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arn

3,037 karma · joined March 7, 2007

I started MacRumors.com

Email me at arn@normalkid.com, follow me on twitter: @arnoldkim.

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arn··on On why I gave up drinking in my early twenties
If you don't want to drink and don't think you are missing out, then that's a very healthy choice. No question, and I'm not trying to convince you otherwise.

As to why, however. It's no big mystery. It's "fun", or at least can be. If you don't feel it's "worth it", that perfectly fine, but we all have a range of what's "worth it" and what's not. Ranging from a Big Mac to cocaine.

*To be clear, I fall in the middle of that range. I don't advocate cocaine.

arn··on Tesla won’t give drivers their own crash data without a court order (2018)
FWIW, I've done this once in my Tesla. Fortunately nothing was immediately in front of me at the time, and I was able to correct quick enough. Here's how the logic goes:

- Press brake.

- Car moves forward.

- Press brake much harder.

- Car lurches forward.

- Realize you are pressing the wrong pedal.

arn··on Study findings do not support the use of ivermectin for patients with Covid-19
Many of the early studies weren’t high quality studies. And as I recall a couple were outright fabricated. It takes time to run randomized prospective studies and those are coming out now.
arn··on Americans are retiring to Vietnam, for healthcare and standard of living (2019)
There's a foreign tax credit up to $100k. So, for the retired, I don't think paying extra tax is an issue.
arn··on White hat hacker awarded $2M for fixing ETH-creation bug
Historically, 4% withdrawal rate is likely to last you at least 30 years with funds invested.*

Currently people are pessimistic about stock market returns going forward so it could be lower (3-3.5%). And even lower if you want it to last longer than 30 years.

* https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trinity_study

arn··on New Covid variant BA.2 detected in at least 40 different countries
I’m not sure what you think you are saying. But vaccinated + previous infection is superior to either alone. Hence the “super” booster nomenclature.
arn··on New Covid variant BA.2 detected in at least 40 different countries
I believe this is in reference to those who have breakthrough infections while already vaccinated, hence acting as a "booster".

Unvaccinated with an omicron infection is not necessarily the same thing, and isn't likely to have as strong an immune response.

arn··on World ocean temperatures in 2021 were the hottest ever recorded
ya, I'm saying that even if climate change does destroy his beach house in 20 years, they will have gotten 20 years of use out of it.
arn··on World ocean temperatures in 2021 were the hottest ever recorded
If I could use it for 20 years first, definitely.
arn··on World ocean temperatures in 2021 were the hottest ever recorded
Cause he’s rich and can afford it regardless what happens. Why would you pay for ice at a convenience store when you could make it yourself at home.
arn··on Staggering stat: 87% of U.S. teenagers have iPhones
I'm curious what the percentage of Journalists use iPhones primarily... because in my experience it's high, and I believe that affects dev decisions to target which platform first.

If you launch an android-only app, how much of your press-audience are you excluding?

arn··on Prince of Persia in JavaScript
you might enjoy this https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wKgLfqOVHco
arn··on South Africa’s omicron coronavirus outbreak subsides as fast as it grew
Correct. Will clarify.
arn··on South Africa’s omicron coronavirus outbreak subsides as fast as it grew
The other related factor is omicron is more likely (than other variants) to infect someone who has been vaccinated or previously exposed to covid. So the number of infected low risk individuals is higher, than with previous strains.

The denominator is higher than if, let’s say, delta was let loose in the same population at the same time.

arn··on “Imagine If Doctors Relied on Google as Much as Programmers Do”
Former physician, so very familiar.
arn··on “Imagine If Doctors Relied on Google as Much as Programmers Do”
The big resource for doctors (or was back in my day) is UpToDate.com - which includes up-to-date clinical summaries of diseases, treatments, with references to clinical studies that back them.

It was an indirect inspiration for MacRumors' roundups. Where we summarize the current information on a particular product rumor, so you don't have to keep up with the "literature".

arn··on You click a link to a news site, to read an article that seems interesting
Video ads pay well.
arn··on Vials labeled ‘smallpox’ are found in Pennsylvania laboratory
"They're not remotely the same thing. The former drops to less than 50% effectiveness after six months, the latter eradicated the disease."

