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spupe

903 karma · joined February 1, 2022

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spupe··on SEC charges Nvidia with inadequate disclosures about impact of cryptomining
Stock buybacks also increase stock prices, and a lot of companies are doing it lately.
spupe··on Investors pull $7bn from Tether as stablecoin jitters intensify
I see. The issue with this line of argument is that the gold standard is not good for several of the things we want currencies to do, including the ability to control their supply. It might seem like simply debasing gold coins as you say, but it's not quite. We just went through two very weird years in which the economy went sideways, but we had no massive unemployment, no bread lines and no revolutions. There is a price for it, both in inflation and in unequal access to benefits, with richer people and companies having access to very cheap money. But it's a trade-off either way, not simply theft as you imply.
spupe··on Investors pull $7bn from Tether as stablecoin jitters intensify
You talk as if governments are necessarily adversarial, and as if I as an average citizen would prefer that the monetary control lies with anonymous wealthy individuals rather than an electable body of representatives.
spupe··on Investors pull $7bn from Tether as stablecoin jitters intensify
Central banks have very rational reasons to exist. Do you have any examples of an economy operating better without a central bank?
spupe··on Investors pull $7bn from Tether as stablecoin jitters intensify
> Bitcoin is a long term bet on collapse.

Honest question: if you truly believe that, how do you account for the infrastructure required to mine it in a post-apocalyptic society? How do you guys envision a post-apocalyptic world where BTC is even remotely viable?

spupe··on Investors pull $7bn from Tether as stablecoin jitters intensify
Stable or cryptocurrency, pick one.
spupe··on Elon Musk puts Twitter deal on hold over bot numbers claim
Musk is milking every single drop of attention he can get out of this deal, and in the end he might not even do it.
spupe··on Tether starting to lose its peg too, after Terra did
Yeah, this is the dark side of all this "diamond hands", "to the moon" bullshit. A handful of winners, a majority of losers, and some people going complete bankrupt because they are foolish.
spupe··on Bitcoin Is Acting Like Just Another Tech Stock
In that scenario, I don't think anybody is using Bitcoins either.
spupe··on Ask HN: What are some good sources of data that most people don't know about?
I think most people know about it, but I just learned about it recently: https://datasetsearch.research.google.com/
spupe··on El Salvador expected to default as Bitcoin plummets
>> most popular cryptocurrency in the world has plummeted more than 50% from its all-time highs > Which it has done numerous times in its short life.

Perhaps making a highly unstable, speculative cryptocurrency legal tender is a bad move then.

spupe··on The ACLU Has Lost Its Way
I am not arguing about the other governments you mentioned, I am arguing that it is simply incorrect to use "size of government" as a measure of how "left" a country is, particularly when using the US as an example. The US is notorious for having very bad safety nets while disproportionately investing in military, both of which are hardly causes favoured by the left.
spupe··on Should We Actually Wealthtax Billionaires?
> One thing to take into account is inflation. Rich people don't contribute to everyday inflation as much. Distribute money from rich to poor and you have the price of jets and basketball teams going down but the price of cheeseburgers going up.

It's not that clear. For example, the vast majority of money supply during the COVID crisis went straight into the financial system. The relationship to inflation is diffuse, but it's still there, as now huge companies can borrow at close to zero interest and depending on supply, this will create inflation. Also, in Europe the progressive taxation basically does what I just told you, there is enormous support for the poorest and they have a functional society with manageable inflation.

Regardless, my main point was that 115B per year going to the poorest, be it directly or indirectly (healthcare, social services, etc.) is a significant amount of money.

spupe··on Should We Actually Wealthtax Billionaires?
> Because I am unsure where to get data on the 10,000. If you find it, I will absolutely udpdate.

I just sourced an income distribution based on percentiles, you can do the same with wealth.

> The poorest 10 million Americans likely pay a negative tax rate already (as they should). But you're right—it would. But only for one year—so that's not sustainable.

If in one year less than 100 people were mildly inconvenienced to generate a major windfall and make a significant difference for 10 million people, that's already a good outcome. We could do it every year for decades and the top 100 richest people would still have billions.

