yufeng66

Phi-2 basically demonstrated that you don't need a very large model to figure out language. It not very smart but speaks perfect English. it's not obvious the best way to gain IQ is to have a larger language model. some other structure might be needed.

I stopped using google map to navigate while driving due to the low contrast issue. I used to be able to scan the map and figure out which fork I should take. with the current google map, I have to stare at it for a fraction of a second to be sure. Now I use Apple map and works much better for me.

A hypothetical conversation by chatGPT

Stephen Wolfram (SW): Hello, Donald. Have you heard about OpenAI's language model, ChatGPT?

Donald Knuth (DK): I've come across some mentions, yes. AI has certainly come a long way since the Turing Test.

SW: Indeed. What's interesting is that it's less about designing an algorithm and more about generating one from massive amounts of data. It's quite aligned with my principle of computational irreducibility.

DK: In a sense, yes. Yet the allure of crafting an elegant algorithm, one that you can describe and understand fully, is something I still hold dear. The idea of a "black box" AI that we cannot comprehend is a bit disconcerting to me.

SW: That's a fair point. But sometimes the rules generated by the computational universe can create incredibly complex, yet coherent, behavior from simple inputs. Much like in cellular automata.

DK: It's interesting to think of it in that way. However, my perspective is more aligned with understanding and breaking down complexity. AI, in its current form, seems more about handling and even generating complexity.

SW: True, but even these complex systems are derived from rules and patterns, whether we can see them easily or not. It's a different kind of exploration into the computational universe.

DK: It certainly raises interesting questions for the future of computer science and AI. Whether it's rule-based systems or neural networks trained on vast data, we're still exploring the boundaries of what machines can do.

SW: Indeed. And ChatGPT, as it stands, is an intriguing example of that exploration. It's fascinating to see how this field evolves.

DK: Absolutely. There's always something new to learn.

Hudson's bay company is incorporated by English Royal charter in 1670. By definition it is a department store affiliated with the English king :)

Initially, I didn't see much value in the metaverse due to the high barrier to entry for end users and the limited network effect. However, I am bullish now. With the advancement of technologies like GPT-4 and Stable Diffusion, there is potential for more interesting NPCs in the metaverse. Additionally, Virtual Reality (VR) could serve as a superior user interface for these technologies compared to text-based interfaces like chatGPT. This could enable the metaverse to scale without solely relying on the network effect, as engaging NPCs and VR experiences can provide value to users even in the early stages of development, and continue to evolve and expand as technology progresses.

I can see how this end. Musk decided to do more experiments on monkeys. Soon monkey + chip become smarter than human. And human cease to exist shortly after.

I have been in finance industry for more than 20 years. People have been talking about replacing USD as reserve currency for as long as I can remember. The problem is nothing else is better. EUR? JPY? GBP? CNY? Gold? All of them have more issues compared to USD.

Model T is not efficient by modern standard. But it was the much more efficient compared to horse carriage at the time. Bitcoin is much less efficient than USD now. Very difficult to see why bitcoin would replace USD.

De-dollarization won’t happen in China. Chinese government is addicted to economic growth. The legitimacy of the government depends on it. There are only 3 ways to generate growth: infrastructure investment, consumption and export. The investment approach generates too much debt and one can argue China has reached limit there. Chinese has never been able to increase the consumption as a percentage of GDP in a meaningful way. So they have to rely on export. There is no way they can grow export without dollar.

legally the new definition of 3 month Libor is sofr + 26.161bps

The omicron variant could be a blessing in disguise if the early stories on how it is less deadly checks out. That means people refuse to get the vaccine shot will be infected with the omicron variant with relatively low consequence and get immunity that way. Btw this is how it suppose to work. The virus has no incentive to kill its host. The variant that is fast spreading and less deadly eventually wins out.

The first reaction I got watching genetic dynasty stuff is Elon Musk probably has something like that planned. The technology is more or less ready. And he is that reckless

Krugman is just too emotionally invested in the book, so nothing comparable to the book. If the show is not called foundation, he will probably enjoy it.

The article is not about what kind of life style they can afford. It's more about their common belief system. They think they get where they are by hard working and ignore the luck factor. They think people poorer than them because they don't work hard enough.

This is a common misunderstanding. As a percentage of GDP, debt did go down. But the US government didn't actually paydown the debt. The debt notional more or less stayed the same. The ratio decreased due to GDP growth and inflation.

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/FYGFD

I practice something similar to fall sleep. I play a bit ping pong and the body and wrist need to be very relaxed do to a short push. I just lay down in the bed and do the short push mentally. That way my body is relaxed automatically and I fall sleep in no time.

Also, Cario-Jeddah and Cario-Riyadh are formerly Ottoman Empire. Seoul-Tokyo is briefly part of Japanese Empire. The only "true" international routes left are Dubai-London and New York-Santiago

I am an actuary for 20 years and people have been trying to replace Excel for at least 15 of them. But Excel is not going anywhere. I think it will be even more popular with the recent introduced lamda function. Excel formulas will Turing complete and we don’t have to use VBA anymore.

The original Chinese version is poorly written. The English translator, Ken Liu, did an excellent job polishing it up.

Well, they got the husker-husky game wrong ;) Husker won the game and end up splitting the national tile with Michigan that season.

The founding father of the Republic of China, Dr. Sun Yat-sen, was heavily influenced by Georgism. He believed all income derived from land, including appreciation of the land, should be heavily taxed. He incorporated it into three principle of the people, which is the cornerstone Kuomintang ideology.

But nobody would argue Taiwan is a Georgism heaven right now. Why? Rich and political powerful people own the land. Georgism as a practical matter is very difficult to push through.

The idea of field hospital is to move non covid related patients to the file hospitals and let the regular hospital to be covid only. This way there is much smaller chance to get covid while getting routine medical care. Reliable source told me medical facility utilization rates aredown more than 50% in non covid hot spot area. People are simply deferring non emergency medical service. They are also not so sure if they need to quarantine non symptomatic covid case away from home, like china did. So the field hospitals are built as an option if needed.

The issue is crazy. It basically come down to there is no unit test? Unit test traditionally is not done for numerical code in Fortran or C. We sent people to the moon on code without unit test. We build atomic bombs on code without unit test. It doesn’t mean the code is not tested. Those numerical code are just tested in a different way.

Also remember, all models are wrong, some are useful. Is this particular model useful? Probably.

Here in Maryland, there are trucks from New York Chinatown stop at local park and ride regularly to deliver specialty Chinese food. You order through an app.

I can't tell if this a April fool joke or real

Never attribute to malice that which can be adequately explained by stupidity.

There is a warning sign. Without actually running the number, I believe the energy generated by the proposed HB11 fusion should be several order of magnitude higher compared to the electric energy alpha particle can carry. So extreme hot temperature will be created regardless.

Edit: actually read the paper :) From the paper: H + 11B = 3 x 4He + 8.7 MeV

when alpha particle absorb the electron to become helium, it can carry about 50 eV energy. So vast majority of the energy generated will be kinetic energy or photon energy which translate into very hot temperature at macro level.

Costco capitalism can be summarized as hire top 5% of the population and the rest can take care of itself. However, not all worker are in the top 5% and they need jobs as well. Hence Walmart capitalism

what kind of hardware is the GFS model run on?

As a parent of teenager, it’s exactly that. Android phone messes up the iMessage group chat. So kids with Android phone tend to get excluded. Apple is obviously in no hurry to fixed issue. iMessage turn out to be the stickiest social network for the next generation.