triplesec

The second paragraph of the quotation begins: 'When his research was eventually published in 2008, well after the IPCC report, it concluded the opposite:'

So he does claim that these are opposites. That is my problem with his argument as presented.

Indeed, and climate scientists got nowhere for decades being terrible at politics and good at data, which leads us to our current still-probabilistically-hugely-likely (despite this apparent political problem) dire predicament.

'X is true'

'X is false'

'X is not proven to be true or false'

are all different statements. He is committing the fallacy of the excluded middle.

If OTOH he wishes to claim X is false he should say it was proven false. But I infer he didn't have such evidence, just that the committee had found no supporting evidence.

Of course, in science truth is a probabilistic concept, but here we don't have the figures.

I'd also like to read a response from other climate scientists or journalists to see if there's a part of the story he's omitting from his framing here.

On the other hand, the claim in the following quotation is logically flawed. 'True' and 'no evidence' are, importantly, not opposites:

'I was right to question the IPCC’s 2007 report, which included a graph purporting to show that disaster costs were rising due to global temperature increases. The graph was later revealed to have been based on invented and inaccurate information, as I documented in my book “The Climate Fix.” The insurance industry scientist Robert-Muir Wood of Risk Management Solutions had smuggled the graph into the IPCC report. He explained in a public debate with me in London in 2010 that he had included the graph and misreferenced it because he expected future research to show a relationship between increasing disaster costs and rising temperatures.

When his research was eventually published in 2008, well after the IPCC report, it concluded the opposite: “We find insufficient evidence to claim a statistical relationship between global temperature increase and normalized catastrophe losses.” Whoops.'

The author's claim is this, and if true there is merit to listening --- Indeed there is rarely merit to not listening. Science is all about observation and probability. EDIT: although clever political framing can skew naive readers away from truths, which is one of the article's meta topics. ---

"I believe climate change is real and that human emissions of greenhouse gases risk justifying action, including a carbon tax. But my research led me to a conclusion that many climate campaigners find unacceptable: There is scant evidence to indicate that hurricanes, floods, tornadoes or drought have become more frequent or intense in the U.S. or globally. In fact we are in an era of good fortune when it comes to extreme weather. This is a topic I’ve studied and published on as much as anyone over two decades. My conclusion might be wrong, but I think I’ve earned the right to share this research without risk to my career."

In android you can prevent apps from sending mobile data to the cloud in the background. Go to Settings > Connections tab > Data Usage, and scroll down to the app. There's a 'restrict background data' checkbox.

There's a fair chance that you're meeting an increasing number of liars, then, as research (have a google) clearly shows that 'honestly' often precedes a lie, or at least shadings or untruth.

His life was full of very low notes. And excellent ones at that.

In recent years they substantially fixed Ku-Band communications in poor weather with some new algorithms and consequent hardware/protocols. I suspect this would be the next step for this technology.

Very relevant to understanding today's media and politics is Adam Curtis' new documentary film Hypernormalisation. It's long but very worth it

http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p04b183c

If anyone has links to the BBC iplayer for the US, if there is one, or another legit source for outside the UK, please do reply with it.

I strongly encourage you to watch it, and if you can only find it from a dodgy source, buy someone a classic BBC DVD of something for Festivus so support their making more. (lots of things, Dr Who, Jeeves and Wooster, the Century of the Self...)

And the unacknowledged problem is, we don't really know if it's already happened.

To quote from the article: 'Electronic voting machines can be hacked, and those machines that do not include a paper ballot that can verify each voter's choice can be hacked undetectably. Voting rolls are also vulnerable; they are all computerized databases whose entries can be deleted or changed.'

It doesn't need visible chaos or detection on voting day.

You miss a huge issue in your analysis: Airbnb rentals are Second places to sleep every night, like hotels. They are vacation rentals. In other words, for almost every AirBnb bed, there is another bed elsehwere in the world lying empty. So people don't get to sleep in these beds otherwise. And this of course means that it's the less-well-off who suffer. And the benefits go to those who can throw their money around, to the detriment of basic human existence.

And here we find a concept related to traditional gender models with the 'strong' man and dependent woman, sub-dom relationships and other such constructs. Helps us see why many people still hold onto tradition.

How are you sure this is peculiar to Japan. I believe there are many countries, to varying degrees, where children have a lot of freedom of movement and are not overprotected as in the US

some explaining journalism http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/10/science/wireless-brain-spi...

Over time with investment in self, the money would outstrip vfx, even if the first job only matched it. If you like development, do some projects!

Bush was pretty inclusive racially. McCain too. IDK about Romney, but Mormons have written history and religion that makes him suspect on that, but he campaigned reasonably. Trump campaigned openly on a racist, xenophobic platform. They were key parts of his rhetoric and key to a good proportion of his winning. That is the difference here.

I think it's not that he didn't, but he couldn't, with the most obstructive Congress in modern history

What's too late? I'm certain you could work in other kinds of development

I think your comment is missing the point here: their actions themselves have consequence for the market. Indeed, their existence and their practices have an effect on the market even if they don't act. Their existence and expectations do that alone. 'If I don't do it, somebody else will', which is a poor selfish excuse for sociopathic values.

This doesn't always work, for whatever reason. I've had this as well, but there's not much you can do. The Upvote game isn't that important, so don't lose sleep about it. Check the FAQ first, but send an email to HN support if it's a bug.

Economics of the current price of metals is not helpful here. The opportunity cost of spending time, earth resources, and effort into getting more metal that we already have on earth is not worth it. The value of mars exploration is to get things / people out there and discover what we can do, not to appease some bean counter or increment some billionaire's bank balance.

How do you deal with sun glare on the laptop?

Need a source for that quotation, or it could be from anywhere.

Exactly it. Turkey is operating like Putin's Russia. IT's on the way to the same model.

So they're all rubbish. What would constitute a good system of government in Egypt?

Here's the reason: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-37868441 More political prisoners: The Pro-Kurdish HDP opposition party's leaders and several MPs have been arrested by the Government.

Which to be fair is entirely rational from their own points of view

You could write a script that generates a couple of customised sentences for you, given its parsing of the job listings you are responding to. Flagged at the end as such, it would also show the recruiter some skills, and an advanced sense of humour.

Agreed. A strong case to sue, especially with other co-plaintiffs.