19 karma · joined April 20, 2019
In more detail: the business data is prone to: evolving processes / systems / products / markets / customers; errors / omissions / corrections; tail events; hirings / firings; data loss; etc etc. The datasets tend to be small, messy, complicated, subjective. Nothing about this suggests needing a large, complicated model.
And yes... rather worrying...
As Kristian Andersen notes, the background noise of flu season would surely drown out the weak signal of an unknown novel virus. Then to not only notice the weak signal but act on it so quickly to do primary research and characterise it as a novel virus within such a short timeframe?
Seems far less likely than simply the effect of poor operational standards.
"That means that the outbreak was detected almost immediately after the first case, which - given that this is flu season in China - is just amazing. Detecting an outbreak of pneumonia (similar to flu) of a novel coronavirus that fast is truly impressive."
I'm not sure I really want to wear this tin-foil hat, but it would certainly be easier to identify a novel coronavirus if it came directly from your own BSL-4 lab in Wuhan https://www.nature.com/news/inside-the-chinese-lab-poised-to...