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earljwagner

134 karma · joined October 5, 2012

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earljwagner··on Costco is the anti-Amazon
There's another reason for Costco's appeal and trust among members: Kirkland Signature. Costco mandates that any KS product must be at least 10% better in quality than the leading national brand it replaces and/or cost less.

That further helps simplify shopping and decision-making and resolves the paradox of choice. Instead of having to sort through a wide variety of unknown brands on Amazon, they just go with KS.

https://www.thestreet.com/retail/costco-reveals-why-kirkland...

earljwagner··on Be intentional about how AI changes your codebase
The concepts of Semantic Functions and Pragmatic Functions seem to be analogous to a Functional Core and Imperative shell (FCIS):

https://testing.googleblog.com/2025/10/simplify-your-code-fu...

The key insight of FCIS is that complicated logic with large dependencies leads to a large test suite that runs slowly. The solution is to isolate the complicated logic in the functional core. Test that separately from the simpler, more sequential tests of the imperative shell.

earljwagner··on How to succeed in MrBeast production (Leaked PDF)
> He is trully obsessive about getting the most views, almost soullessly designing the perfect viral content, caring about every second. He literally starts with the thumbnail and title and only then works out the rest of the video!

That sounds like standard goal-oriented planning. Amazon starts with the product's press release. "The Amazon working backward method is a product development approach that starts with the team imagining the product is ready to ship. The product team’s first step is to draft a press release announcing the product’s availability. The audience for this press release is the product’s customer."

https://www.productplan.com/glossary/working-backward-amazon...

earljwagner··on Ketamine's effect on depression may hinge on hope
Tom Wolfe, in "Sorry, But Your Soul Just Died", Forbes Magazine, 1996 http://www.psy.vanderbilt.edu/courses/psy115w/Fall02/TomWolf...

Which brings us to the second most famous statement in all of modern philosophy: Nietzsche's "God is dead." The year was 1882. (The book was Die Frohliche Wissenschaft [ The Gay Science ].) Nietzsche said this was not a declaration of atheism, although he was in fact an atheist, but simply the news of an event. He called the death of God a "tremendous event," the greatest event of modern history. The news was that educated people no longer believed in God, as a result of the rise of rationalism and scientific thought, including Darwinism, over the preceding 250 years. But before you atheists run up your flags of triumph, he said, think of the implications. "The story I have to tell," wrote Nietzsche, "is the history of the next two centuries." He predicted (in Ecce Homo ) that the twentieth century would be a century of "wars such as have never happened on earth," wars catastrophic beyond all imagining. And why? Because human beings would no longer have a god to turn to, to absolve them of their guilt; but they would still be racked by guilt, since guilt is an impulse instilled in children when they are very young, before the age of reason. As a result, people would loathe not only one another but themselves. The blind and reassuring faith they formerly poured into their belief in God, said Nietzsche, they would now pour into a belief in barbaric nationalistic brotherhoods: "If the doctrines...of the lack of any cardinal distinction between man and animal, doctrines I consider true but deadly"--he says in an allusion to Darwinism in Untimely Meditations --"are hurled into the people for another generation...then nobody should be surprised when...brotherhoods with the aim of the robbery and exploitation of the non-brothers...will appear in the arena of the future...

Nietzsche said that mankind would limp on through the twentieth century "on the mere pittance" of the old decaying God-based moral codes. But then, in the twenty-first, would come a period more dreadful than the great wars, a time of "the total eclipse of all values" (in The Will to Power ). This would also be a frantic period of "revaluation," in which people would try to find new systems of values to replace the osteoporotic skeletons of the old. But you will fail, he warned, because you cannot believe in moral codes without simultaneously believing in a god who points at you with his fearsome forefinger and says "Thou shalt" or "Thou shalt not."

earljwagner··on The worst programmer I know
As half of the pair programming team, why not just give him half of the story points?
earljwagner··on Apple: Ten Years Forward
"I believe, if you zoom out into the future, and you look back, and you ask the question, 'What was Apple's greatest contribution to mankind?' it will be about health," Cook told [Mad Money's Jim] Cramer." Jan 2019

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/01/08/tim-cook-teases-new-apple-se...

earljwagner··on Ask HN: How to build empathy?
Yes, learning NVC can really help in hearing where the other person is coming from. It's also useful for expressing yourself in a way that's least likely to trigger the other person. All of this takes practice, of course.

