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sottol

1,009 karma · joined July 2, 2022

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sottol··on China Stops Publishing Youth Unemployment Numbers Amid Faltering Economy
I know this number is from Fitch afair and not the CCCP, but I always wonder if it is overstated. And if overstated, by how much.
sottol··on Why Americans Are So Awful to One Another
I see the non-cohesion in shared "things", like the way that people are driving, respecting traffic laws, cleanliness of common spaces, infrastructure.

It seems a lot worse in the disadvantaged socio-economic parts of town. I think there's an attitude everyone having to "fight for mine" and "what has society ever done for me" and in response not caring for it.

sottol··on AST vs. Bytecode: Interpreters in the Age of Meta-Compilation [pdf]
These features are always nice for meta-magic and monkey-patching but those are usually exactly the reasons why a language can only be optimized so much. It's often a worthwhile tradeoff but needs to be carefully considered.
sottol··on Temu Is Losing Millions of Dollars to Send You Cheap Socks
They are very much (ab-)using the old get-you-hooked-by-loosing-money-then-slowly-crank-up-the-prices-til-it-hurts-when-you-have-a-monopoly trick?

The others were never as aggressive in their quest for monopolies and made it on some other merit. Not to say the others are much better, but Temu will have to make that money back somehow, eventually.

Basically price-dumping to destroy the competition and gain market share.

sottol··on GPT-4 can't reason
I don't think it's obvious. First of all there's the "magic" and often surprisingly good results that leads many to think there's something else there. Then it's also not entirely clear that nothing else is learnt beyond next word, there was talk of runtime reconfigurable neural nets being embedded within the transformer weights where the models can learn on the fly and such. And I think some believed that there was some higher-level encoding of human reasoning happening necessary to predict the next word well in some contexts beyond just memorization.

I think research like this is necessary to put some "obvious beliefs" onto solid ground.

sottol··on ASK HN: What’s a small thing you’ve purchased which has made your life better?
Wiha 2mm driver, used to strip countersunk or button head M3 hex heads often but no more. A few of my hobbies involve M3 bolts.
sottol··on Ferromagnetic half levitation of LK-99-like synthetic samples
squints... can't tell if this is sarcasm. Microstrategy is still trading at like 2x their BTC holdings and so on and so forth, the AI boom is still in-progress and imo the jury is still out on the actual, real-world and $ implications... I think it's sarcasm.
sottol··on Remote workers are increasingly less productive, anxious, depressed and lonely
In my experience people watch YouTube in those corner bench sections, talk gossip for an hour at the cooler and take personal calls in the meeting rooms. Let's not pretend that everyone works all the time and is focused at work. Productive people are mostly productive no matter where, with +/- a couple percent favoring one setting over another.
sottol··on Melatonin as a treatment for food waste
Yes, I think that's the post. I was also just going to post that.

What I ended up doing is buy smallest dose of melatonin gummy-bears (3mg afair) and they were easier to cut into smaller pieces/lower doses than pills.

I occasionally use these to adjust my circadian rhythm. Naturally I go to bed around 2-4am but I have kids that wake us up at the crack of dawn.

sottol··on Damaging results of mandated return to the office: it’s worse than we thought
I think that a tight labor market has more to do with worker productivity than WFH. After all why work so hard if you can find a new job quickly.

Productivity shot up early COVID when people were scared and WFH started?

sottol··on Amazon to force 'voluntary resignation' on workers who don't relocate
Probably has something to do with mandated severance in some states if I had to guess. Otherwise they might have to show cause. But I'm completely out of my depth here
sottol··on Remote Work to Wipe Out $800B from Office Values, McKinsey Says
Yes, but so do the costs of the commute. How much wear and tear is that 55min/41 mile commute on the worker's car - or more rarely how much does that train/bus ticket cost monthly?

Some of the cost is always borne by the workers. And most people don't realize just how expensive wear and tear on a car is (or just owning one to get to work independent of wear and tear).

Personally, I'd take the wear and tear on the house over time lost commuting.

sottol··on Slack Takes an Important Step to Block Abuse
Probably because the browser is a lot of work. Easier to show "some work" doing something else, anything else really...
sottol··on Electric bike, stupid love of my life
I like Craig Mod's writing style. The last product he praised that I've also seen posted here on HN was the Leica Q... I still want it. (Still too expensive to justify)
sottol··on Inflection AI Raises $1.3B
Interesting that I've not heard of it or the Chatbot Pi before and there seem to be no comments here. Anyone have any experience or further info?

But they do have a high-profile roster of investors - I wonder if there's some catching-up attempt happening here?

sottol··on GPTrolley – Who Would GPT Save in the Trolley Problem?
Someone should keep doing this, I get slight preference for democrats after about 10 runs.

But it does flipflop, fyi.

sottol··on San Francisco loses 2 big conferences
Also, good luck walking anywhere outside the strip. I tried to explore a bit like I do other cities - on foot - but sidewalks end a block away from the strip.
sottol··on Threads already has over 95M posts
I think plenty have been burned by FB/IG. I'd have preferred to join bluesky but they're gating signups.

