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tobltobs

3,597 karma · joined August 8, 2013

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tobltobs··on A bike shop should choose its customer wisely
I recently bought a BMW GS310 motorbike for 5.5k (new, not used), that is just 500 Euros more than my Mountainbike did cost. Sure, the BW is an entry level model, and the MTB is upper class, but still. Mountainbike prices are a rip off, especially if you consider that after 3 years you will have problems getting spare parts for some stuff on the bike.
tobltobs··on ‘Collapse of Civilisation Is the Most Likely Outcome’: Top Climate Scientists
"but I'll believe it when I see it."

And what will do you do then?

tobltobs··on Things from leaked audio of Mark Zuckerberg and his employees
Once the population ... figures out that ... people are using phones/fax machines/drums/smoke/whatever to coordinate their plans to set the cities on fire, they are dead via regulation.
tobltobs··on A mysterious company’s Covid-19 papers in top medical journals may be unraveling
> The combination of preprint servers + twitter

Filtering noise with noise?

tobltobs··on Lenovo to Certify ThinkPad and ThinkStation Workstation Portfolio for Linux
Instead of this marketing theater, they could help to improve battery life under Linux which still sucks.
tobltobs··on Ask HN: What is and isn't acceptable forms of protest?
As long as you can ignore it is ok. /s
tobltobs··on What is best SEO or PPC?
Depends.
tobltobs··on Why I gave up on being a Mobile Developer
Those technical problems can be overcome. It is no fun, a waste of time and frustrating. The real shitshow starts when your app is in the play store and you try to find users. Or when Google makes some changes that completely invalidate your app idea or force you to change your complete app.
tobltobs··on Stop Watching the News (2019)
Doing a Google search 'site:reuters.com "far right"' I couldn't find any hit where the "far-right" would be inappropriate. Could you give an example where Reuters is left-leaning in your opinion.
tobltobs··on Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?
why?
tobltobs··on CDC coronavirus testing decision likely to haunt nation for months to come
You are two weeks behind with testing. There is no rest of the country anymore.
tobltobs··on Corporate Socialism: The Government Is Bailing Out Investors and Not You
What is a company supposed to do with the money currently? Hoarding cash is the only sensible option currently and this doesn't help the economy.
tobltobs··on Corporate Socialism: The Government Is Bailing Out Investors and Not You
Most people in the US won't even know how many zeros a trillion has.
tobltobs··on Ask HN: Why 21 Days?
With three weeks time and enough testing India should be able to get reliable numbers. I guess the three weeks are the minimum time for the lockdown.
tobltobs··on CDC coronavirus testing decision likely to haunt nation for months to come
> When community spread was detected in Washington state ... Testing wasn't the problem.

If you detect community spread without testing you are too late anyway.

tobltobs··on Don’t bail out the cruise industry
When the cruise industry gets a bailout, it is not to save the cruisers but the financial corporations, which have been financing this madness.
tobltobs··on The Doctor Who Helped Defeat Smallpox Explains What's Coming
> Want to have a less steep curve? Lower the amount of testing.

That works only at the beginning.

tobltobs··on Ask HN: Have you been laid off?
> consumer demand is going to be probably the highest it's ever been the moment the quarantines are lifted.

Happy debt bubble land is over, for a long time.

tobltobs··on Ask HN: Are people considering Corona parties (a.k.a. Pox parties)?
> maybe it wouldn't be a terrible idea.

It is a terribly stupid idea.

Our only hope is too flatten the curve.

tobltobs··on Ask HN: How to invest in the time of Covid-19?
> will it go back

In theory this might be true. But with the current corporate debt bubble not all will survive this recession.

tobltobs··on Ask HN: Are people considering Corona parties (a.k.a. Pox parties)?
It is astonishing that even on a side like hn people are not capable of understanding some simple maths.

10% of infected persons need intensive care including ventilation.

The US has 100k intensive care unit beds. About 90% are already occupied.

If only 10% get infected at the same time, the health system will be totally overwhelmed.

If 30% get it at the same time, millions will be left dying.

I am missing the words to describe the stupidity of a Corona party.

tobltobs··on Ask HN: How bad do you think the Covid-19 pandemic will get?
As it stands, scientists do not know how temperature changes will influence the behavior of SARS-CoV-2.
tobltobs··on Tell HN: How USA school closure seems to be working out
Or grandma will help out, bad for the death rate.
tobltobs··on COVID-19 Tests Don’t Cost Over $3,000
Read it again. They did not do a covid19 test at all.
tobltobs··on COVID-19 Tests Don’t Cost Over $3,000
Does it make a difference what exactly is causing the costs? If you are broke you can't afford to be tested and you will continue to spread the virus if you have it.
tobltobs··on How to Respond to COVID-19
As long as you have enough intensive care units with a lung ventilator that 1-2 % might be correct. But 10% develop pneumonia and require ventilation. If only about 10% of the population gets infected the health system would be overwhelmed. After that, even a simple flu might become a live threating experience.
tobltobs··on How the 1918 Flu Spread Across America (2017)
I am looking for

"The worst case scenario right now is that some people might lose their grandparents a couple years early"

in those numbers, but I can't find anything like this.

tobltobs··on How the 1918 Flu Spread Across America (2017)
> The worst case scenario right now is that some people might lose their grandparents a couple years early

Any sources for that theory?

tobltobs··on Switzerland Federal Council bans large-scale events
Last time when the Basler Fasnacht was cancelled was 1920, during the Spanish flu ...
tobltobs··on U.S. Identifies First Coronavirus Case Without Outbreak Ties
Not as bad as the Spanish flu isn't really assuring:

> The global death toll was inconceivable: according to the most recent estimates, between 50 million and 100 million people worldwide perished in the three pandemic waves between the spring of 1918 and the winter of 1919. Adjusting for population growth, that is equivalent to between 200 million and 425 million today.

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