> Then what do we do once it's been depleted and we've gotten used to it? That would be a big tax gap that would have to come from...you and me. Is that what you want?

I have some news for you: it's already coming from you and me. I pay over 40% of my income in taxes that I cannot escape from. The system has no loopholes for people like me, and that's fine actually, I want to contribute to society. However, it boils my blood when people think that because taxing the rich is too complicated, too harsh or - seriously? - would get us addicted on easy money, that those are reasons not to do it.

> What is "enough"?

I think we should find every way we can to tax wealthy individuals in the same scale that high-income employees are taxed.

spupe··on Head of Design at Dropbox descriminates in her hiring based on skin color
At which point in time did we normalize saying "I hate/don't want to be near white people"? It's blatantly racist.
spupe··on The ACLU Has Lost Its Way
None of these sources support the accusation being made.
spupe··on The ACLU Has Lost Its Way
> Unless your baseline is "Nordic countries" or similar, the US is pretty far to the left.

How about most of Europe and Latin America?

It is hard to define what "left" means nowadays but it is telling that you believe the "size of the government", as defined by mostly military spending, can consist as a checkbox for being part of the left.

spupe··on Should We Actually Wealthtax Billionaires?
Several unchecked assumptions and fallacies here.

> I have created a list of the 61 richest Americans. Their combined net worth is $2.3T. Last year the feds spent $6.8T against revenue of $3.8T and a deficit of $3.0T. If the feds had successfully taken every penny from them they would still have run a deficit last year.

Why cut-off at the 61 richest, and not the 10,000 richest? It's also ridiculous to assume we either have to cover the entire deficit, or not tax them at all. This fallacy pops up throughout other parts as well, like here:

> These fortunes took decades to build and will take decades to replenish. So what happens if you tap it slowly with a 5% wealth tax? You raise 115B. This is not even 4% of the deficit.

115B is a ton of money. If directly distributed to the poorest 10 million Americans, that would more than double their income [1]. Comparing it to a huge figure like the deficit (which is artificially high due to war and COVID) is disingenious.

[1] https://dqydj.com/average-median-top-household-income-percen...

> Finally—I would like to point out that we already have a wealth tax. It is paid by most, not just the rich. And in many states and municipalities it does indeed approach Elizabeth Warren’s proposed 2%. It represents 12% of the taxes raised. We call it “property tax”.

This is precisely the problem. Property tax is not enough, and it is not progressive.

To be clear, taxing the rich is both an economic and a moral necessity. If we "deplete" the wealth of billionaires after a few years, then so be it. Only fools and billionaires should think this outcome is something to worry about.

spupe··on [dead]
Salon nowadays is such a joke. This piece could not be more formulaic if it tried.
spupe··on Formula 1 is the fastest growing sport – Case study
Fastest growing as defined by number of engagements on social media, in one single study. The only thing worse than a puff piece is social media commentary on a puff piece disguised as some sort of analysis.
spupe··on Pizza Hut tweets may seem silly. They are not.
People have a hard time differentiating times when they were innocent from innocent times.
spupe··on Why do you waste so much time on the internet?
It's a good analogy, but that study was retracted: https://www.theguardian.com/science/head-quarters/2018/feb/1...
spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
The problem with this approach is that it is very malleable. Technology also changed immensely from when the Founders mentioned "arms", but I would think Conservatives would have a hard time accepting this particular "evolution". The examples you mention are also cherry-picked. We already knew fetuses had heartbeats and human faces many decades before ultrasounds existed. And a vast majority of scientists would agree that abortion is valid within some restrictions, so I don't believe that ascribing this change to the evolution of science does you any favors.

> On that question, the science changed dramatically in the period leading up to 2015. Science proved in the late 1990s that same-sex conduct was not a choice to reject conformity, but was rooted in biology. And in the early 2000s there was the first research showing that same-sex couples were living in committed relationships, raising children, etc. You'll notice that Kennedy spends a lot of time talking about these facts in his opinion--because those facts are critical to showing that same-sex relationships can be called "marriage" as historically understood.

