I feel bound to say they’re bounding along boundlessly
1,498 karma · joined November 6, 2012
You can buy a version from gog that runs on Windows 10 requiring 2 GB of RAM and an unspecified 1.8GHz CPU [2]
The archive link was posted [1] long before you posted. Also from the HN FAQ [2]:
> Are paywalls ok?
It's ok to post stories from sites with paywalls that have workarounds.
In comments, it's ok to ask how to read an article and to help other users do so. But please don't post complaints about paywalls. Those are off topic.
If I write a program:
if (rand() % 2) launch_missles();
And wire that function to actually launch a missile, the computer didn’t make a decision. And so it is with people prompting agents.
I’d estimate the total global HFT revenue to be 100 billion dollars a year, which is less than Apple and a tiny percentage of all big tech combined.
I am around 1500 (actually 1649 on lichess blitz, but close enough).
I explored the last 5 games I played on lichess. Here are the number of moves before lichess had never seen that position before for each of the 5 games: 6, 12, 16, 15, 11.
> If you find yourself in a novel position within 10-15 moves it's likely a resignable one
The opponent is also going to be in a novel position. Should both players resign?
Just in case you think this is limited to low rated players like 1500s, look at MagnusCarlsen's most used account on Blitz: https://lichess.org/@/DrNykterstein/search?perf=2
You will see that most games become unique to the whole of lichess within 15-20 moves and a good chunk between 10-15.
Or could we take your original statement to its logical conclusion and change the title to just “OpenAI commits crime”?
Sure, but doesn’t it depend on the circumstances?
Conservatively there are well over 10 to the 30 positions likely to show up in realistic games.
There are of the order of 10 to the 10 or so games recorded.
Thus well under one in a trillion positions are "known".
As a 1500 elo human I can tell you that a 1500 elo chess engine doesn't play like anything like a 1500 elo human.
It might be fine for pure navigation to addresses but business addresses and other metadata are often missing or out of date because people only bother to update Google Maps. Also that’s where all the reviews are.
I don’t want to use two different apps for navigation vs finding businesses.
Things I seem to be average or above average at that I’d expect aphantasia to be a disadvantage for:
- the “chimp test” (search if you don’t know what this is)
- chess (but I have hit a wall at 1500 on chess.com and I find it very hard to explore future moves in my head more than a few. I feel like if I studied chess 8 hours a day for 30 years I still couldn’t hope to play blindfold chess)
- remembering numbers and computer facts.
- spelling including remembering spellings of obscure surnames I’ve never heard of before
I think even people without aphantasia can’t typically use visualisation for reliable storage of things even in the short term, correct me if I’m wrong. A extremely rare few have a photographic memory.
The remainder either have an explicit hard cap or some kind of fair use clause that throttles when you reach some undisclosed amount.
Not sure where you're quoting from but if it's the metaculus question comments, many of them are from 2023. The consensus is it will resolve in 2029. I believe it will not resolve before 2035.
I've tried [1] and I almost 100% detect which is the AI. I really want to convince myself I have failed, does anyone know of a better site/resource for this?
I know it might be moving goalposts but I would consider AI to have passed in a well and truly undisputed manner when [2] is resolved.
But in a more practical sense, if AI can impersonate humans so well today then why are state of the art frontier models so obviously AI when they create PRs, commit messages, documentation, etc. Are the companies deliberately making them unnatural?
[2] https://www.metaculus.com/questions/11861/date-when-ai-passe...