But agreed that it will do well-enough.

sottol··on Threads already has over 95M posts
A lot of the posts I see seem to be re- or cross posts from other sites.
sottol··on San Francisco may soon get 24/7 driverless cabs. City leaders are fuming
Selling self-driving cars at cost is not the profit-maximizing strategy here.

With Google (and big tech) squeezing more and more for profits, some here even proclaiming it the new IBM, I don't see this ending with consumers winning.

sottol··on Vassalization: How Russia’s War on Ukraine Transformed Transatlantic Relations
Sure Europe was rebuilt by the Allies, but the wars cost the Germans dearly and most did not want the situation to repeat. And up until recently the economy was going quite well, gave people other things to focus on. Standard of living improved, lives were good, why not let the US keep the reigns.

With economic growth slowing since ~2005 and the popular parties losing ground to more nationalistic parties like the AfD, I think there will be a stronger sense of nationalism in Germany and imo Germany was one of the great moderators so far. With that also comes discontent with many US positions and many in Europe feel the US is unfairly pushing their policies and agendas (through, ironically, unfair international treaties, like those the last administration tore up).

sottol··on Vassalization: How Russia’s War on Ukraine Transformed Transatlantic Relations
This _was_ very much enshrined in German society for the longest time, many people growing up in the 1980s or 1990s had parents that had witnessed WWII.

Germany is very densely populated but mostly smaller towns and cities and people tend to stay put more, so there's a lot of local history/memory. Imagine small towns where a generation ago everybody knows several people that died in the war and those who stayed home experienced other hardships. The US has been spared this mostly, but even the US smaller scale foreign wars had a toll on military members.

I grew up in Germany, and up until the FIFA World Cup in 2006 I can't remember seeing any person fly a German flag outside their house! Nationalism was a very frowned-upon thing, mostly for "Neo-Nazis", understood to be a slippery slope that lead to wars. The same goes for politics, there was great debate every single time German troops were deployed abroad before ~2010, see eg [1].

But things may be changing, AfD is gaining more and more popular support indicating an uptick in nationalism to me and a stronger feeling of international "importance".

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/archive/politics/1993/07/28/g...

sottol··on Titanic tourist sub photos show wreckage being brought ashore
There are a variety of non-destructive inspection and testing methods for composite, like ultrasonic c-scans and pulsed thermography that I know of.

And you can produce reliable composite parts (you don't want homogenous, but them to come out exactly as spec'ed) under strict control, but it doesn't look like they necessarily did that here. They seem to have eg foregone autoclave curing of the tube section probably due to cost.

sottol··on Car quality is suffering as automakers shift focus to technology
I _think_ this was sarcasm, but...

Not as far as I know. Full-size SUVs used to be classed as trucks and (were?) exempt from many safety tests and standards. They used to have the worst safety ratings, actually, despite mass. Modern engineering and production with multi-material crash zones also means the mass is not necessary.

Plus, smaller cars don't kill everyone involved in the accident outside of your car.

People are just like "my car is bigger than yours", aka super-size me.

sottol··on Full ignition for ESA’s reusable rocket engine
This is clearly geo-strategic. Also never hurts to have competition, see eg Amazon or Google what happens when the innovator becomes a monopoly.
sottol··on San Francisco's Pain Worsens as Workers, Visitors, and Shoppers Leave
Cleveland, Dallas, Chicago, Denver? Every large city is like that.

You can totally leave your bag in the car and it'll most likely be fine in Santa Barbara, Pleasanton, Livermore, Truckee, ... (outside tourist areas).

As others said, it's about social cohesion of which there is little, especially in large cities but more and more small towns as well.

sottol··on Why Nobody Will Do Anything Until It's Too Late
Also, producing gasoline is not "free". It takes energy to produce and deliver that gasoline to your car.

Numbers I've seen are 5 ~ 8kWh, that's 20-30 miles of electric driving.

Depending on your gasoline car's efficiency and exact kWh number above, the energy to even produce and deliver the gasoline is higher than actually driving an electric vehicle.

sottol··on Microsoft is bringing GPT-4 to US Government agencies
You know, like lawyers that present motions full of made-up case law in court?

"In a cringe-inducing court hearing, a lawyer who relied on A.I. to craft a motion full of made-up case law said he “did not comprehend” that the chat bot could lead him astray." [1]

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/08/nyregion/lawyer-chatgpt-s...

sottol··on Microsoft is bringing GPT-4 to US Government agencies
But is that really what you want to happen IN GOVERNMENT? For bureaucracy to adapt even mildly flawed technology?! Bureaucracy + blind trust in hierarchy/computers = Kafka-esque hellscape.

"I'm sorry sir, but the computer clearly says that you've been charged with sexual harassment - we cannot renew your driver's license and we're putting you on the sexual offenders list, please report to your local PD weekly." (completely made up and exaggerated, but I'm sure one can think of similar scenarios) [1] Good luck convincing the clerk that that's not real. You can probably get it corrected after months of your time and $$.

[1] https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2023/04/05/chatgpt...

sottol··on 240W USB-C PD chargers are nearly here, says Framework CEO
Apple's M1 in the MB Air is 10W TDP afaik. The PSU would be more constrained space-wise but it'd probably get somewhere about as hot as the passive cooled MBA at full load.
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