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dmix

44,033 karma · joined February 7, 2008

https://twitter.com/dmix
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dmix··on Gemini 4 Argon
Interesting, I will try it with Opus 5.5.

I previously tried with Seedance 2.5, Flux 3, Kling 3, Gemini Omni without much luck.

dmix··on Gemini 4 Argon
I'm still waiting for a model which I can tell to "take these 3 screenshots and make a product launch video", where it doesn't randomly modify the screenshots or garble/rewrite the text as it moves the screenshots around the video.

Every time I try to generate one it's like a slot machine, where a different part will be messed up after fixing the first.

dmix··on Apple HomeView
How many people carry their laptop around and put it on their kitchen counter when they cook?
dmix··on Incident with Actions, Pull Requests and Issues
> because we might get a toll system for humans instead.

We all have businesses to run, this downtime costs us money already.

dmix··on Incident with Actions, Pull Requests and Issues
There has to be some economic incentive in place if their scaling issues impact the entire platform. If their system can't handle it then they need a toll system for these agents until the scaling is in place.
dmix··on Typesafe AI raises $870M at $7.5B
That press release made me cringe a bit. Maybe corporate speak wasn't so bad after all.
dmix··on OpenAI fires three safety researchers for "mishandling research information"
Any strong claim requires evidence and hand wavvy stuff about a technology just infinitely getting better isn't good enough on its own.

Human history is full of examples of this stuff plateauing and hitting hard scaling walls. Not only technology wise but economics and useful applications.

So much of this tension with AI is because everyone's concept of AI comes from movies and books, and nerds drinking Kool aid (see also: web 2.0).

dmix··on OpenAI fires three safety researchers for "mishandling research information"
The parallel maybe if it was actually AGI and not just LLMs. We're very far from that but these safety discussions pretends it's all the same.

There's a massive difference between "LLMs doing cybersecurity testing should have extensive sandboxing and monitoring" and "AI is broadly threatening humanity like nuclear weapons". Just because it's useful to have people think about the possibilities doesn't mean it's an emergency requiring grand intervention.

dmix··on Trump administration is suspending Microsoft from a green card program
Not surprising seeing those names, that list of companies are notorious for exploiting H1B too. The main reason it needs stronger enforcement and per country caps/ratios.
dmix··on LeCun has "zero concerns" about AI wiping out humanity, recent "rogue" incidents
> It builds an aura of mystique around their products to juice their valuation and stay relevant in the news cycle

Maybe some business execs at Anthropic play along because it doesn't hurt business in the short term. But it's pretty obvious Dario and crew actually believe this stuff.

OpenAI's old board was also pretty extremist about safety even in the earliest days of GPT. Including Ilya Sutskever who went on to found a company called "Safe Superintelligence Inc." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Safe_Superintelligence_Inc.

Despite all of that we've seen little strong public evidence to support their theories (the immediate airplane regulation kind, not the Ray Kurzweil sort of projections). So we're all just supposed to trust them, and hope they didn't just go bit crazy drinking their own kool aid and hanging out in insular bubbles.

dmix··on I quit OpenAI because its culture is broken
Why does every 'safety' critique about AI companies end up being completely vague like this.
dmix··on Venice’s failed war against Constantinople led to the first bond market
> I'm also not keen on destroying the money printer, because the events of 100 years ago showed us what deflationary shocks look like

It's a useful safety latch where you break the glass in emergencies. Except the glass gets broken once and used like a day-to-day gas pedal after that. Which has been well reported shift in monetary policy since 2008, and again after COVID, where QE is just regular business. There's a serious lack of reduction following the crisis and a lack of long term preparation for future shocks. While markets get inflated and other foreign competitors do it too, which creates perverse incentives to maintain it.

I'm strongly in favour of separation of power, but the separation is much weaker in practice. Mostly due to as you said, politics. It still requires a culture of fiscal responsibility at multiple levels which is rare these days.

Maybe a serious debt crisis and high inflation might help remind politicians of why that culture is needed.

dmix··on Gemini 4 Argon
Overvalue, not no value

Crossing the Chasm book talked about this, innovators/early adopters care more about stuff than later portions of the market https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Crossing_the_Chasm

dmix··on The top secret URSALA, RAQUEL, and FARRAH satellites (2025)
From google:

> NASA's total enacted budget for fiscal year 1996 was approximately $13.9 billion

> a 1996 bipartisan commission report noted that the NRO possessed "by far the largest budget of any intelligence agency," and contemporary experts track the broader military space budget at roughly $10 billion to $11 billion annually for the NRO alone

So pretty similar budgets. The NRO imaging lens used in Nancy Grace was manufactured in 1999 but planning started in 1996.

dmix··on Gemini 4 Argon
The technical crowd will always overvalue the recent technical advantage of software over the available customer base and business model math.
dmix··on AI needs $6T in annual revenue to justify data centre boom
The article says $6T by 2031 and it's global spending, not just in the US.

