I previously tried with Seedance 2.5, Flux 3, Kling 3, Gemini Omni without much luck.
44,033 karma · joined February 7, 2008
I previously tried with Seedance 2.5, Flux 3, Kling 3, Gemini Omni without much luck.
Every time I try to generate one it's like a slot machine, where a different part will be messed up after fixing the first.
We all have businesses to run, this downtime costs us money already.
Human history is full of examples of this stuff plateauing and hitting hard scaling walls. Not only technology wise but economics and useful applications.
So much of this tension with AI is because everyone's concept of AI comes from movies and books, and nerds drinking Kool aid (see also: web 2.0).
There's a massive difference between "LLMs doing cybersecurity testing should have extensive sandboxing and monitoring" and "AI is broadly threatening humanity like nuclear weapons". Just because it's useful to have people think about the possibilities doesn't mean it's an emergency requiring grand intervention.
Maybe some business execs at Anthropic play along because it doesn't hurt business in the short term. But it's pretty obvious Dario and crew actually believe this stuff.
OpenAI's old board was also pretty extremist about safety even in the earliest days of GPT. Including Ilya Sutskever who went on to found a company called "Safe Superintelligence Inc." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Safe_Superintelligence_Inc.
Despite all of that we've seen little strong public evidence to support their theories (the immediate airplane regulation kind, not the Ray Kurzweil sort of projections). So we're all just supposed to trust them, and hope they didn't just go bit crazy drinking their own kool aid and hanging out in insular bubbles.
It's a useful safety latch where you break the glass in emergencies. Except the glass gets broken once and used like a day-to-day gas pedal after that. Which has been well reported shift in monetary policy since 2008, and again after COVID, where QE is just regular business. There's a serious lack of reduction following the crisis and a lack of long term preparation for future shocks. While markets get inflated and other foreign competitors do it too, which creates perverse incentives to maintain it.
I'm strongly in favour of separation of power, but the separation is much weaker in practice. Mostly due to as you said, politics. It still requires a culture of fiscal responsibility at multiple levels which is rare these days.
Maybe a serious debt crisis and high inflation might help remind politicians of why that culture is needed.
Crossing the Chasm book talked about this, innovators/early adopters care more about stuff than later portions of the market https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm
> NASA's total enacted budget for fiscal year 1996 was approximately $13.9 billion
> a 1996 bipartisan commission report noted that the NRO possessed "by far the largest budget of any intelligence agency," and contemporary experts track the broader military space budget at roughly $10 billion to $11 billion annually for the NRO alone
So pretty similar budgets. The NRO imaging lens used in Nancy Grace was manufactured in 1999 but planning started in 1996.
> Bain forecasts that annual spending on AI infrastructure might hit $1.5 trillion by 2031.
So maybe in 5yrs it will need enough revenue to cover $1.5T in capex spend globally in a year, investments which as the article mentions is also being supported by governments in "the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the EU, South Korea and the US". ... Or spending growth could lower over the next couple years to be more realistic.
This happens all the time on these social media websites. Automatic flagging of content, human reviewers restore it.
I've tried doing the incremental, iterative approach with just Code and it's just not as effective unless you're working on something simple or experimental. Or you're shipping to something non-serious or perpetually beta.
Same with server side rust. A high volume transactional backend email service makes sense there. The base layer of a CRM managing a lot of business logic?
Life will go on much the same. We just have more options to say yes to 'native' with LLMs, we can experiment more with ideal scenarios rather than a religious adherence to cross platform or single-framework merely for team DX simplicity.
Keep in mind DHH is working on an email app, it makes sense he sees native as the default option for that over pushing everything through the web when the barrier to entry lowered dramatically.
Hotwire is not explicitly a cross-platform concept. It's primarily a way to build web apps in the browser which is not going away any time soon. The only difference is in 2026 you're just more likely to vibecode a native mobile app than build a web/React Native version. Likewise you may build a native Desktop version instead of an Electron wrapper.
He explicitly said he still loves ruby as a language and thinks Rails is well suited for a future with AI coding.
It's interesting how this stuff gets spun on social media by people who don't watch the content.
The better question is why in 5yrs we will have to use ID to buy a product on some random ecommerce site or to play a video game or use Uber or post a comment on Reddit. It will be because people pushed for this for kids on social media and opened the door for the rest of the internet companies to demand it and therefore the government.
And another random youtube influencer who tried it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8J8oIs1GA0o
$1300 price
Much has been discussed about AI coding but there's been a lack of discussion on the design/UX side as that's also a step being rushed by via prompting + "looks pretty enough".
We're entering an era of hyper dense UIs with plenty of excess and quick workarounds.