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teamonkey

4,907 karma · joined May 19, 2008

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teamonkey··on The US added a record 20.2 GWh of battery storage in just 3 months
Any amount is good if it reduces costs to the consumer and reduces the usage of fossil fuels.
teamonkey··on The October inflection point for vibe game development
Photoshop has had AI-assisted cutting and context-aware fill for several years now. These are things that professional artists use every day. By these standards the majority of posters, adverts and print media for the last couple of years will have used AI somewhere in their development.
teamonkey··on Three new discoveries in mathematics, computer science, and physics
We already do have a very good understanding of QCD, it’s a very successful model with 70 years of experimental results behind it. This proof may offer new insight but most likely will just be confirming what we already knew.
teamonkey··on After automation: Solo founding will be the default
I don’t think that’s the same thing at all.

I’m not saying that people will just clone <large, established and popular software developed by large numbers of people, pre-AI>.

I’m asking why anyone would ever invest in a solo software startup, where the scale is necessarily small and achievable at low cost, and AI makes it feasible for many people or corporations to clone any idea of that scale within the time it takes to establish a foot in the market, if it looks remotely valuable.

teamonkey··on After automation: Solo founding will be the default
Why would a solo tech startup even exist after automation? Any software that can be done by one person can be done by anyone with an AI subscription a moment after launch. Why would anyone risk investing in that?
teamonkey··on They war-gamed dimming the Sun. It went worse than you think
Solar cycle 25 is slightly stronger than cycle 24 but weaker than 23, which peaked in 2001.

https://www.stce.be/content/sc25-tracking

The solar cycle is not the cause of heatwaves and droughts. The graph at the top of this Wikipedia page shows the solar irradiance trending down over decades (which is a natural phenomenon) while temperatures have increased.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_activity_and_climate

teamonkey··on '500-hour' Order of the Sinking Star is as complex and exhausting as it sounds
Yeah, writing the engine was the point I think. They could have created a GI plugin or modified an existing engine’s renderer. He also created a whole new programming language to write the engine in, which is certainly the displacement activity.
teamonkey··on '500-hour' Order of the Sinking Star is as complex and exhausting as it sounds
> I recall the reason they built an engine from scratch for The Witness was to achieve certain lighting goals

I don’t buy that. Even back then, as an indie developer, the only reason you build your own engine is because you want to build your own engine.

You have to be doing something truly technically impressive to need a new engine and The Witness wasn’t pushing the envelope.

teamonkey··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
The majority of UK homes are heated by gas-powered boilers that pump hot water through radiators in each room. Often hot water is heated by the same system.

Decarbonisation usually means replacing that boiler with a heat pump which uses electricity to heat water.

teamonkey··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
EV adoption in the UK is huge right now, heat pump adoption is happening (though could be faster).

Air conditioning is a weird one, because it’s only been necessary in residential properties for a couple of years, and really still only necessary for a couple of days a year, so a fixed installation isn’t cost effective. Portable units are becoming more popular.

AC has been a requirement in most commercial premises for years. Decades, perhaps.

teamonkey··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
The main things that will reduce our power bills is a) upgrading the grid to improve transmission and reduce curtailment; and b) adding generation and storage capacity, reducing the amount of high-cost peak gas generation we use.

These things are in progress. A vast amount of generation and storage capacity came online this year and much more still to come. This will gradually take effect, oil conflicts notwithstanding.

teamonkey··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
Home batteries are much quicker to pay off than solar at the moment. This is largely due to being able to do strong arbitrage between import and export prices at different times of day, and some high guaranteed consumer export tariffs.

There’s no guarantee things will stay that way though, not least because the more storage added to the grid, the more those arbitrage opportunities get soaked up.

teamonkey··on The United Kingdom generates less electricity per person than in the 1970s
It isn’t banned.

Well, fracking kind of is, we stopped after we tried it and it caused ground tremors.

teamonkey··on Thinking will become a hobby
No, the town’s population has grown in recent years. Lots of house building.
teamonkey··on Thinking will become a hobby
In my town they ALL closed. We previously had 6; we now have a community centre where two different banks operate personal banking consultations for one workday a week each, but they only do appointments, they don’t handle cash or do any banking.

