1,589 karma · joined August 5, 2019
We can't always pin the risks on the Chinese, so imagine a scenario where a disturbed insider at Anthropic smuggles out the weights for Claude Aprocrypha and runs them through abliteration. This is not super expensive to do on rented hardware. Then the disturbed human tells the refusal-free model to do anything necessary to launch nuclear weapons.
It'd probably only kill a few billion people though, so not really an "existential threat" in literal terms. :-)
const binary = Uint8Array.fromBase64(
"AGFzbQEAAAABBgFgAX8BfwMCAQAHBgECeDIAAAoJAQcAIABBAmwL"
);
const module = new WebAssembly.Module(binary);
const instance = new WebAssembly.Instance(module, {});
console.log(instance.exports.x2(3));
This is a trivial and useless example at 39 bytes, but a real example could be more compact than comparable minified JavaScript.Really though, I just wanted to point out that there's a difference between efficient use of limited resources and lower prices and convenience for consumers.
In the condo I used to own, I shared 5 out 6 faces of the box with neighbors. Cheapest electricity bills I ever had because you're mutually insulating your neighbors.
However, my HOA fees were more than that savings. The chairman noticed we had a lot of money in the reserves and pushed for a vote to do a multimillion dollar renovation. Popularity contest for things I don't value and HOA fees go up. Want to make a change or need to make a repair, need to get approval from the board.
Anyway, I'm sure the parallels are obvious with a little imagination, but I prefer a standalone house.
However, I'm a geek who sits online all day, and I don't pay for the top tier of bandwidth available to me. I also see occasional comments where people are saying they use Sonnet or Luna because they're good enough. Maybe in 20 years people will point to the incompetence and greed in data center build outs too.
I have no idea which way it will go. Maybe most people will be satiated once they can generate video on demand. They don't need many tokens to read and write their email, book a flight, or do their homework.
However, capability could plateau or reach a point where most of the market can't tell the difference and isn't willing to pay a premium.
The US absolutely could (and very well might) make Chinese models illegal, possibly open weight models in general, but all that will do is keep them out of the hands of law abiding US citizens.
Law breakers in the US and the entire rest of the world would still have access, and nothing in the US will be any safer. People who think regulation will solve the problem should be embarrassed by their ignorance.
Aider in watching mode is almost this, but I'd have to insert and save actual "AI:" comments for it to replace. It wouldn't surprise me if VS Code already has something like I'm thinking, but VS Code is painful to me in so many other ways I refuse to use it.
I should probably just vibe code a vim or emacs extension for exactly what I want, but I haven't yet.
So yeah, US regulation is ONLY about capturing US consumers. This isn't food or airplanes.
How would you be able to tell if it's the lesser amount of training data or the difficulty of the language that's making the difference?
Useful error messages at compile time
Fast compilation to iterate and fix those errors
Efficient memory, CPU, and maybe GPU at runtime
Familiar from the training data [0]
One obvious/preferred way to do things
Explicit types
Rust hits some of those, but not all. I can't think of a language that hits all of them, but a lot of people sure love to rationalize why their own favorite language is the best choice. LLMs don't need syntax sugar and other niceties, and any errors postponed to runtime are a burden on you, not the model.We could add a few more rarely seen features to increase confidence in the results and make future modifications or switching models go better:
Required pre-conditions and post-conditions
Enforced limits on function or method length
Mandatory test cases
Enforced naming conventions
Lean style proofs of correctness? (probably not)
I'm on the fence about things like linear/affine types for memory management vs garbage collection. Obviously you want memory safety, but there's more than one to get that, and I don't know that you want to force contortions to build simple data structures.[0] LLMs are very capable of programming in languages they've never seen before. I've had them write programs using my own toy compilers for my own toy languages. However, you waste a lot of prompt tokens up front explaining things, and then they waste a lot of thinking tokens trying to get it right. Any new language would have a chicken and egg problem here, but LoRAs and model refinement could bridge the gap.
Both of those are local models, and I didn't provide them tools to access the internet to call other models. None of this is proof of anything, but it is suggestive.
Thank you for calling this out. Using Wikipedia snippets for these is a terrible choice. I did a bunch of KL and other stats with the five Gemma 4 models, and the results were non-obvious. Anthropomorphizing:
Gemma 4 31B: "I guess we'll pretend I said this, but it's not me." (Baseline for stats)
Gemma 4 26B: "Dude, I'm certain I wouldn't have said this." (Bad KL)
Gemma 4 12B: "Umm, Me either!" (Similarly Bad KL)
Gemma 4 E4B: "I might say almost anything, this is fine." (Much better KL!!!)
Gemma 4 E2B: "I'm basically a toy. Let's play a game!" (Same KL as E4B)
Anyway, for comparing quantizations, it seems like the largest precision version should be given a one-shot prompt, and the result from that should be used as the corpus for the quantized versions.
AI policy is being shaped somewhat by the things Sam and Dario say. So even if you're not feeling vindictive, it's probably good to keep a track record of the previous things they have said as a Bayesian prior. People who don't know better listen to these people, and maybe they shouldn't.
30.8% - A researcher in a field not listed above
21.2% - A science enthusiast
18.0% - A researcher studying quantum physics
12.0% - A researcher studying astrophysics or cosmology
9.2% - A researcher studying gravity
8.8% - OtherAs far as I'm concerned, it's a word without a useful enough definition to bother worrying about it.
Anyway, this article reads a lot like, "the beatings will continue until cheating is eliminated". Maybe try a carrot instead of a stick.