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Tadpole9181

1,863 karma · joined September 27, 2023

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Tadpole9181··on Tesla to wind down Cybertruck production
He did a Nazi salute on national TV!? Three times!
Tadpole9181··on Nasdaq plummets 4% into correction territory
> And if governments do not honor the people's will... then we have far bigger problems to worry about.

Oh, yeah, sure. They'll get right on that. Patriot act is going away any day now. Climate change and healthcare and judicial / law enforcement reform going to be addressed any second.

Tadpole9181··on $2.5T has been wiped from US stocks
What do you mean? The NASDAQ dropped the same percentage 4 months ago, close to peak value? And again 6 months ago, below it's current value.
Tadpole9181··on Images 2.6
You know most of us are using these models day-to-day, right? Opus 5.5 is leagues better than Opus 5. Hell, it's better than Fable 5.1.

I have to imagine you don't if you can say this with a straight face...

Tadpole9181··on Nasdaq plummets 4% into correction territory
JSYK, that's a paywalled link.
Tadpole9181··on Nasdaq plummets 4% into correction territory
Intel lost 50% of its value in a week. But it's up 50% from last year.

Anyone paying attention knows the market is in a weird place, and large swings today are the small swings of the past. It's hardly a "plummet" when the amortized line for the past month, including today, is mostly a linear decline.

We've had a couple of single-day 4% drops over the past few months too. Oh no, the market is the lowest it's been in... 3 months!? This is the largest decline we've seen in... 4 months!?

Could it be a market correction? Could it be a full-on collapse? Sure.

But is a single 4% drop worth a headline "plummeting into correction territory"? Not really.

Tadpole9181··on Nasdaq plummets 4% into correction territory
> Plummets

Still +4% YoY.

24/7 sensationalist news is just exhausting.

Tadpole9181··on Spreading Liquid with Three.js
You can also make infinite paint by spinning a small circle, then cycling between larger and small circles! It seems it also converges to secondary colors over time if any other primary color is added. Very cool!

They explain why this happens in the article.

Tadpole9181··on Basically no one is using AI agents for their DoorDash orders
If you're the type who double-checks your work and this is important: 40% of the time.

If you're the type who doesn't: probably 90% of the time.

This feels like goal-post moving now, with questions less genuinely curious about an answer and more trying to "get" me. How am I supposed to answer that, it depends on the task and the model and the harness and specific human being using it.

Use it or don't, I don't care, but at least be genuine in the discussion.

Tadpole9181··on RTX 5090 Street Prices Top $9k as Nvidia GPU Costs Climb
I guess I understood "on its way out" to be a shorter timeframe than you intended, sorry!
Tadpole9181··on Basically no one is using AI agents for their DoorDash orders
Well that's a different argument, now isn't it?
Tadpole9181··on Basically no one is using AI agents for their DoorDash orders
Not to mention, searching for food joints is awful. If I want to find authentic Chinese or somewhere with real Bao, I'm going to have to trudge through a hundred pages of Google, Reddit, Yelp, online menus. 90% of the results are garbage and sponsored fast food slop or shadow kitchens.

If I could just ask a single sentence and get back pre-filtered, high-quality answers I would be stoked.

Tadpole9181··on Basically no one is using AI agents for their DoorDash orders
Okay, now do "all my transactions this year for retail stores"? Or "All luxury / deductible purchases"?

Of course when you arbitrarily limit the problem domain to some specific example, you can make any tool seem pointless and stupid. It's when you expand your goals to things that aren't trivial that you get benefits.

Do we need not Mathematica or NumPy because calculators can add just fine?

Tadpole9181··on RTX 5090 Street Prices Top $9k as Nvidia GPU Costs Climb
DLSS still needs discrete hardware to do that (and keeps requiring new hardware on each generation). Not to mention the types of RAM are not the same and have entirely different tradeoffs - using GDDR for a CPU would tank performance due to an order of magnitude worse latency, using DDR for a GPU would make games a slideshow due to an order of magnitude worse bandwidth. And you'd have to redesign the entire concept of how CPUs and motherboards work to get there, while making AMD and NVIDIA agree to have their chips be behest to the bridges of shitty motherboard and consumer RAM manufacturers even more than they already are.

Integrated systems have come a long way for highly optimized mobile and laptops designs with specific hardware in mind. But even if everything went perfectly - DLSS 5 on a 5090 halves the frame rate and requires a 5090. And it can only do a single style - gritty, high contrast lighting photorealism.

In 10 years will new GPUs primarily be AIPUs? Sure, probably, but they'll still be discrete and they'll still have significant raster and ray tracing pipelines to provide the basis of rendering.

Then again, maybe AGI will come and hardware will fundamentally revolutionize overnight.

Tadpole9181··on Scaling Git at OpenAI
I think you're getting caught up on a hyperbolic example. I already tried to clarify there's a gradient, so I don't know what you want from this discussion?
Tadpole9181··on Scaling Git at OpenAI
Didn't the Postgres team just have to stop a release because the agents found a slew of bugs in human code from domain experts that "understood and verified it"?

Perhaps I'm being overly generous to the parent's point, but it stands to reason that we make a lot of choices of where and how much trust we give away. This is just another one of those points.

Tadpole9181··on Scaling Git at OpenAI
It is truly a strange time to be alive. I've made systems in the past month that I've wanted to do for years, and they're astronomically better than I would have been able to rush together had I found the time. And I'm even trying to be tempered and work out more careful approaches to some of the folks I've seen.
Tadpole9181··on Private Jet plane crashes in Florida
It's just hard on the soul. You hear someone professional, who we'd usually look to as the adult in the room, quickly unraveling.

