Melvin was also heavily short Bed Bath and Beyond, they probably covered some of their shorts this morning because they were overall down a lot.
52 karma · joined January 25, 2021
When they blow up, they talk to their media contacts and lay the blame on retail day traders ganging up on them and start a new fund.
The float has been over 100% shorted for over a year. The shorts could have easily covered or trimmed their position when the stock was trading in the $3-$4 range this spring and summer for a profit but they chose not to. Book value was estimated to be $10 at that time. News came out that improved GameStop's situation and its future appeared less bleak. There should have been short covering on each of those pieces of news: GameStop paying off debt early, Ryan Cohen first buying 5% of the company, then 13%, then joining the board with 2 other CHEWY executives, the new PlayStation and XBox consoles releasing and always being immediately sold out, the microsoft profit sharing deal, huge ecommerce growth yoy, etc. But the shorts chose not to cover at all! Short float remained the same at over 100% as more new people bought into the company on the good news.
Many people may not know this but a new CEO was hired 2 years ago: George Sherman, and he's been doing a good job of turning around the company by doing unsexy things like shutting down unprofitable stores like where there's 2 GameStops in a single mall and improving their supply chain logistics and ecommerce business. 95% of all GameStop stores are 4 wall ebitda profitiable was what they said on a conference call 2 years ago.
I would also like to point out GameStop is a highly cyclical business. It depends a lot on the 7 year playstation and xbox console cycle. Look back on the historic stock chart. People think it's failing because revenue declines year over year then the stock goes parabolic in the new console release year. It's like the console cycle isn't priced in until it hits people in the face.
Hedge funds like Melvin have billions of dollars under management and they need to allocate a certain percentage of that pool to each idea they have to make sense financially and they poured too much money into this one short idea than would be appropriate from a risk management perspective. They didn't do their research properly and probably thought the company would go bankrupt. That wasn't the case. GameStop doesn't have much debt and they survived the pandemic. The shorts should have realized their mistake and started covering. What was going on for months this summer and fall seemed like the posterchild of an inefficient market. Instead the shorts doubled down and they've tried to break the momentum of people buying into the stock ever since September when it started rallying by heavily naked shorting and buying large blocks of short term puts. You can observe this by reading level 2 and seeing the entire tape being red and bid prices being rapidly sold off. Numerous articles were written weekly on various financial sites saying the stock rise doesn't make sense and some were even irresponsibly telling retail investors they should short, often lying through omission on important details like Ryan Cohen becoming an activist investor and the extremely high short float and the new console cycle and the new microsoft deal and huge ecommerce growth. I question how many of these authors had connections to the short funds and wrote articles for them.