiently captured by companies as to allow mergers. For evidence I’d just gesture around at the latest batch of mergers.

sailfast··on No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector
Yes? How are they going to prevent consolidation of mega corps?
sailfast··on No signs of AI payoff outside the tech sector
> the AI story will be decided in the S&P 493, not the Mag 7

Maybe? But aren’t they the Mag 7 for a reason? Don’t they control a substantial part of GDP? Don’t they have a significant impact on the global economy that the s&p 493 may not - especially with large scale adoption of these tools.

Not saying that this means AI spending at current rates will be profitable or not crash - but only that there may only be 7-10 big companies at the end of all of this and the S&P 493 will be irrelevant (it’s one potential scenario in my book at any rate)

sailfast··on Sam Altman: 'I No Longer Think We're Gonna Be Able to Just Patch All the Bugs'
Obligatory “We are all trying to find the one who did this!”

Sam Altman is definitely not Oppenheimer.

He is correct that everyone needs the models not just the offense that hacks their way into Mythos while the rest of us are left locked out and hoping for the best. But that statement is ALSO self-serving.

Kinda wish he’d gone into investment banking.

sailfast··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
They ARE a consulting firm masquerading as SaaS.

They happen to have a SaaS product, but you cannot use it without paying up front for huge amounts of pro services. The SaaS product doesn’t work on its own. This isn’t necessarily bad, but it’s not magic software either.

sailfast··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
McKinsey and Accenture are not the same. Brand-wise that’s Ferrari vs. Lexus.
sailfast··on Dutch government had hacked into Jared Kushner's phone
Kushner may not, but the excerpt indicates that Kushner’s lawyers only performed actions with approval of the president and in the interests of the United States.

So… the President is in pretty hot water if any senators decide to ask a few questions here.

sailfast··on Dutch government had hacked into Jared Kushner's phone
This just isn’t true. They _should_ have top notch security but that also requires responsible, security-aware action from the principal.

This assumption was destroyed during the first Trump administration and continued being eroded in his second. They do not practice good opsec. (See Signal app usage) Nobody is enforcing policies, and nobody tells the bosses that they can’t do something because [reason].

sailfast··on Disney Raising Prices Days After Confirming Ads Will Now Show Up on Every Tier
The real answer here is regulation around advertising, as well as regulation around appropriate size of media companies.

Scale is not required anymore to launch streaming platforms - white label works fine - and for the most part these major services sell property rights back and forth anyway every few months to keep you subscribed.

It’s pure cartel / oligopoly behavior. Can’t imagine this gets better since Ellison owns HBO and Paramount services.

sailfast··on Disney Raising Prices Days After Confirming Ads Will Now Show Up on Every Tier
I’m sure they will let you buy ESPN separately.
sailfast··on Disney Raising Prices Days After Confirming Ads Will Now Show Up on Every Tier
They choose piracy, then. Ok!
sailfast··on Jared Kushner Hacked Phone Reveals Secret Negotiations, Millions in Transactions
Shabbat.
sailfast··on Oregon lawmakers approve money to buy an iconic waterfall listed on Redfin
Happy for the monks but if they were real players they would’ve worked with the Land Trust Alliance to get this protected forever? Glad the state was able to step up though. Looks like a beautiful spot!
sailfast··on Security Disclosure
Plaid is listed as a customer. Good times.
sailfast··on Airbnb bans making guests do dishes and take out the trash
It’s absolutely insane how much you have to pay for all the advertising, network effects, and exposure these platforms grant you.

Would be so much better if every region just started their own again and you just looked up property managers in the yellow pages haha

sailfast··on What shall I teach my son?
Maybe! I hope so!

But the more I hope, the more one single cynical sociopath seems to co-opt the entire commons for their own purposes. The leverage of sociopathy is incredible.

sailfast··on What shall I teach my son?
If you can read and have any sort of curiosity (or you help teach curiosity) it’s a pretty solid foundation to learn just about anything.

The music bit is mostly things you’d want to impart on your kids if you care about that sort of thing. (Which I do!) The public versions of it are not great where I am but individually you can do a lot.

sailfast··on What shall I teach my son?
For me - it’s a love of reading, music, and intellectual curiosity. From there most everything else follows.
sailfast··on Facebook Pages require paid subscription to post more than two links per month
Said it before, but this company's product managers are pure evil.

Engineers are enablers at best. If you are not trapped there by visa issues or vesting problems you should take your money and RUN.

sailfast··on An ad-free Android TV
Oh boy just wait until you read the fine print on… everything you touch!

Loans, banks, phones, walking into Walmart. It’s all binding arbitration.

sailfast··on You could have invented transformers from memory
This is a really interesting article! While I can’t profess to understand all the math it is a great way to demonstrate it.

I recall awhile back hearing someone ask whether intelligence was actually the same or similar to “compression” or storing all of this knowledge in weights - IE the ability to create something from reason or weights or relationships / connections. This article makes it even more interesting!

sailfast··on Claude reveals ECDSA curve origins
Ford actually will tell you now if you can or cannot do something with their vehicles. They’re also likely tracking you.

That said - there likely were the same issues with cars in early days and then we got a body of settled case law that let the car companies off the hook for this and put responsibility on the user unless a manufacturing defect was the cause.

In the case of models, knowledge has historically always been dangerous! Is the library liable if a kid figures out how to do chemistry and builds a device? What about YouTube? I find it hard to believe this would hold up in court over time. So far, the only cases I’ve seen are when AI has encouraged self-harm which does in fact seem like a legit defect.

Gatekeeping knowledge like this will only serve to enable those that break the law, not protect, in my judgment.

And just so this isn’t pure fodder for the machine - torch staple must of course infant music verb noun right? :)

sailfast··on Meta’s new commercial terms will allow the scraping of news sites: experts
Maybe? But I don’t think most folks working for these companies are trying to get hired as insurgents employing the CIA handbook. Slowing down Facebook resource-wise as an engineer would only expedite the rent-seeking behavior. This also assumes manager incompetence and not getting fired - which I’d buy for a few months but years would require some spy-level dedication.
sailfast··on Tesla Roadster
If you wanted another pretext to merge Tesla and SpaceX this would be a good way.

The existing tech fab plus this car maybe makes it harder to sue once the merger happens - but he will still be sued. “Look we’re making it rocket cars with AI of course we should be one company”

sailfast··on Tesla Roadster
Nice Testarossa!
sailfast··on Meta’s new commercial terms will allow the scraping of news sites: experts
This company is poison. You have built a few things people liked, bought some other things people really liked, and then used that good will to completely screw over the entire internet.

I know why you haven’t quit yet, but you probably should right? You’ve got your vested shares and you’re comfortable. Why are you still doing this to us?

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