Would you only take the first Smallpox vaccine, or would you get the booster every 3 years?

https://www.cdc.gov/vaccines/vpd/smallpox/index.html

Adverse reactions (including myocarditis): https://www.cdc.gov/smallpox/vaccine-basics/vaccination-effe...

It also eradicated small pox since the vaccine was mandated.

arn··on Effect of early treatment with fluvoxamine on risk of hospitalization for Covid
> Why is the absolute 5% and the RR 32%? What's the difference?

Example:

(20/100) 20% of patients die without treatment

(10/100) 10% of patients die with treatment

absolute = 10 percentage points difference (20->10)

relative = percent decrease. 20 -> 10 50% difference

arn··on Firefox Suggest (address bar based ads, currently limited to US)
This what you are looking for? https://wikimediafoundation.org/about/financial-reports/
arn··on I Got a 'Mild' Breakthrough Case
Most things on your list are fine and prob won't hurt, but you didn't explicitly mention one thing that has studied benefit which is monoclonal antibodies. Also needs to be done early.
arn··on I Got a 'Mild' Breakthrough Case
This is firmly conspiracy theory territory however.

The vaccine certainly has side effects and there are going to be rare side effects that are severe.

But considering that 209 million people in the United States have gotten the vaccine -- if there were a high rate of serious side effects, there is no way that would be suppressed.

Even a 1% rate would mean there are over 2 million people that would have been affected.

arn··on Apple defends anti-child abuse imagery tech after claims of ‘hash collisions’
How would you know if it's a CSAM collision? I don't believe that database is publicly available anywhere, for obvious reasons.
arn··on Apple defends anti-child abuse imagery tech after claims of ‘hash collisions’
It's not a neural network. It's not AI. It's not trying to interpret image content. It's trying to identify known specific images, but is using a fuzzy fingerprinting match.
arn··on A shot to prevent Lyme disease could be on its way
Because even if I did point to official stats, you would say they are just lying?

A few months prior to the AMA survey, Long Term Care Facilities reported a 75% vaccination rate amongst physicians at their facilities. So presumably higher now.

https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7030a2.htm

arn··on A shot to prevent Lyme disease could be on its way
It's always cost-benefit. Relative risk of side effect directly relates to likelihood.

Risk of side effects vs benefit of vaccine.

I am not likely to take an HIV vaccine, since my personal chance of contracting HIV is incredibly low. So any side effect isn't "worth it" -- even a sore arm. But that doesn't mean I'm anti-vaccine.

I also don't wear a bullet proof vest around because it's too heavy ("side effect"). Does that mean I'm anti-bullet proof vest? No. But I would wear a bullet proof vest in a war zone -- even if it's heavy.

If there was a widespread small pox outbreak in the U.S., I'm certain more than 10% of physicians would take the vaccine. Does that mean they were lying before? No.

arn··on A shot to prevent Lyme disease could be on its way
That doesn't mean distrust of vaccination in general - at least by doctors. It was for a potential bioterrorist attack. It perhaps more reflects the low likelihood or belief that there would be a small pox attack.

Meanwhile, 96% of physicians are vaccinated against COVID - https://www.ama-assn.org/press-center/press-releases/ama-sur...

arn··on MacKenzie Scott’s Money Bombs Are Single Handedly Reshaping America
I don't think "Philanthropy & Grantmaking Infrastructure" means what you think it means.

There's a breakdown of which non-profits that includes, including the United Way and other non-profits.

arn··on Aspartame and cancer – new evidence for causation
Considering how widespread Aspartame on a societal level, you'd think there'd be epidemiologic evidence of increasing cancer rates over that time. Maybe there is some literature on it, but I hadn't heard.
arn··on Apple's child protection features spark concern within its own ranks: sources
It's not. It's a specific database of image hashes they are comparing against. Not AI, Not ML.
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