155 karma · joined March 16, 2020
- NRx = New Reactionism
- Yarvinism = replacing democracy with “accountable dictatorship” (resembling corporate governance, with a hopefully benevolent dictator + a board)
- RAGE = Retire All Government Employees
Sounds like a Peter Thiel wet dream
The rest of it is self evident, but I’m not going to be the one to say it out loud.
Models are pretty much fungible at this point if you’re not trying to do any LoRAs or fine tunes.
This will cause an ecological disaster out of sight, out of mind. It’s a travesty.
At this point Gemini is as good as GPT4 (and anecdotally I think it's better at many coding assistance tasks, based on my experiments on the LMSys chatbot arena). Sora is getting a lot of press for text-to-video, but Google's Lumiere has already been out for a few weeks and produces pretty good results.
I have no doubt that OpenAI has been cooking things up. GPT-4 is an older model which others are only just catching up to now. They have an A+ team, a giant war chest, and a lot of momentum. But just because they have momentum does not mean that they have a moat.
I'd be willing to wager that the top-of-the-line foundational models are going to converge and become indistinguishable for almost all tasks. Even the open foundation models (e.g. Mixtral) are getting really good. Foundation models are not moats.
The players that have moats are Microsoft (with deep enterprise software & B2B expertise, allowing them to sell AI-powered software & ward off competition from upstarts) and Google (where their decade of investment into custom silicon allows them to train & run inference for cheaper than anyone else, by far).
The car does provide "freedom of movement" in a libertarian fantasy way, but in reality one gives up your privacy with a drivers license. Speed traps and cameras track license plates, police can stop you, and you need to be sober. You are paying rent in the form of license fees and parking tickets; and you are paying for fuel which relies upon a long and complicated supply chain.
In urban areas, one might imagine other types of freedom. Such as the choice of walking/biking/bus/taxi/tram/subway in addition to driving, or some combination of those.
> I fear peak hours will become something of a bidding war where nobody wins.
If only there was a public option that wasn't surge-priced.
Take from that what you will, and not denying the existence of corruption in this one-party state government political machine, but the editorialized title in this hacker news post is really misleading.
For the record, I am skeptical of philanthropy to begin with, but I am nonetheless interested in what followers of EA might have to say to counter this assertion ^.
This is the wrong direction for the world to move in. We need to make our transportation efficient both to reduce emissions and not pillage the earth for rare minerals for these self driving electric cars.
MOST (not all) 3 hour drives can and should be done through train trips. Trains are efficient, they offer more equitable access to transportation, and they can be very fast. The American obsession with the automobile, and the way that obsession is pushed internationally through exported media, will ruin us all.