Practice by being wrong often. Opinions shouldn’t be fixed, if you’re intellectually flexible and always taking in new data, your opinions will always be changing. Static thinking is the knob goblin of tiny minds.
“ study does not directly address whether an acute treatment with vitamin D could be helpful for infected individuals, Patchen said, nor does it imply that one shouldn’t take vitamin D supplements”
Nutrition research is junk science so I expect this sort of thing by now.
Consider fake meat. A veggie burger used to cost a buck or so. Compare that to today’s beyond beef which is almost beyond beef in price. Hedonic adjustments in everything.
I am trying to say that Bitcoin has caused a change in the types of crimes that are being committed. It’s easily quantifiable. When I say it is blood money I mean that it is a way to pay for assassinations. Assassination markets are not new but Bitcoin as technology changes scale. Scale matters, regardless of what you believe.
Incentives matter. Bitcoin incentivizes certain types of criminal activity. As Bitcoin grows the negative externalities will become more pronounced. I truly don’t get the ethics of it. It is killing people, literally blood money as a great new technology. Bonus points for incentivizing climate destruction and burning of fossil fuels. I don’t understand the ethics of it.
It’s as though a year of high pitched media alarms going off about the impending wave of death and devastation, 24-7 news flooding the zone created with the intention to incite fear, gloom and doom in the American people, astonishingly enough with the paternalistic conviction it’s for “our” own good — it’s as though all that might somehow desensitize people. I call it a reorientation to risk. We went paste the fear saturation point. Consequences will never be the same.
I agree. Sadly I think some fraction of these people, maybe many tens of thousands, will end up homeless or opting for “van life” as a result of their reorientation to risk.
Excellent point. It’s a problem with operational definitions which plagues a lot of research.
But “scale” in this context implies economic efficiency. You can’t give every kid a full time counselor. You can write a script to send sms messages.
One question for the tech community, to what extent can advances in ai and other technology impact this question of scale/efficiency. If the student doesn’t know his counselor is a bot, maybe the nudges become more impactful.
Tsla buys Bitcoin, tsla makes it into the s&p. That’s what’s wrong with it. It’s not stupid greedy easy come easy go money, it’s honest folks retirement account money that is in effect stolen from them.
The climate doesn’t care about per capita though. If more than half of all coal plants are in China, then China needs to change if we have any hope of moving the needle. All the other countries can change but it won’t matter.
The math here is simple. Economy = vaccination rate. People aren’t getting vaccinated so we can’t return to business as usual. People who claim it’s about incentives like wages or unemployment pay are imposing their agenda on the facts. It’s all about vaccinations at this point. We vaccinate everyone or get stagflation.
Except budgets by definition are limited. We cannot do all the things all the time. Sorry to be a buzzkill but we need adult minds on this problem, not simpletons who can’t understand how limited our options are at this point.
I don’t think any human mind can know the whole truth in the typical sense of knowing. My view is one that allows for mystery and features an unknowable or imperfectly knowable Truth. I’m inclined towards a more humble assessment of human progress, seeing most knowledge as imperfect. Science alone points me towards full determinism, but the reality of experience tells me free will exists. There must be something other than just genes and neurons and randomness. If you believe in free will and accept materialistic reductionist explanations, then it is on you to say what that “something other” is. I’m all ears but if dennet can’t convince me then you probably won’t either. For me, my “something other” is faith, which is recursive is an appealing way.
“ doesn't seem to be any practical implications of whether there are or not.”
On one hand everything is material and deterministic (whether you confess to it or not — eg Dan dennet), on the other hand you have the possibility of free will, of human nobility and virtue.
Selfish genes sounds like doublespeak to me. I’m sure it’s true to some extent, but I’m confident that it’s not the whole Truth.
“ human brains are wired in such a way that we tend to hallucinate similar things?”
Yes, somewhere between jung and Oliver sacks — a biological basis for the collective unconscious. Religion IMO offers the most parsimonious explanation, to date.
I would argue that the distinction between periodic rebalancing and timing the market is subjective. Even if you aren’t trying to rebalance based on market conditions, ie selling at a high, the downsides of market timing are still there just the same. Just because you don’t care about the timing of your trades doesn’t mean the timing doesn’t matter.
It’s such a fundamental contradiction you see it everywhere. The quote “buy low, sell high” says we should time the market. Even the classic “percentage of bonds to stocks should be your age” requires us to time the market. And if you just buy stock when you happen to have spare cash, that too is “timing the market.”
I like offices too, but they are bad in many ways that ought to be acknowledged. To ask those who spend all day writing code to bookend that with an hour long commute each day, because other people enjoy “having a chat” is absurd.