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someben

100 karma · joined April 17, 2012

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someben··on Restricted Navigation Reader for Exercise
PDF & Markdown viewer with intentionally restricted navigation, so you can mash the buttons easily on a tablet while exercising.
someben··on The Usefulness of Reinforcement Learning in Finance (2018) [pdf]
Wow 2007 called and wants its Ornstein-Uhlenbeck back.
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
I added Discworld to TextCraft.
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
Adding right now.
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
Hmm, do you have a specific example? (Of the MUD and client?)
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
That would be slick. However I think Slack keeping up with nice clients on every platform imaginable is a nice way to piggyback.
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
Great thanks. I'll add links to the homepage.
someben··on TextCraft, Slack as old-school MUD client
I've been tempted to send a "look" or "inv(entory)" command to keep-alive a session. Hmm...
someben··on Skream, online time-series Clojure library with sketches
Will try to put together some benchmarks for the cooler sketches & summary stats. Doing mutual information across two millisecond streams could be pretty convincing!
someben··on Mellow, the robotic sous-chef
Most important comment on this thread.
someben··on Ask HN: Closed captioning API
Thanks!
someben··on Deeply Moving: Deep Learning for Sentiment Analysis
New Ruby module on Github to import & parse the treebank corpus: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=6395420
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
Check out the behavioral finance literature, like the Shleifer book: http://www.amazon.com/Inefficient-Markets-Introduction-Behav...
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
When people use derivatives to hedge their exposure to "bad things happening" and the market is not very liquid (i.e. BTC), arbitrage opportunities can persist. For example, if there is no buyer at an out-of-the-money option strike price I know is overpriced, then the market cannot correct itself even though I am "right." When these mis-pricings stick around for a while, the eventual corrections are often much more extreme. Derivatives reduce overall volatility when the spot market is mature and liquid, which is a far cry from MtGox right now.
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
Logistic regression and other parametric, non-regularized linear learners tend to do poorly with NLP forecasting -type modeling. (They usually overfit.)
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
That Twitter paper has been torn to shreds over the last couple of years. Here is me snarking: http://blog.someben.com/2011/05/sour-grapes-seven-reasons-wh...
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
What is your source for the ole' "derivatives reduce volatility in the spot market" assumption?
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
Or it would cannibalize their real business, reputation-wise. Imagine if Quicken started trading TurboTax data...
someben··on Google Search Terms Can Predict the Stock Market
Out-of-sample backtest or it didn't happen. Out of a bunch of random search queries, chances are several of them will be "predictive" of futures moves in an index. Big whoop.
someben··on A High Frequency Trader's Apologia, Part 1
Kinda an obvious introduction to order books. Later I hope he gets into the rebate mechanism:

http://www.interactivebrokers.com/en/accounts/fees/NYSEstkfe...

Note that you get PAID for placing certain types of orders.