It's not something you need to worry about.
If we get the Singularity, it's overwhelmingly likely Jesus will return concurrently.
360 karma · joined February 22, 2021
If we get the Singularity, it's overwhelmingly likely Jesus will return concurrently.
And I know similar Junior-mid people in the same boat. We can all do Fizzbuzz, we've all built things, and somehow we're not getting interviews, but people that can't do Fizzbuzz are.
Do thousands of incompetents also machine-gun apply to, say, mechanical engineering, accounting, marketing, HR, or finance gigs? Is it just tech?
Something isn't adding up.
That said, his willingness to push back against orthodoxy means he's occasionally right. Scaling really has seemed to plateau since GPT-3.5, Hallucinations are still a problem that are perhaps unsolvable under the current paradigm, LLMs do seem to have problems with things far outside their training data.
Basically, while listening to Gary Marcus, you will hear a lot of nonsense, it will probably give you a better picture of reality if you can sort the wheat from the chaff. Listening to only Sam Altman, or other AI Hypelords, you'll think the Singularity is right around the corner. Listen to Gary Marcus, you won't.
Sam Altman has been substantially more correct on average than Gary Marcus, but I believe Marcus is right that the Singularity narrative is bogus.
Does "marginally qualified" mean "Ivy League Competitive Programmer PhD" or something?
Was path dependency for careers always this bad?
Idk if I'm even being sarcastic here.
I've heard it could get us very accurate high-detail physics simulations, which has potential, but don't know if that's legit or marketing BS.
Is that solvable? who knows?
The post was so shockingly hyperbolic I'm surprised they didn't mention the Chinese were also sapping and impurifying our precious bodily fluids.
What should I even say? It was a borderline schizo sinophobic diatribe asserted without evidence.
In unrelated news, anyone see that NYT interview with Yarvin yesterday?
That they say this is for "National Security" gives the game away.
Lmao these people are rubes. It's like every other bs "national security" argument.
Expect Yandex, VK, RT, Sputnik, SCMP, etc. to be banned as well under similar pretenses.
"Comrades! We can not let these Western dogs infect our proud Soviet minds with this 'Radio Free Europe'!"
The problem with Modernity is that the systems and structures that humans have built to ensure continued human flourishing within these deeply rooted social bonds have grown far beyond their original scale. You can blame capitalism, the state, whatever, it doesn't really matter. What's important is that as the state or capital grow (and they have to, or be killed by others which do), they must necessarily tear down the old order; debride the old traditions which hinder its continued growth.
The end-state of this, which we can see best in places like East Asia, or California, is society in which humans are interchangeable chess pieces. People are atomized from any received community or tradition. Thus, reproduction is viewed not as a natural stage of life — an essential component in the ordered tradition in which they live their life — but as an object of luxury consumption. Very luxury! Which is why people in these regions tend to stick to one kid, maybe two (and if you walk around Seoul, you'll see plenty of dogs in strollers: much cheaper!)
In societies which haven't yet reached that end state, we see the same effect as the forces of Modernity inexorably creep in: religion wanes, tradition falters, birthrates fall. Be it Salt Lake or Suzhou, Tehran or Tokyo, we see this pattern in every place wherever Modernity is made manifest.