Homosexual "marriages" have existed since Antiquity. And marriages do not necessarily have to lead to children, otherwise old people would be restricted from marrying. I think it is obvious that this decision is a result of the fast change in the zeitgeist rather than a careful evaluation of evidence, no matter what the Justices or their clerks deemed fit to write in their decisions.

spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
> They didn't say they "would not change Roe" they said they recognized "Roe is precedent." As explained above, precedent can be overturned.

You are right about this point, upon further reading I see that I based my question on social media bullshit that turned out to be biased. I agree with your distinction.

Regarding the rest, I think you still don't quite grasp my point. I understand there can be a technical way of looking at these decisions. I can also concede that Roe is particularly hated by most scholars. But if we both agree that politics is why these technical aspects were overlooked for 50 years, it seems absolutely pointless to discuss this issue from any other standpoint. Political interference is why this decision was made in the first place, because as another user stated, it fit into the more libertarian ideology of the Court at that time. And politics is why it's getting struck down, technical aspects notwithstanding. You can of course disagree, as I think you do, but from my perspective the political aspect is much more interesting and a more powerful predictor than anything else.

spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
Why did they wait 50 years to correct this obvious outlier? And why did several of the judges lie to Congress when they said they would not change Roe? One would think they could publicly announce their views if they were purely technical.
spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
Many things don't appear in the Constitution. I'm sure they didn't magically find a hidden paragraph in 2015 regulating marriage equality. What happened there, and is happening with abortions, is that different ideological groups control the nomination to the Court and enshrine their ideology in law by proxy.

How do you account for the fact that the Court has not revised Roe v Wade in the last 50 years if it all rests on a correct interpretation of the Constitution, which has obviously not changed?

spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
> It is not the first time that a longstanding doctrine has been completely thrown out, even after a gap of decades. Courts aren't infallible. Are they supposed to persist in error forever?

Again, this dichotomy only arises if you subscribe to the view that any decision from the Court is purely technical in the first place. If you think it has been maintained for 50 years because of its political impact, I don't see any reason to discuss the technical aspects at all, as they are irrelevant. What we should be asking is what changed in politics recently, what caused it, and where it is going to take us.

Each political side can always find legal experts and reasonable arguments to justify changing a decision they dislike. Some stones are best left unturned, as there are costs for the Court to act like this. I predict a ton of judicial uncertainty, a weakening of the SCOTUS and eventually radical solutions like court packing.

spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
Yes, I was referring to how the nomination was stolen from Obama. The nominee they had in mind was in fact moderate, and in the past Congress had never wielded its power to block a nomination because it was done in the last year of a presidency. The fact that the Republicans pushed their own nomination at the last minute was just adding insult to injury. I think we have to be clear about what is legal and what is legitimate here. It is legal for the Democrats to pack the Court, and there is even precedent for that. They also have congressional majorities that in theory allow for that. However, it would be illegitimate to do so.

> I find it unfair to the point of outright incivility though to escalate a debate about the fairness of it the level of calling the appointment _illegitimate_, and is disrespectful to a fine and honorable institution.

A fine and honorable institution which has upheld slavery, segregation, imprisonment camps, and the list goes on. The SCOTUS is not above criticism, and change can only occur if we treat them for what they are, servants of the people.

spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
I would imagine that there is criticism for every decision the Court has ever made. However, this one has been challenged numerous times over these 50 years and stayed in place. Either we believe that law is a purely technical matter and the Court has failed at that job for 50 years, or we believe that politics are far more important and the technical arguments simply follow from that. I find it absurd to believe that you can treat law as some sort of math proof.
spupe··on What we can deduce from a leaked PDF
I also find the American Supreme Court decisions to be surprisingly accessible, while in my and other countries there is a lot of obfuscation. That said, I'm not sure I have the same feeling as you reading some of these decisions. Law and its interpretation is obviously a political matter and always will be. For example, in the case at hand, it's just silly to pretend that after 50 years we have finally arrived at a great legal argument against abortions, which happens to coincide with the recent introduction of three more conservative judges (one of them illegitimately). It's just futile, in my view, to treat any of these decisions as if the people involved were trying really hard to achieve objective truth, rather than impress their prejudices in the most articulate way.
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