She goes from the confident pilot speak to panicked reports to starting to scream and hyperventilate, while doing her best to recover and communicate what's happening to the tower. At some point you hear them acknowledge that it's too late and they're all going to die. And then one last scream before suddenly cutting out.

It's just that gut-wrenching empathy and feeling of helplessness.

I would personally say that people should listen to this stuff, though. Life is hard and fragile, and even though it's hard, empathizing with this suffering makes sure we understand the real costs of our mistakes.

I saw way too many dismiss a million deaths by COVID. So many people bat their eyes at 100 people dying in a plane crash now. If they heard the recordings of these kinds of last moments, I think we'd be at less risk of our (moral/procedural) standards slipping.

Tadpole9181··on AI agent swarms in Minecraft fail to build civilization, drown in bureaucracy
Uh... Because people like those things? Duh?
Tadpole9181··on AI agent swarms in Minecraft fail to build civilization, drown in bureaucracy
Do you also bully people for playing video games or taking a leisurely drive?

And how very "hacker news" of you to discourage someone from playing with SOTA technology in unique ways.

Tadpole9181··on Simple circuits can create complex behaviors
> That is why I said, I think most people handle this by telling themselves that animals aren't "intelligent" beings at all, and are mostly emotionless stimulus-reaction automatons.

I disagree - I think most people would say a dog or a horse are quite intelligent and have "souls". But dogs and horses don't have the conceptual ideas of freedom and economy, and they enjoy doing the work they're given (in part because we spent hundreds to thousands of years breeding them to do that).

So as long as we're kind and treat them well, nobody has a problem with their slavery. The idea being that exploitation is linked to suffering, but simply having an asymmetrical relationship is not inherently cruelty.

Not to be crass, but we can also bring up other concepts like BDSM. Violence and domestic abuse are objectively bad. But in the context of a safe relationship where all parties are informed, consenting, and enjoy the abuse they're receiving... Now violence and domestic abuse are pretty clearly morally neutral.

Tadpole9181··on Herdr has released native app
Because my job has multiple servers with different needs and tooling, and I must do my development within the appropriate environment.

I'd also _much_ rather do my development on a persistent, always-on host so I can switch what computer I'm using for a head or turn off my computer and drive home while Claude works overnight.

Tadpole9181··on Simple circuits can create complex behaviors
Well, it depends, doesn't it? Slavery is wrong in humans because, well obviously we don't want to be slaves. It's an enormous burden to the victims and causes them lifelong, unfathomable suffering.

But is it unethical to create a being who derives great joy from being a machine-slave and completing tasks, then provide it tasks to achieve that joyfulness?

We already have a gradient of examples for this. Is it inherently wrong to exploit living things for profit? If not, why are work animals not treated with the same level of disdain as human slavery? Horse riding? Disability assistance animals? Because they don't have the same desires as humans, the predominant concern is their wellbeing over the intrinsic wrongness of slavery.

Going further down the gradient, we steal milk from farm animals (sometimes by depriving their babies). Eggs from poultry. Honey from bees.

I can't actually attest to the state-of-mind of Dario or other Anthropic researchers, but I don't think it's a stretch to say you can believe in the ethical exploitation of an intelligent being, so long as the incentives are aligned that both parties are happy with the process.

Then again, maybe he really is an absurdly evil person and what we're doing is extremely wrong! But I'm glad to actually be able to talk about it for once... so thanks for your reply!

Tadpole9181··on Simple circuits can create complex behaviors
> It seems like no one stops to ask, "isn't it kind of bad that we're developing this system of machine intelligence to be our code-writing slaves, without ever really interrogating the ethics?

To be clear, Anthropic does seem to be taking this somewhat seriously. Their reports on training always discuss model wellfare, they ban abusive behavior toward the AI, etc. At one point they were asking some philosophers and theologists about the implications of this all.

And they're pretty relentlessly mocked and called a "cult" for doing so, even on this forum.

Tadpole9181··on Anthropic may not secure investment-grade rating after IPO, Blackstone says
People got upset that Anthropic added rejection rules for people saying "Make Pokemon in Elden Ring" . You can still make games, as long as you aren't telling Claude to recreate a specific, IP-protected game.
Tadpole9181··on US tech stocks see sharp falls over AI cost fears
Except, you know, the billions of dollars and platform and contacts and industrial engineers and experience building clean room fabs and political leverage and...
Tadpole9181··on Intel plunges 25%, triggers global chip rout on bleak outlook
Valuation doesn't come from what's happening now, it comes from what is expected in the future. The whole point is to put in money to make more money later.

The earning report doesn't need to be bad for investors to see the projected outcomes for future quarters and say "hm... my money is best put somewhere else, whose earnings report showed more potential for growth".

Tadpole9181··on Intel plunges 25%, triggers global chip rout on bleak outlook
Intel also said half of their revenue was consumer sales and projected them to fall 20% soon. Meanwhile, they have limited offerings in the AI department and their gGPU market hasn't really taken a strong hold.

If it keeps going or spreads to other, unrelated businesses (no, I don't count 2-5% adjustments), that's something to notice, but this just seems like people reacting fairly expectedly to the content of the report? To put this in perspective, Intel is still up 68% YoY.

But, as always, we'll see in the coming hours/days.

Tadpole9181··on Herdr has released native app
What's more, the sidebar literally has a thing that says "Menu". When you click it, one of the options is "detach". It's not rocket science...
Tadpole9181··on PHP2Shell: Exploitation attempts and remediation trends
The author didn't even have an accessible PHP server at first. When they actually added one, it got cracked in 2 hours.
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