I dont like the idea of 'This seems fishy so let's bet against it'. If something feels fishy stay away from it as much as possible. Michael Burry doesn't happen every day.
369 karma · joined July 23, 2022
I dont like the idea of 'This seems fishy so let's bet against it'. If something feels fishy stay away from it as much as possible. Michael Burry doesn't happen every day.
My theory is that the backlog is mostly a double edged sword. If the backlog turned to zero today, the Universities would flood with applications from around the world and the number of I140s would increase exponentially in the next 10 years.
The backlog hence keeps expectations in check. I know plenty of friends on I140s who may not get a green card for the next decade. And yet they still plan on buying a home and starting a family in the Bay Area because now they are a prisoner of the lifestyle. Back in India they could live in the top 1% with the money they saved so far but they don’t want to go back ever.
Thus the US is basically keeping its universities funded by enough international students and as long as there are open opportunities in STEM they keep issuing H1Bs and I140s.
The question is whether the government cares at all to deal with backlogs or if they like the current situation. My guess would be the latter.
Update: my limited knowledge on this is proof I’m wrong.
Containers are at play here.