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shapefrog

2,326 karma · joined June 21, 2021

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shapefrog··on Kelly Criterion Simulator
Their estimates: Win probability 100% -- Odds / payout 100-1.
shapefrog··on The Dunning-Kruger effect may just be a data artefact (2020)
gell mann effect leads me to pay closer attention and then its game over
shapefrog··on Dario worried people were joining Anthropic for the money, not the mission
Did he not notice that every CV listed the previous "mission" as reimagining money with shitcoins and NFTs?
shapefrog··on YC CEO says he ships 37K LoC AI code per day. A developer looked under the hood
I thought you generally knew what you were talking about till i read this. Now I am wondering if you know anything at all.
shapefrog··on YC CEO says he ships 37K LoC AI code per day. A developer looked under the hood
Garry is buying horses for all the defenders in this thread.

No he wont fund your startup.

shapefrog··on Car touchscreens are cheap, not good
I think the reality is that it is harder to sell a subscription to a button than it is to software.
shapefrog··on How the U.S. Engineered Its Sovereignty
I guess the same goes for why the Americans attempt export controls in 2026
shapefrog··on It's not about physical vs. digital games, it's about ownership
Need to smear some A1 on those NFTs to get the job done properly.
shapefrog··on It's not about physical vs. digital games, it's about ownership
> I am generally not in favor of adding regulation

Then let the market decide.

shapefrog··on It's not about physical vs. digital games, it's about ownership
It is still, as far as I am aware, possible to steal a rental car.
shapefrog··on How the U.S. Engineered Its Sovereignty
Kinda glossed over the whole IP theft industrial espionage thing.

Not at all ironic given the shrieking about China.

shapefrog··on Are DOGE's Claims of Social Security Payments to 150-Year-Olds Way Off Base?
strangely, that is exactly how the system works.
shapefrog··on FBI has obtained 7k Lockbit ransomware decryption keys
They are (subtly) saying cyber criminals are all from / in other countries.
shapefrog··on FBI raids Atlanta corporate landlord in probe of rental market price fixing
It is very basic maths as well (that evades most small time landlords).

100% occupancy at 90% of the market price with high quality tenants makes you more money than 80% occupancy + agent advertising / finding fees at full market price with bad tenants.

shapefrog··on Is $203T in derivatives held by top banks causing an ‘everything bubble’?
> everything bubble except gold , oil, and other commodities

and wages for everyday working joes

but Nvidia tho

shapefrog··on U.S. to invest billions to replace China-made cranes at nation's ports
The rules are clear. There is one set for them and one set for us, we are afterall The Good Guys (tm)
shapefrog··on Stable Diffusion 3
I think you are seeing things from a bubble.

Most people in the country dont give a shit about historical injustices and are worried about how they are going to pay their rent or put food on the table today.

shapefrog··on Stable Diffusion 3
> What is it specifically that company management is worried about?

As with all hype techs, even the most talented management are barely literate in the product. When talking about their new trillion $ product they must take their talking points from the established literature and "fake it till they make it".

If the other big players say "billions of parameters" you chuck in as many as you can. If the buzz words are "tokens" you say we have lots of tokens. If the buzz words are "safety" you say we are super safe. You say them all and hope against hope that nobody asks a simple question you are not equipped to answer that will show you dont actually know what you are talking about.

shapefrog··on Plastic is taking over farms
> Plastic is the foundation of so many aspects of modern life

I genuinely can not think of a single product that only exists thanks to plastic.

shapefrog··on Most UK firms stick with a four-day working week after trial
From the original "experiment" https://www.cnbc.com/2023/02/24/worlds-biggest-4-day-workwee...

The experiment uses a 100-80-100 model: workers get 100% of the pay for working 80% of the time in exchange for delivering 100% of their usual output.

Would only be assuming, however, given the success it would appear that it was achieved.

fwiw I do not think that I have encountered a "knowledge worker" who couldnt do 100% of their job in 80% of the time with minimal effort. Manual jobs / service jobs obviously different of course.

shapefrog··on Google's Gemma to run locally on Nvidia GPUs
I'm ok, I self identify as a black woman.
shapefrog··on Wayfair CEO tells employees to 'work longer hours' in year-end email
> Just fire people and say you over-hired, holy cow.

That would be the "lazy" way out. It would also be simple, fast, honest, straightforward and show respect to everyone involved.

shapefrog··on Surveillance-by-Design in Proposed Amendments to the UK Investigatory Powers Act
The political class and media STILL to actively ridicule China's Great Firewall while proposing the same thing while claiming that it is "completely different".

Wait till you hear their thoughts on the disgusting social credit system ...

shapefrog··on Surveillance-by-Design in Proposed Amendments to the UK Investigatory Powers Act
The conservative party bears the mark of a party of the uneducated and unemployed.

As little as laywers bring to the table, its at least something.

shapefrog··on Fujitsu bugs that sent innocent people to prison were known "from the start"
prisons don't work, don't deter crime, don't rehabilitate... for poor people

rich people on the other hand

shapefrog··on Fujitsu bugs that sent innocent people to prison were known "from the start"
as a former choir boy ... well, let me not finish that sentence
shapefrog··on Scientists aren't using ChatGPT – here's why
tldr: it did not perform well enough to be useful

I concur

shapefrog··on Grid operator to interfere in Finnish electricity market after bidding error
I suspect you will find "too big to fail" in the utilities sector pre-dates by a couple of decades.
shapefrog··on Before OpenAI, Sam Altman was fired from Y Combinator by his mentor
> she risked people's lives

She was found not guilty of that bit. The conviction and jail time is only for defrauding the investors.

shapefrog··on Governments turn to Open Source for sovereignty
Probably the way that for most people "free open source software" means 1) Zero cost 2) Some other stuff
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