> Bain forecasts that annual spending on AI infrastructure might hit $1.5 trillion by 2031.

So maybe in 5yrs it will need enough revenue to cover $1.5T in capex spend globally in a year, investments which as the article mentions is also being supported by governments in "the UAE, Saudi Arabia, the EU, South Korea and the US". ... Or spending growth could lower over the next couple years to be more realistic.

dmix··on OpenAI halts training of latest models as reports mount of AI agents going rogue
AFAIK all of these incidents happened when OpenAI contracted out to a company called Irregular (https://www.irregular.com/) to run these sandboxed CyberGym tests. They all happened around Mar-June and seem to be from the same collection of agent trials. Since then they already released Astra. Halting now is likely just a way to manage blowback.
dmix··on Meta Blocks President Lula's Facebook Page, Campaign Ads 2 Weeks from Election
Meta restored Lula's FB account hours after it got flagged for content that as posted on their page. That is a pretty weak basis for a conspiracy theory.
dmix··on Meta Blocks President Lula's Facebook Page, Campaign Ads 2 Weeks from Election
According to Google, Meta restored their account within hours after it got flagged for some content.

This happens all the time on these social media websites. Automatic flagging of content, human reviewers restore it.

dmix··on OpenAI bots meddled with multiple US Government agency sites
People have a hard time believing Dario actually believes this stuff. But nothing from his entire track record from the early days until now indicates otherwise. Calling it all marketing or anti-competitive play is just typical social media, where they want to eliminate all nuance and make it reductive as possible to fit a convenient narrative.
dmix··on US jury says Apple owes record $5.7B in haptic technology patent case
I remember working at an office building and the company on the floor above us won a big patent suit against Microsoft. We didn't see them at the office after that. I assumed they just stopped working and lived off the money.
dmix··on Plan mode is dead
I do the same, I don't use Claude Code or Codex planning because it is mostly pointless, even with Fable/Astra. I just have multiple agents work on a markdown file which I manually perfect, often breaking into multiple different files for large features or PRs. I also create design 'handoff' documents which I feed into Claude Design or Astra along with screenshots and wireframes. By the time an agent does something I'm well prepared.

I've tried doing the incremental, iterative approach with just Code and it's just not as effective unless you're working on something simple or experimental. Or you're shipping to something non-serious or perpetually beta.

dmix··on California is chasing wealth that has feet
Security backed loans for what though? Personal spending? Building a factory to great jobs?
dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
Like everything, depends on the usecase. An email desktop app seems to be a valid one. A standard earlystage B2B SaaS Rails web app? Not so much.

Same with server side rust. A high volume transactional backend email service makes sense there. The base layer of a CRM managing a lot of business logic?

Life will go on much the same. We just have more options to say yes to 'native' with LLMs, we can experiment more with ideal scenarios rather than a religious adherence to cross platform or single-framework merely for team DX simplicity.

dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
Where did he say that? I listened to it yesterday and AFAIK he only said "I don't know where the line between native vs web will end up in the future" (now that we can generate native apps easier)

Keep in mind DHH is working on an email app, it makes sense he sees native as the default option for that over pushing everything through the web when the barrier to entry lowered dramatically.

Hotwire is not explicitly a cross-platform concept. It's primarily a way to build web apps in the browser which is not going away any time soon. The only difference is in 2026 you're just more likely to vibecode a native mobile app than build a web/React Native version. Likewise you may build a native Desktop version instead of an Electron wrapper.

dmix··on Rails World 2026 Opening Keynote [video]
> If you watch the talk, he is not anti-rails.

He explicitly said he still loves ruby as a language and thinks Rails is well suited for a future with AI coding.

It's interesting how this stuff gets spun on social media by people who don't watch the content.

dmix··on Meta VR Glasses
Because people are naive enough to think the huge privacy compromise will be worth the cost to society in order to protect kids.

The better question is why in 5yrs we will have to use ID to buy a product on some random ecommerce site or to play a video game or use Uber or post a comment on Reddit. It will be because people pushed for this for kids on social media and opened the door for the rest of the internet companies to demand it and therefore the government.

dmix··on Meta VR Glasses
Youtube video Meta released: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xyD_bmMy5nQ

And another random youtube influencer who tried it https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8J8oIs1GA0o

$1300 price

dmix··on 'We hacked the FBI:' Hackers say they have data on all FBI employees
Which means they live in one of the few obvious countries that tolerates this.
dmix··on Show HN: JevBench, a reproducible benchmark for typed decision models
Well said

Much has been discussed about AI coding but there's been a lack of discussion on the design/UX side as that's also a step being rushed by via prompting + "looks pretty enough".

We're entering an era of hyper dense UIs with plenty of excess and quick workarounds.

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