101 karma · joined November 5, 2022
Do the rules say that FDIC has to sell these right away? I imagine they have discretion on timing the sales so that it doesn't dislocate the market. The FDIC is all about stability, after all...
> First Republic’s funding relies in large part on wealthy individuals who increasingly have a range of options to seek higher yields on their cash at other financial institutions as interest rates have risen.
Over the last year I kept my FRC checking account at 100 (not the real number). A month back or so I dropped it down to 50 and moved the other 50 into T-Bills.
Two of the largest bank ETFs are down around ~8% today. SIVB is only 2% of the holdings of KBE and 3% of KBWB.
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/KBE:NYSEARCA
https://www.google.com/finance/quote/KBWB:NASDAQ
A former Bridgewater guy who I respect very much is saying that the panic is totally uncalled for: https://mobile.twitter.com/BobEUnlimited/status/163395659942...
AMZN: -2.2%
AAPL: -1.9%
META: -3.42%
MSFT: +0.45%
GOOGL: -8.21%
I agree that we shouldn't buy into the media's perpetual gloom & doom machine but I also caution against the knee-jerk contrarian "everything is fine" impulse.
The percentage rate of change is often the best signal in these kinds of indicators. We're around 20% YoY. The last two years (2004 & 2008) we hit that kind of level weren't strong economies.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.png?g=ZAtQ
The Dec '22 FOMC Minutes also hinted that the FOMC is also watching credit card levels. Interest rates have exploded higher yet consumers are increasing their credit card debt.
1)
> Globalization is Dead and No One is Listening
We're talking about it on HN page 1. And I hear a lot of talk among the macro and policy people I follow about friendshoring.
2)
The author makes an argument that the fact that TSMC had to send US engineers to Taiwan for training was a sign of a talent shortage. But earlier the author said this:
> TSMC is arguably the one company that most epitomizes all the forces of globalization – free trade, hyper specialization...
Hyperspecialization to me implies that you need to go to HQ to understand how everything works and it will take a while to understand it all. So the earlier argument about a shortage of talent in the US seems tenuous to me.
A good concrete milestone is to create a spreadsheet of doc coverage. The rows are your key use cases and the columns are "tutorial", "guide", "explanation", "reference" (see Diataxis). Take a snapshot of your starting state. And then take a snapshot of your ending state (hopefully with more doc coverage for all your key use cases. It's a nice and clear story to tell to stakeholders. Explain the 4 Diataxis doc types to your stakeholders (basically just repeat the message on the Diataxis homepage). Most people intuitively get it and agree right away. And then you show them the before and after. "We started here and now our docs are much more comprehensive and here's a detailed breakdown to help convince."
I am a professional technical writer (edit: removed my current role because this is supposed to be my anon macro investing account... facepalm)