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ctchocula

719 karma · joined November 20, 2011

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ctchocula··on The 'Buy, Borrow and Die' Wealth Strategy Has Become a $5T Market
The headline is editorialized way beyond what the article is about:

> A new survey of 57 of the world’s biggest private banks and other lenders, conducted by Deloitte and reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, offers the fullest picture yet of this opaque corner of finance. Banks don’t always break out such lending on their balance sheets, and there is no central tally of how much is outstanding. The report finds that stock-based lending, better known as Lombard loans to borrowers in Europe and Asia, is increasingly available to those lower down the wealth scale.

> ...

> In mid-October, Charles Schwab said its pledged asset line product available to people with at least $100,000 in nonretirement assets drove a 35% surge in bank-loan balances, to $72.3 billion in the third quarter. A spokeswoman said usage grew after Schwab launched a fully digital process three years ago that can get the loans approved within minutes.

Mixing "buy, borrow and die" up with a pledged asset line is ridiculous and clickbait to the point of disrespect for the reader's intelligence. The former is a boutique product used by the uber-rich (net worth in 9 figures minimum) to get around estate tax. They're certainly not using a pledged asset line, which is available to you and me but doesn't do anything for estate taxes.

The cynical read into this is WSJ is trying to whitewash the "buy, borrow and die" strategy using "hey, if the same strategy available to the plebs, then it must be morally justified, right?"

ctchocula··on Reasons I didn't become an EMT, ranked
Talk about leaving us on a hanger. You can't write all that and not share a single story.
ctchocula··on Singapore govt dating app uses Gale-Shapley stable marriage algorithm
Married filing separately (MFS) tax brackets are just MFS divided by 2, which is worse than Individual tax brackets.

Also various things get cut in half e.g. SALT cap phase-out income limit, mortgage deduction limit that MFS is almost never worth it except in a few niche situations and it acts as a last resort option if you are no longer on speaking terms with your spouse but haven't divorced yet, yet need to file taxes for the year.

ctchocula··on Go grandmaster Shin defeats AI KataGo with a two-stone handicap
Thanks!

One follow-up: Any recommended go servers to play on? OGS, Fox, Pandanet?

ctchocula··on Go grandmaster Shin defeats AI KataGo with a two-stone handicap
Given all the interest in sudden interest in go in this thread, anyone have a sure-fire method to improve at go from double-digit kyu to single-digit kyu and amateur dan level?
ctchocula··on Activation Energy is a good model for a lot of things
Certitude can be framed a bit more positively.

For example, someone on HN said they work out every day, not because they think it will make them super buff, but because they consider it a virtuous thing to do. If they miss a day, they will forgive themselves and try their best to pick it up the next day. They consider doing this virtuous act to be the end in and of itself, while treating any health benefits as a bonus.

I quite like this mental model for some reason I can't quite put my finger on. Maybe it's the similarity to virtue ethics, which was always for elites and I have an elitist streak.

ctchocula··on An Uncomplicated Man – A review of The Odyssey, directed by Christopher Nolan
That article's TL;DR is bad theories "external invasion" and "volcanoes", and sets against it the current historian consensus: "climate" and "internal instability".

That sounds a lot like what Wilson is implying.

ctchocula··on An Uncomplicated Man – A review of The Odyssey, directed by Christopher Nolan
[1] is a nice intro into what the current scientific consensus in what caused the Bronze Age collapse is, written by historian Bret Devereaux. The view he paints pretty much aligns with what Wilson wrote about there being no such thing as the "sea people".

[1] https://acoup.blog/2026/01/30/collections-the-late-bronze-ag...

ctchocula··on How to read more books
A fascinating read. Thank you for sharing!
ctchocula··on Chess invariants
> Let's start from the other end. Just a pawn and two kings. It's possible to describe some quite succinct rules for when that's a draw versus a win for the side with the pawn. Agreed? Club players know these by heart. You could write that doen as invariants. As long as the side with the pawn stays inside the "green zone" of the state space, there is nothing the other side can do to void mate.

The flaw in this line of reasoning is that it's easy to come up with a theorem that works for KP vs K. However as the number of pieces increases, it becomes impossible to distill all the branches of possible moves into a simple theorem like that. If what you said were possible, endgame would be a simple flowchart, but look at how much time even GM players use in endgame and how often mistakes are made, and you'll recognize Chess endgame is not distillable into a simple flowchart when there are even as few as 7 pieces on the board.

Given the above, the only option is enumeration, if you want to prove that in all cases the outcome is White win or draw.

ctchocula··on SpaceX files to go public
Tesla IPO'd at 1.7B and is worth 1.4T today. Giving you the benefit of doubt since it would be closer to a 1000x gain rather than the 100x gain that you didn't buy right at IPO, I will point out that there's a world's difference buying in at 1.7B, because there's still room for the stock to 1000x, but there's not much gain to be had buying in at 1.7T valuation.

