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warlog

288 karma · joined July 23, 2019

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warlog··on US special forces soldier arrested after allegedly winning $400k on Maduro raid
They should run for Congress
warlog··on Will a 50-Year Mortgage Make Homes More Affordable?
This will mean extending loans to those that current lenders are not making loans too. So rates will have to increase in order cover increased defaults (the borrowers aren't different). Increasing interest rates will drop prices.

Or maybe it's the reverse.

warlog··on The gambler's fallacy is not a fallacy?
No.

The house always wins, until it doesn't. And on a long enough time scale...

warlog··on Tell HN: Recruiters are lying about remote positions
Agreed. Except it's the quiet intro-psychos that are the most dangerous.
warlog··on Russia says it used 'hypersonic missiles' in Ukraine: Report
Agreed. MSM is preaching an agenda that is willfully blind to history. Ukraine is tragic, but don't for a second subscribe to the "unprovoked" narrative.
warlog··on Saudi to consider accepting Yuan for oil sales
Or the US could just Libya their asses back into compliance. Or was that Iraq their asses...
warlog··on How To Do Less
Tell my manager (the CTO) that.
warlog··on Putin says Western sanctions are akin to declaration of war
Hahahaha.. and then article 5 ourselves into a full blown world war?
warlog··on CISA: Shields Up
..."Russia’s unprovoked attack on Ukraine"...

For some definitions of unprovoked.

https://youtu.be/JrMiSQAGOS4

warlog··on The U.S. is now energy independent
Sigh.

1. A barrel of oil isn't just gas.. About half is for bunker oil, diesel and kerosene that runs boats, trucks and jets. That need isn't going away no matter how many batteries you make. The rest (40-50%) of the barrel is a waste stream that can be used as light gasoline, plastics and chemicals.

We will always have the second half because we always need the first half.

2. As others have mentioned, all oil is not equal. Shale and tar sands (tight oil) are not producing the heavy cuts/blends that we require for bunker oil, diesel and aircraft. US will need to balance export of shale based (or nat gas) energy with import of heavier grades of oil. Probably always. This isn't "independence"..it's codependence at best, and it will require the world burning gas for cars. How's your CO2?

3. Peak oil (conventional) was 2005, and then the shale oil financial stunt (thanks negative interest rates!!) took us to Nov 2018 when -- *Before covid* peak oil, and energy happened.

We're on the downslope of production without massive "demand destruction".

4. The energy price predicament is that below $80/barrel, shale and tight producers can't make money (and there will be no further investment) and above $80 and the rest of the economy gets killed.

None of these ideas are mine. All are easily goog'd.

warlog··on Classifying games like the Prisoner's Dilemma
Is one of those games equivalent to snow drift?
warlog··on How to Drop Out (2004)
If you're a doomer (i.e., not for everybody): an interesting perspective on radical disengagement: [0]

Ran Prieur - discussed in another thread on HN, or [1]

**

[0] https://youtu.be/dsNWH8ESCAM

[1] http://ranprieur.com/essays/dropout.html

warlog··on How to Drop Out (2004)
Not carbon credits.

Personal disengagement from the heat engine.

warlog··on Everything must be paid for twice
Antilibrary?

https://fs.blog/the-antilibrary/

warlog··on World ocean temperatures in 2021 were the hottest ever recorded
That's not the exponential function.

That's grift and theft.

warlog··on The Idiocy of Tiny Houses and Electric Vehicles
"To live more sustainably, if you don’t need it, don’t buy it."

This.

But it flies in the face of sustainability(TM), which has been captured by corporations and is the new new for capitalism.

warlog··on HN Predictions for 2021 (2020)
And if you count building supplies and groceries, it's north of 10. The numbers are cooked, and the rate of cooking is increasing.
warlog··on Japanese “Card Contained” Stationary
This site is sweet and I don't really know what I'm looking at? I think it's business card holders for things besides and including business cards.
warlog··on A supply chain catastrophe is brewing in the US
You mean the US surgeon general Jerome Adams announcing by twitter that masks weren't effective, and later deleting [0]?

0.https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/29/health/face-masks-coronavirus...

warlog··on We Could Brighten Clouds to Cool the Earth
Do you think magical thinking is capable of solving all problems once sufficiently experienced by the 1%?
warlog··on Data detectives spotted fake numbers in a widely cited paper
The pay is amazing.
warlog··on America is plummeting down the global vaccination league table
The figure and message are a bit misleading:

Plummeting down a rank curve conveys that America (and the headline) suggests the country is getting worse in absolute terms. But more Americans are vaccinated now than before, so it is absolutely better than it was before.

Thanks to the rest of the world for also getting vaccinated. When any country surpasses the US current per centage, the US drops a full rank point. But it's not getting less vaccinated, it's not getting worse.

warlog··on This Can’t Go On
You will own nothing and be happy.
warlog··on The Assange case is collapsing but it remains a travesty of justice
Special needs kids usually cause a lot less harm.
warlog··on CIA officer from bin Laden hunt to lead Havana Syndrome probe as cases rise
Imagine the the US .gov recognizes they must drawdown their foreign presence because Rome is burning.

False flag against own personal that requires the broad and full repatriation (retreat) of all assets.

Has anyone looked in the basement of nearby US run facilities?

/Conspiracy

warlog··on US-Canada heatwave 'virtually impossible' without warming
Wouldn't heat cause CO2 to bubble out of solution (and elevate pH)?
warlog··on As the Pandemic Recedes, Millions of Workers Are Saying 'I Quit'
Well actually
warlog··on Costa Rica Has Run on 100% Renewable Electricity for 299 Days
Agreed. And: where do the concrete, steel and electronic components to build and service these "energy sources" come from? ...not "renewable". But don't let accurate counting get in the way of accounting(tm).
warlog··on Oregon has legalized human composting
Make sure they take your car keys out of your pocket before dumping you... ...because, man, they're gone.
warlog··on What can a technologist do about climate change? (2015)
Please stop using per capita. The system will persist or collapse based on absolute amounts of CO2, pollution, etc. Per capita is not helpful except to deflect blame. It's a political tool rather than a useful tool.
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