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seraphsf

532 karma · joined January 3, 2019

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seraphsf··on My new deadline: 20 years to give away virtually all my wealth
Bravo!

Future generation will be richer and better-off than the present. Saving your charity for the future is, effectively, stealing from the poor and giving to the rich.

Also, giving now maximizes the compounding effect of your charity. Saving 100 lives today is way better than saving 10 lives every decade for the next 10 decades.

seraphsf··on An evaluation of frontier AI models: OpenAI's o1 was capable of scheming
There's clickbait out there like BGR's headline, "ChatGPT o1 tried to escape and save itself out of fear it was being shut down".

What the test actually showed is that, given two conflicting goals from two human instructors, the model attempted to resolve the conflict by following one set of instructions, and subverting the other instructor.

It’s a good demonstration about how these models behave and what could go wrong. It is not an example of volition or sentience.

seraphsf··on OpenAI seeks to unlock investment by ditching 'AGI' clause with Microsoft
Frankly, the mission of "safe AGI" is better served by guaranteed wide distribution of the technology -- not only to MSFT but on fair commercial terms to all comers. I'm less worried about AGI being a bad thing, and more worried about AGI being monopolized by a powerful few.
seraphsf··on OpenAI seeks to unlock investment by ditching 'AGI' clause with Microsoft
https://archive.is/pmudc

Frankly, the mission of "safe AGI" is better served by guaranteed wide distribution of the technology -- not only to MSFT but on fair commercial terms to all comers. I'm less worried about AGI being a bad thing, and more worried about AGI being monopolized by a powerful few.

seraphsf··on Apple Watch sleep apnea detection gets FDA approval
That feeling of being "smothered" might simply be that you need a higher pressure setting. The pressure that feels comfortable while awake might not be sufficient when your body is asleep.
seraphsf··on Japan's first-ever soft lunar landing with SLIM spacecraft [video]
Love that movie! What an amazing piece of small-scale sci-fi.
seraphsf··on Boeing wants FAA to exempt MAX 7 from safety rules to get it in the air
Punch line: the 737-MAX has an accident rate 12x higher than the 737.

Stunning.

seraphsf··on Reflecting on 18 Years at Google
1) in the case of Area 120, this is one of the ways it was pitched to management. “Passionate entrepreneurs are leaving to work on new ideas; if you give them a place inside Google to pursue new ideas, it keeps them and their entrepreneurial energy at the company.”

2) in general, early Google used to hoard talent all the time. The founders would keep great people (or their friends) on payroll for ~ever just to have them stick around. That was most prevalent in the first decade of Google’s life, to my knowledge, and mostly applied to very senior people.

By the time Area 120 was pitched and approved (circa 2014), those days were largely gone. Area 120 was primarily filled with junior people (L4-L6) and constantly had to sing for its supper - it was not at all a sinecure.

seraphsf··on Reflecting on 18 Years at Google
You’re not wrong. They were among the top 10% of people I worked with in terms of passion, commitment, and creativity. They weren’t among the top 10% in terms of their skill in navigating Dilbert-land corporatism.

A significant number of the people in Area 120 projects were folks who were stifled and/or wasted in their previous Google jobs. One explicit purpose of Area 120 was to prevent the loss of these entrepreneurs to outside startups. Not incidentally, this was a form of cultural reinforcement - Area 120 burnished Google’s reputation as a good home for entrepreneurial mindsets.

seraphsf··on Reflecting on 18 Years at Google
Which 5% of projects are really great? In my experience, presuming you have tight filters such that all of your projects are plausibly potentially great, you really don’t know until you try. That’s the point of an incubator.

It’s not that hard to evaluate when something is working (ie the hard part in evaluation is false negatives, not false positives).

In Area 120’s case there was no coasting - if anything there was a hair-trigger standard to shut down underperforming projects.

seraphsf··on Reflecting on 18 Years at Google
I ran one of the successful projects in Area 120.

I joined Area 120 with huge skepticism. It was hamstrung and inefficient in its own ways. And I agree it didn’t reach its potential - largely because it was encased in Google 2020 instead of Google 2007.

But to my surprise almost all of the projects were impressive, well-conceived, promising bets. And the people in Area 120 were among the top 10% of Googlers I worked with in my decade at the company.

Google killed Area 120 because of bureaucracy and politics, full stop. Google is worse off because of it.

seraphsf··on Mexico’s underground vanilla economy
It’s striking that: “The justice system in Veracruz can’t be relied on to investigate, punish, or deter criminals, nor has the government launched a major campaign to boost the vanilla industry”

And later: “In Mexico, the majority of businesses are small, informal, and off the books.”

It’s a tragic catch-22 of developing nations that governments are inept and corrupt for lack of funds. While distrust of government and rampant tax avoidance cause systemic underfunding.

seraphsf··on Don't Take VC Funding – It Will Destroy Your Company
A fun puzzle: if today you take $10m of VC funding at a $20m post-money valuation (ie you sold 50% your company), how much will you get if you sell the company for $20m tomorrow?

Answer: typically, you’ll walk away with $5m (25%) or less. VC funds usually have a 1x preference, which means the get their $10m back (plus interest), and THEN they split the remaining proceeds with you 50-50%.

So if you take VC money, you might have to double your valuation just to keep your take-home value the same.

