> that a complete collapse of the industry seems highly unlikely to me.
Unlikely in the next 10 years or the next 100?
Unlikely in the next 10 years or the next 100?
With that said, I’m pretty confident that the movie industry will exist in 10 years (maybe heavily tranformed, but still existing and still pretty big). If it’s still a big part of current popculture by then (vs obviously on its way out) then I’d expect a collapse of it to require a change that is not a result of AI proliferation, but something else entirely.
Realistically, AI being able to replace Hollywood is something that could happen in 20-50 years. That's within most people's lifetime.