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sprafa

1,468 karma · joined January 2, 2016

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sprafa··on The historical accuracy of medieval city-builder video games
It’s interesting and most likely not applicable - for the very same reasons you cant get realistic sword fighting (or even street fighting) in most Hollywood movies: realistic fighting doesn’t look as exciting as the fake thing.

Glad the author sees into that very clearly.

* Could be an interesting art game tho as someone pointed out below

sprafa··on Earth's energy imbalance removes almost all doubt from human-made climate change
This is tiny steps. I agree there is some evidence of movement in the right direction, but I can't agree that ESG puts a price on carbon - I don't know how much of an impact it has, but it's doubtful that it has the impact a carbon tax would.

Everything that you're saying is true but they are incremental changes. I would put a bet that within 10-20 years massive market regulation + carbon tax will be forced onto industries across the world - that will be because climate change will be such a huge multiplier of horrific things we'll be forced to. But by then it's likely too late for 1/2 of the world's population to escape unharmed.

In fact I increasingly suspect that climate change is already causing horrific events around the world that we are ignoring because we are in the first world. It would be interesting to go around agricultural areas in the hottest areas of the world and see if food insecurity is increasing. I would bet that we're already seeing huge changes, but because we're insulated from it, we're ignoring it.

Basically we're looking at the same facts, but I think you are a huge optimist.

sprafa··on Earth's energy imbalance removes almost all doubt from human-made climate change
The market won't be able to adapt fast enough, I think.

I don't think all prevailing narratives in the media are false. The idea that most of our industry benefits from climate change being considered an "externality" is true. Anyone who benefits from this unpriced "externality" has full interest in keeping it that way. And that's probably 90% of economic activity.

I have little doubt that the innovation will come from industry, but the issue is that as long as we consider all of this an externality the market has no forcing function to change.

On the Davos crowd who goes around talking about climate change while jetting around, that is a PR effort that's to be expected. In the end it doesn't matter. Since it's an economic externality to heat up the planet, we all benefit and get destroyed by it at the same time. A billionaire can be making great talks about climate change but it is impossible for him to achieve net-zero when so much of our economic activity relies on pricing climate change at 0$. The exception to this is literally 1 billionaire, who's invested humongous amounts of net worth into Tesla.

Either way, there is 0 ways for the market to solve climate change when it is obvious that climate change is not priced into economic activity at all.

sprafa··on Where has all the productivity gone?
There's a difference between knowing you don't understand something and thinking that you do - that's the difference between cargo cult thinking vs actual thinking.

Cargo cults are antivaxx, anti-climate change. Things that are obviously not true, but that many people want to believe so they do. The issue is that this kind of thinking is actually default, which I've grown to understand recently. IE many people who are in favor of good things don't really have a deep understanding of why that is - they've just adopted an opinion that sounds good to them. This is particularly pronounced in ie economics and politics, where understanding is extremely shallow.

sprafa··on Earth's energy imbalance removes almost all doubt from human-made climate change
That's the evidence that the climate change "doubters" are really concentrated on the decision-making/ruling elite. But the reason for that is simple - if you don't support climate-change legislation you get more funding. This is what I meant about the ruling class protecting its interests. It's not hard to see.
sprafa··on Sgt. Pepper’s to get new Atmos mix: current version ‘doesn’t sound quite right’
was Seinfeld shot on video or 35mm film? Interesting to know.

Also Netflix's obsession with 4K is slightly anti-scientific and counterproductive imo. They are really boxing in their content creators at times, plus 4K can't be resolved in a reasonably large television at a moderate distance from a couch anyway. 4K is the dumbest thing. There's one cinematographer who said for viewing even 1080p was pretty good, and hardly distinguishable from 4K - for CINEMA screens. HDR is cool tho.

sprafa··on Earth's energy imbalance removes almost all doubt from human-made climate change
69% of Americans believe climate change is real. https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/americans... That's an overwhelming majority. The 'doubt' is media-created FUD being replicated to pretend to be an issue.
sprafa··on Earth's energy imbalance removes almost all doubt from human-made climate change
69% of Americans believe climate change is real. https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/publications/americans...

That's an overwhelming majority. The 'doubt' is media-created FUD being replicated to pretend to be an issue. The issue is not the population, who overwhelmingly agree this is a problem. The problem is the ruling class does not want anything sudden to be done that would endanger their investments, and rapid change away from fossil fuels and other climate-change causing investments is a danger to their interests.

A huge amount of issues in the world are manipulated to look like issues by the media. Don't fall for it!

sprafa··on Where has all the productivity gone?
another way to look at it is that cargo cult thinking is the default mode for human thinking. This is something I've noticed recently and increasingly believe to be true. The vast majority of people do NOT take the time to build an opinion from weighing multiple sources of information, looking for counter arguments etc. Cargo cult is the default mode for a civilization.
sprafa··on 74% of recent Covid cases in parts of MA were among the vaccinated – CDC study
that's what happens when most people are vaccinated. This whole thing is dumb. We know vaccines work. Let's move on to interesting and productive things.
sprafa··on Sgt. Pepper’s to get new Atmos mix: current version ‘doesn’t sound quite right’
A bit of a tangent but you can scan virtually any film made between 1915 and 2000 or so and get a pristine, super sharp 4K to 6k copy. That’s because they were shot on 35mm film. 35mm film is estimated to have a “resolution” of around 4K.

Even black and white films, if you see an old nitrate print that’s been well preserved, it will be incredibly sharp. And I’m talking about stuff from the 1920s - 1930s. You might not know about this because the digital/tv versions of these films might be lower quality. But film capture technology has been sharp for 100 years.