If I want to visit a branch I need to go to the next city.

teamonkey··on AI is a tool and using it well takes skill
> The depressing part for me is that once the application was completed, I felt literally nothing on the inside. No sense of joy, pride, nor accomplishment. I was left with a feeling of, "I guess it's good enough to use now?" In fact, upon finishing the application, I have honestly barely used it.

I feel exactly the same. The software gets made remarkably quickly, but there’s no sense of achievement or pride, just a horrible flatness. It’s not made by me, it’s made by an other. I may as well have googled and found an app that already existed. A soulless process.

teamonkey··on The gap in shared understanding of LLM capability is widening
Correct, it’s not demand-led innovation
teamonkey··on Time Travel in Braid (2015)
Dishonored 2 also has an amazing mission based around a time travel mechanic (A Crack in the Slab).

There are various games that have a ‘time freeze’ mechanic, where you speed up or slow things down, which allows you to manipulate them in some way. Dead Space 3, Psychonauts 2, Dishonored again, at least one of the Prince of Persia sequels.

There are timeloop games where a core mechanic is to repeat the same scenario multiple times, gathering more information each time until you work out how to escape the loop (Outer Wilds, The Forgotten City, 12 Minutes).

Deathloop and its predecessor Prey: Mooncrash have a twist on that where you need to perform the loop multiple times, but the order you do things affects future runs.

And Eternal Threads is a game where you go back and forth along a timeline, viewing scenes and making small changes that affect how future scenes play out.

teamonkey··on Across the Globe, People Increasingly Say Social Media Is Harming Democracy
It’s a matter of difficulty. Social media makes it ridiculously easy.
teamonkey··on ADHD, autism or complex trauma? [pdf]
> We're like very puzzled. It's pretty clear that a psy test will find something behavioral,

> Posting this here, Idk why, I'm kind of clueless about what to do at this stage.

It’s tough, but you already know what you need to do.

teamonkey··on A 12-year sequence of telescope images of a star and four planets orbiting
The black hole still exists (probably), the hypothesis that it existed was proven in the past.
teamonkey··on Using Opus 5.5 to discover a new eyewitness record of the dodo
This is a real deep rabbit hole FYI
teamonkey··on Dots: Always-on agents
“The aunties, continually mulling it over. A process akin to repetitious dreaming, or the protracted spinning of a given fiction. Not that they’re invariably correct, but over a sufficient course they do tend to find the likely suspects.”
teamonkey··on Lunar Terminator Paradox
Perhaps I was too harsh, sorry. I’ve seen a huge amount of vibe coded solutions to more trivial questions than this and assumed it was more of the same.
teamonkey··on Lunar Terminator Paradox
If there were greater significance to it, I’d have thought the the visual sizes of the Sun and Moon would have been perfectly matched, rather than to within a few percent, give-or-take.

Also since the Sun-Earth distance varies and so does the Earth-Moon distance, the coverage of the Sun varies. We sometimes get annular eclipses where the Sun is not totally covered.

teamonkey··on Lunar Terminator Paradox
It’s cool and all, but I do worry about this instinctive reaching for AI to build convoluted answers to stuff like this, which is easily demonstrated by, say, two balls and a lamp, not to mention the myriad of astronomical simulators that already exist.

The software is being written to teach the user something, but it’s not novel software, or a novel problem, and the creator doesn’t actually care about the process of making the software, or actually thinking about how to solve the question. But they have access to an automatic wheel reinvention machine and so...

teamonkey··on Lunar Terminator Paradox
The relative sizes are approximate, not perfect, but close enough that our monkey brains interpret it as more than a coincidence.
teamonkey··on Gravity seems holographic. What does that mean for reality?
Eh, 11 dimensions is just what the math predicts based on the theory’s postulate and observations of the universe.

Holographic gravity is no less fanciful if there’s no practical experiment to prove it.

teamonkey··on Toyota is taking the Corolla electric
The ID.1 (replacement for the e-Up) will be released next year at €20k.
teamonkey··on Toyota is taking the Corolla electric
Most cars have at least a radio
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