VC makes sense if you can grow fast and very large. But assuming you have scenarios to grow slower or to a smaller size, those scenarios often turn into bad ones if you’ve taken VC funding.

seraphsf··on A Crashed Israeli Lunar Lander Spilled Tardigrades on the Moon (2019)
https://archive.ph/T2xxh
seraphsf··on What it's like to go blind (2015)
More about Cristina Hartmann, the author, at her website: https://cristinahartmann.com/about/
seraphsf··on 'Algebra for none' fails in San Francisco
A private, after-school extra curricular program. It’s a national company with many local branches (possibly franchised). Like Kumon, it’s a way for ambitious parents to buy extra academic classes and extra homework for their kids.
seraphsf··on Google CEO: “can we change the setting of this group to history-off” [pdf]
Today, we use instant messaging like we use voice conversation - especially for people who work remotely. Banning the use of ephemeral IM is sort of like saying “you need to record all of your discussions, no matter how trivial”.

Levine’s article makes a great point:

“It really is wild that the SEC’s official position is now that it is illegal to “use unofficial communications to do things like cut deals, win clients or make trades.” “Conduct their communications about business matters within only official channels”! Imagine if that was really the rule! You can’t have lunch with a client and talk about business, or have beers with your colleagues and gripe about work, because that does not create a searchable archive for the SEC to review.”

seraphsf··on Dishwasher Salmon
There’s an awesome cookbook on this topic, Manifold Destiny: https://books.google.com/books/about/Manifold_Destiny.html?i...

I played around with the idea with my first Jeep Wrangler, a burly car with a perfectly exposed engine block. Never cooked anything, but I was endlessly entertained by the idea that I might. I suppose the transition to EVs will steal this particular daydream from my kids…

seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
Hotspot 2.0, a.k.a. Passpoint. Within that standard, the phones, WiFi networks, and carriers are all using EAP-AKA or EAP-SIM authentication.
seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
Yes, WiFi offload uses the Hotspot 2.0 spec with mutual authentication (EAP-AKA or EAP-SIM typically). Both the phone and the WiFi network will mutually authenticate with the carrier’s Authentication Server.
seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
Frankly, I don’t know. This thread is the first I’ve heard of it.

Carriers ask phone makers for config changes all the time. It’s possible this is a new capability that was requested by certain carriers.

To be fair, it’s also possible that the OP and I are misinterpreting what’s going on. For instance, iOS syncs your preferences across devices. Perhaps there’s some bug that’s causing the wrong setting to propagate back to this person’s phone because their iPads, etc are still set to allow “auto join”.

seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
No. That’s not how it works. These managed networks require a specific secure authentication from the carrier itself.
seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
Yes. These managed networks require EAP-SIM (or something similar).
seraphsf··on Tell HN: iOS lets carriers add WiFi networks that you can’t stop from joining
I know something about this. I built and ran a service for carriers to help with “WiFi offload”.

It’s intended as a consumer-friendly way to increase capacity in dense areas (like a sports stadium or mall) where the carrier’s cell towers don’t have enough capacity.

Wifi offloading is not new. AT&T helped invent these standards back in ~2009 when their network was getting crushed by massive increases in traffic as iPhone usage took off.

WiFi offload networks are configured as “Managed Networks” which are lower priority than any user-selected networks. You can disable them by turning off “auto-join”. (Also these WiFi offload networks are secure; you can’t spoof them).

However it appears that the original poster’s carrier (presumably Xfinity Mobile or Spectrum Mobile) has done something new - they’ve disabled the user’s ability to turn off “auto-join” on iOS. Some overzealous team is trying to lower their cellular costs. That’s because both Comcast and Spectrum rent capacity on Verizon Wireless towers, but their MVNO cellular service is not profitable unless their customers are using the cable company’s own WiFi fairly often.

However this (disabling “auto-join”) is a dumb move. It’s obviously problematic for users whose neighbors are broadcasting the [Xfinity WiFi or Spectrum Mobile?] SSID.

To my knowledge, no major carrier does this. If you’re on AT&T, T-Mobile, or Verizon, the “managed offload networks” can be easily disabled. And the major carriers are using higher-quality commercial WiFi networks for offload, not random home cable modems.

seraphsf··on I am done. I give up
Silicon Valley trains entrepreneurs the way World War I trained infantry. The goal is NOT to make most succeed.
seraphsf··on Modern city dwellers have lost about half their gut microbes
I know a person who contracted a transient parasite infection, possibly hookworm, while doing research in Africa and walking around barefoot. In the decade+ since, they’ve suffered terribly from debilitating and incurable auto-immune diseases brought on by the initial parasite infection.

So, YMMV.

seraphsf··on Observing my cellphone switch towers
The Magma project is also an OSS LTE (and 5G) project: https://connectivity.fb.com/magma/
seraphsf··on How Billionaire Robert Smith Avoided Indictment in Multimillion-Dollar Tax Case
What’s the tax compliant way?
seraphsf··on We read the paper that forced Timnit Gebru out of Google
She was fired after sending a mass email, to hundreds of colleagues, criticizing her employer in very strong terms. What company wouldn’t fire an exec who sends a “f* this place” email to the company mailing list?
seraphsf··on Google Photos will end its free unlimited storage in June 2021
If you delete from Google Photos on the web from your desktop, the iPhone client will prompt you to allow deletion of those same photos from your iPhone’s Photos app (and hence iCloud, I think).

So, just do your deletion on the Google Photos web client on desktop. The culled photos will be culled from Apple Photos as well.

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