The exception to this is ofc stuff that was shot for television on video since its invention. But that would be mostly television shows or live broadcasts.

sprafa··on Firefox May Have Lost Up to 12% of Its Users So Far in 2021
How did they manage that ?
sprafa··on Liverpool stripped of UNESCO World Heritage status
it's a monster, Unesco is absolutely right to say that this is not congruent with a world heritage site.. They were also warned multiple times apparently.
sprafa··on Liverpool stripped of UNESCO World Heritage status
That's the whole point. You can repurpose the buildings within reason, that's what they've done in Porto where I've spent some time. Porto used to have lots of derelict buildings in its Heritage area, they've been rebuilt according to strict rules and it's fine.
sprafa··on Liverpool stripped of UNESCO World Heritage status
lol look at what they are building on the site - http://stadiumdb.com/designs/eng/bramley_moore_dock_stadium

Liverpool clearly lost interest in the World Heritage state and decided to go in another direction. Have the cake and eat it too.

sprafa··on Restaurant workers quit at record rate
Gosh. Thanks this actually forced me to review the literature and actually yes you’re right and I was wrong. Turns out some pop econ articles I read recently where deceitful. The thing I did read about and seemed to hold up was rent control and construction - the effect there was small or minimal.
sprafa··on Restaurant workers quit at record rate
Let us keep remembering that there is no evidence that raising minimum wages increases unemployment (The Big Lie the economists use to defend their hypothetical model of how this works).
sprafa··on Assange case: Key witness admits he lied
Do you really think this was comic book supervillain?

I remember this happening at the time and my impression was that it was happening without a doubt. Particularly when they announced the results a few days after the election.

My thinking at the time was inside Pfizer the idea of turning an election on this data was deemed too controversial - they would forever be associated with Trump if he won again. That might cause issue with the Dems.

No idea but unless there’s proof of something shadier? That would be my guess - just an American corporation making sure it doesn’t piss off half the country.

sprafa··on An app for M1 Macs that plays the sound of a fan as CPU usage goes up
Final Cut Pro most likely.
sprafa··on Valve Steam Deck
It’s really long-term planning. Valve gets shut for not following through on game projects these days, but building Proton and preparing Linux for gaming will yield 10x to 1000x the returns on making a game…

Let’s not forget they were the single most important player in the whole VR Revolution. Oculus took the huge improvements that were made inside valve in VR and took the team to FB. But pretty much all the major breakthroughs were done at Valve, not oculus.

sprafa··on Valve Steam Deck
if the microSD card slot works ok, I think the price is exactly right. Doesn't the switch run games from SD cards?
sprafa··on Valve Steam Deck
The Valve Index is working just fine. If you follow VR devices, it's actually now the only one with good support and no huge privacy issues.
sprafa··on Valve Steam Deck
The Valve Index was a testing ground for their hardware efforts. I 100% believe they are serious, they've built a hardware operation.
sprafa··on YouTube’s TikTok competitor YouTube Shorts is rolling out globally
Youtube is well managed. They might have a real shot with this. I sense Instagram stories potential to disrupt an up and coming platform.
sprafa··on Of 55 students in my class at Columbia’s Film program, 4 made a career out of it
Anyone who works in film/media industry will advise their kids against it. Or to at least learn a trade that is completely unrelated first, then do media arts if your heart is set on it. Even Denzel Washington got his kid to do other things.

Im 31 and working in the field I’ve just been enjoying the first few months of professional stability. In my career. Yes it’s great that I can finally do that, but like someone else said I wouldn’t recommend the first 10 years to anyone.

sprafa··on Study finds 83% of software developers feel burnout
So true. I see programming as very similar activity to making poetry. I’m a filmmaker by trade but I enjoy doing some code every once in a while, and it’s always felt to me to be very similar to poetry in the way you have to think about it and structure it.
sprafa··on Crypto Scammers Rip Off Billions as Pump-and-Dump Schemes Go Digital
shitcoins are called shitcoins for a reason bro.
sprafa··on Ask HN: How aware are you about building decentralised software on blockchain?
Sure but - the hard part - transferwise had to build a pool of people - can be done in days in crypto now.
sprafa··on Ask HN: How aware are you about building decentralised software on blockchain?
not for anything specific, but you can get a loan of X amount of money for Y amount of collateral, yes.

You can do this using cryptocurrency that's being loaned out to you under the protocols of a decentralised application. No centralised control, everything is automatic, and there are no central servers - you can do all this just by running code as smart contracts on a blockchain.

sprafa··on Ask HN: How aware are you about building decentralised software on blockchain?
Not sure if you got what he said.

It’s better because instead of transfer wise controlling the money from point A to point B and taking a percentage as a fee (0.1% or whatever) you have 10 000 people who build a liquidity pool where the money gets transferred from point A to B. All those 10 000 people share the 0.1% fee. Maybe less, in an extremely competitive space.

Basically all the centralisation, the app takes a fee bullshit goes away, and instead you get 10 000 or 100k or 1mil people all sharing their money and receiving part of the fee.

The dev can also write into the smart contract that he gets paid a percentage as well. Boom, you have a transferwise competitor with 100 mil in liquidity within days with 0 server costs. You can do this right now with a few days/weeks work on a decentralised application. You don’t think that’s big? Any app that “takes a cut” in exchange for having written a few thousand lines of code and maintaining server infrastructure will be challenged by decentralised alternatives.

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