Even the most highly company in the world Nvidia is less than 3x that valuation, so it's not a good comparison with Tesla's IPO.

ctchocula··on Waymo robotaxi hits a child near an elementary school in Santa Monica
That article also has its own rebuttal on statistical grounds. See https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/we-absolutely-do-know-that-...
ctchocula··on I'm Being Prosecuted for the Opposite of Insider Trading
Direct indexing will soon be able to provide that functionality of giving you S&P 500 stocks minus A, B and C companies you don't want to hold. However, cheap and reliable direct indexing brokerages aren't out there yet. Hopefully more competitors show up and help lower the prices for everyone.
ctchocula··on Drawbot: Let's hack something cute (2025)
This reminded me of those booths they have at company holiday parties where they take a photo of you, convert it to a line drawing and have the robot draw it out for you to keep. Very cool hack!
ctchocula··on Scott Adams has died
I had this same feeling. Same with reading a biography of Kurt Vonnegut. Before reading it, I thought of them in idealistic ways. They had multiple affairs and weren't such great people, even though they both wrote really, really well.
ctchocula··on BYD Sells 4.6M Vehicles in 2025, Meets Revised Sales Goal
https://panamapapers.org/case-study-china
ctchocula··on Growing up in “404 Not Found”: China's nuclear city in the Gobi Desert
Thanks for the info! I don't have a Zhihu account to check myself, but I believe you.

I think it would be helpful to dispel any confusion if you added somewhere on the Substack post (e.g. at the bottom) the above message you are the author of the Zhihu post.

ctchocula··on Growing up in “404 Not Found”: China's nuclear city in the Gobi Desert
+1 The long gap between 2016 when the original article was written in Chinese and 2025, the fact that the Substack article does not cite the original Zhihu article (until someone other than OP linked it in this thread), not linking previously English translations of this article, and the financial incentive of the LLM-translated article being on Substack make OP's claim of authorship of the Chinese article very sus.
ctchocula··on McDonald's is losing its low-income customers
You can't finish your comment without sharing some of your favourite recipes =P
ctchocula··on U.S. added 911k fewer jobs in year through March than reported earlier
Bogleheads [1] gives better financial advice than HN. Every time I peruse some threads there, I learn something new about personal finance I didn't know about.

[1] www.bogleheads.org/forum

ctchocula··on Shamelessness as a strategy (2019)
My read of "pre-2016 playbook" was referring to someone using a traditional campaign like Hillary (rather than Trump using his pre-2016 strategy), and that they were saying Trump changed the entire game in 2016 so that shameless strategies would be the winning strategy going forward. So I don't see a contradiction.
ctchocula··on Project Hyperion: Interstellar ship design competition
>During mitosis and meiosis, microtubules depend on a stable magnetic field to orient the mitotic spindle and ensure accurate chromosome segregation — processes critical for embryonic growth. A spacecraft lacking any magnetic field would halt human reproduction, dooming both the mission and the survival of the colony.

That seems wrong to me. The last time I calculated it out, the Earth's magnetic field isn't that strong, and for someone on earth's surface is dwarfed even by high voltage power lines. This is due to the Earth magnetic field radiating out from the iron core which is much farther away at the surface compared to the power lines, and declining by the square root law.

ctchocula··on The Art of Fugue – Contrapunctus I (2021)
"It's very hard to perceive counterpoint, and there is a limit to how much we can perceive at once. 2 voices is hard and takes practice, 3 voices is even harder, but you can have these flashes where you hear clearly voices playing off one another and its like getting a glimpse into the divine."

I've always wanted to learn how to listen to counterpoint. Anyone have good tips on how to appreciate it and know what it means to perceive counterpoint?

ctchocula··on What do wealthy people buy, that ordinary people know nothing about? (2015)
What you're talking about sounds a lot like the post-scarcity world that Gene Roddenberry envisioned in the Star Trek universe, where everyone has enough to live on, so social status is attained by prestige and doing admirable things (i.e. working for Starfleet). However, there's a lot of work to be done getting from here to there.
ctchocula··on 4chan Sharty Hack And Janitor Email Leak
Essentially the plot of "Mother Night" by Kurt Vonnegut. An American spy sent to Germany before WW2 who works there as a radio host, but who ends up spreading even more anti-semitic messaging than Nazi members themselves. "We are what we pretend to be, so we must be careful about what we pretend to be."
ctchocula··on Americans die earlier at all wealth levels, even if wealth buys more years
This is good info. Thanks for sharing!
ctchocula··on Tencent's 'Hunyuan-T1'–The First Mamba-Powered Ultra-Large Model
You do need one now if you are not a chinese national. See https://www.tibettourism.com/tibet-travel-permit.html
ctchocula··on [dead]
As this gets more and more serious, the "Kompromat Hypothesis" starting to look like the only remaining explanation.
ctchocula··on Basketball has evolved into a game of calculated decision-making
> (1) intentional fouling to get an advantage. It’s the only major sport where fouling can often work to your advantage.

nitpick: This happens in soccer as well. Oftentimes it's late in the game and you see the opponent has a counterattack that has a high probability of scoring. In that case, it's better for you to tactically foul them by taking them down before they reach your box and take the yellow card.

ctchocula··on Arsenal FC AI Research Engineer job posting
There's a pattern of referees giving unreasonable red cards to Arsenal, and those same referees getting lavish trips to the Dubai, which is where the owners of our title race rivals for 2 previous seasons are located.

It's a similar conflict of interest, if not outright corruption as Justice Clarence Thomas getting free all expenses paid fishing trips and other goodies from a billionaire who wants to influence Supreme Court decisions.

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