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cipher_system

339 karma · joined July 12, 2019

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cipher_system··on Delaying Herd Immunity Is Costing Lives
You don't seem to think very highly of other people. You could also phrase it as "if you have any possible risk factor, you should lock yourself away so me and my friends can build up herd immunity so you don't have to", just as the article said.
cipher_system··on We'll be stuck in this recession for years, economists say
The 87k are the verified cases, there are a magnitude more cases. So there is some herd immunity in some areas which may with the current or possibly a bit more lax precautions be enough to keep the new cases at a fairly low level in the fall and winter. Still of course no full herd immunity in all areas.

Some epidemiologist say that we'll live with this virus for 30 years and that pretty much everyone will get it sooner or later. If that is the case some countries have only postponed the inevitable.

Or vaccines or better treatments will soon be available and distributed to a couple of billion people, in that case the harder lockdowns saved some lives or months/years of living.

cipher_system··on Why Uber's business model is doomed
But Uber is "everywhere" so when travelling you don't have to download additional apps, ask someone to call a taxi for you or hail one in the streets. You also don't have to deal with payments or risk being ripped off.

The tech or overhead on Uber can't be that expensive so I really don't see why they shouldn't be able to pay decent wages and make profit.

cipher_system··on Mail-order chicks are arriving dead, costing Maine farmers thousands of dollars
Lol, I hope the mortality rate were lower than the 2% for birds.
cipher_system··on California issues first rolling blackouts since 2001
I wish the massive financial bailout money could be used to build and improve infrastructure. There doesn't seem to be a lack of money but it never seem to do anything useful.
cipher_system··on The world won't hit climate goals unless energy innovation rapidly accelerated
Yes nuclear is expensive at the moment but we are hardly building any new reactors. Lets say that society could research and engineer a mass producable reactor type safe enough to be politically viable and set the goal to replace fossil fuels as fast as possible. What would the cost be then?
cipher_system··on With broad, random tests for antibodies, Germany seeks path out of lockdown
Well, unless you have a vaccine, the virus does all of the work for you. Also, you can't really leave a country now anyway, and even if you could, the virus would be at the destination.

The herd immunity is not really something that you do but more of an unavoidable side effect. I'm not sure that we have much of a choice now that we are well beyond the point of containment.

cipher_system··on With broad, random tests for antibodies, Germany seeks path out of lockdown
How do you know it's complete nonsense if you have no knowledge on the subject?
cipher_system··on Stockholm to reach herd immunity in May?
He is not exactly saying or promising heard immunity in May but that they do have some mathematical models that point to that. He also states the caveat that these models are only as good as their input values and he doesn't sound confident about the correctness of those.
cipher_system··on Stockholm to reach herd immunity in May?
As I understand it, the quick antibody tests are the unreliable ones. For these tests, the blood will be collected at home and sent to labs where i would suppose reliable tests will be done.

Also, the tests will begin next week and the results will be published end of April or beginning of May.

cipher_system··on Handbook of Covid-19 Prevention and Treatment from Hospital with 0% fatality [pdf]
Why does everyone want to reduce the fever with pills?

The immune system works best when there is a fever and if you suppress it you are just trading long term complications for short term relief. In the Covid-19 case it would IMO be much better to drink lots of fluids and just let the fever run its course.

I'm not a doctor so you shouldn't listen to me, listen to the awesome Dr Campbell instead, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJqSdmNNwW4

cipher_system··on Retry pattern – A fundamental pattern for systems resilience (2018)
I like how the web site has overridden the default scroll behaviour, it's so much better this way.

Said no one ever.

cipher_system··on Boeing fired midlevel executive following embarrassing emails
By being part of the leadership ranks and being unaware, shouldn't the disciplinary actions extend upon himself as well?

Maybe being a total dick gives you a free pass at Boeing.

cipher_system··on Programmers Should Plan for Lower Pay?
They try to but it's not always that easy. When you outsource you often need a lot more people to do the same work since there is more overhead. So the total cost may not be that much lower and the output is less.

Not saying this is always the case but it has been like that at my company several times. IMO IT and business need to work close together to efficiently produce quality stuff that the customers want. This is way harder if you are separated by a sucky phone line.

cipher_system··on Is College Still Worth It? The New Calculus of Falling Returns [pdf]
$29k is not that much is it? That is about what I ended up with for my degree in Sweden where higher education is free but you borrow for living expenses. I repay it with about $100 per month for 25 years.

Perhaps the biggest difference is the interest rate which is government backed and around maybe 1-2%. According to first result on Google the interest rates on US student loans seems to be around 6-8%.

cipher_system··on France to Raise Pollution Tax on SUVs and Trucks to €22k
I would guess a lot of people don't like the idea of subsidising luxury cars for wealthy people. I can understand that.

Besides, aren't Model 3 and the coming Cybertruck below that limit?

cipher_system··on Farmers Are Using Food Waste to Make Electricity
It's used as fertilizer on the fields.
cipher_system··on The Mark Zuckerberg Is a Lot Less Impressive Than the Movie Version
Just enough time to accuse someone of having ties to white supremacy but not enough to hear an answer.
cipher_system··on Why Enterprise Software Sucks
I would assume most companies use per diem for business trips. Agree that it would be great with something similar for other small expenses.

But none the less, all company expenses needs to be verifiable by some kind of receipt in the accounting to be legal. At least thats how it works in my country. So someone has to enter that into some sort of system, ideally the economy people would take care of that.

cipher_system··on Why Enterprise Software Sucks
It's annoying and could probably be made easier, but these things are required by law. Also, not everyone can be trusted and it's not easy to tell.
cipher_system··on The coal mine that ate Hambacher forest
Sure but then power lines needs to be built from where the power is produced to where it is used. This is also part of Energiewende but it is not that easy to just put up high voltage lines through a densely populated democracy. It could take years or even decades to build a new grid.

Their competitors are also becoming more efficient over time and if you have no capacity at all in a region no new factories can be built there. High paying jobs could be replaced by low paying jobs.

Not saying it shouldn't be done but I understand it's a political balancing act. Ideally a global carbon tax, making it the same for everyone, would help but i've given up hope on that.

cipher_system··on The coal mine that ate Hambacher forest
The jobs at risk are not only those in the coal industry but also the jobs powered by the coal. You can't run a business without electricity. So if coal makes up about a third of the power then about a third of the jobs in Germany could be lost.

Of course coal can and should be replaced by something better but thats gonna take a while and Germany has chosen to phase out nuclear before coal so this is a consequence of that decision.

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