I've taught it to over 3000 Google employees as a 20% project over the past 7 years. I've also developed a team of volunteer facilitators who help people practice in weekly workshops. We're happy to talk about the program and answer questions on Clubhouse (currently Sunday afternoons at 1pm PT):

https://www.joinclubhouse.com/club/Compassion-in-Tech

earljwagner··on DMT drug study investigates the ‘entities’ people meet while tripping
From an IFS perspective, it sounds like DMT introduces parts that guide our attention toward the Self. That's different from regular IFS parts - protectors and exiles - that guide our attention away from the Self.
earljwagner··on Estimates that mineral levels in vegetables have dropped by up to 90% since 1914
Obesity is increasing for animals - pets and even wildlife: https://psmag.com/social-justice/just-people-getting-fatter-...
earljwagner··on How Robert Nozick put a purple prose bomb under analytical philosophy
It sounds like Foucault's concept of a "discursive formation", basically a Kuhn-style paradigm. Foucault was interested in the social conditions and context that enable certain statements to be uttered, and interpreted as meaningful.

More broadly, Nozick's focus shifted away from logical proof as a form of argument, the hallmark of Anglo-American Analytic philosophy. It seems to shift to a more Continental (European) style, in which philosophers point to patterns, aiming to evoke insights (e.g. Foucault and more recently Žižek).

earljwagner··on The solution to the housing crisis is extremely simple
I can't tell whether this is satire, like "A Modest Proposal".
earljwagner··on Auftragstaktik: An elusive command philosophy and a different command culture
"Never tell people how to do things. Tell them what to do and they will surprise you with their ingenuity." - US General George S. Patton

It sounds like the expansive freedom in Holocracy to work on the Accountabilities for your Role. You have that freedom up to the point that they interfere with someone else's Role.

earljwagner··on A Leader’s Framework for Decision Making (2007)
Fascinating analysis. While it references Rudy Giuliani's leadership immediately after 9/11 and beyond, Trump is an even more interesting case. It looks like he approaches problems in the Simple and Chaotic modes, with specific blindspots in Complicated (in being unwilling to defer to experts in many domains) and Complex (by impulsively acting and not letting situations evolve before intervening).
earljwagner··on Announcing ggraph: A grammar of graphics for relational data
From the perspective of a Dot/Graphviz user, this appears to allow you to define a graph, then program how it's laid out. Do I have that correct?
earljwagner··on Considerations on Cost Disease
We see similar phenomena in software: "software bloat", "feature creep", the "second system effect" (see Wikipedia for details). Linux provides the same basic functionality as Unix in 1980 but has orders of magnitude more lines of code. Why? It's more complicated because the world is more complicated, and we have higher (and more detailed) expectations for that functionality.

Basically, once you have a lean MVP that works, all social and economic pressures are to add new features with decreasing marginal gains, support standards of interest to fewer and fewer users, handle increasingly obscure edge cases, etc.

earljwagner··on Principles
Check out "An Everyone Culture: Becoming a Deliberately Developmental Organization" It's a fascinating profile of the pioneering organizational cultures at three companies, Bridgewater, Next Jump (a tech startup in NYC), and Decurion (a movie theater chain). Each has processes specifically intended to support the development of their employees, and the book distills the commonalities in those practices.

https://hbr.org/product/an-everyone-culture-becoming-a-delib...

earljwagner··on Open Salaries: Outcomes
You might also be interested in books that profile other companies experimenting with this kind of transparency:

"Reinventing Organizations" by Frederic Laloux

"An Everyone Culture: Becoming a Deliberately Developmental Organization" by Kegan and Lahey

The latter profiles Bridgewater, a hedge fund in which every meeting is recorded and available to anyone in the company via the intranet.

earljwagner··on A.I. Doesn't Get Black Twitter
Yes, there's growing awareness of this problem.

This blog post summarizes the paper "Machine Learning: The High-Interest Credit Card of Technical Debt": https://blog.acolyer.org/2016/02/29/machine-learning-the-hig...

earljwagner··on What If Evolution Bred Reality Out of Us?
So, in other words,

"Man is the measure of all things" – Protagoras

"We see things not as they are. We see things as we are." attributed to Anaïs Nin

earljwagner··on Carp – a statically typed Lisp, without a GC, for high performance applications
As another data point, ITA software took steps to avoided gc-ing: "Because we have about 2 gigs of static data we need rapid access to, we use C++ code to memory-map huge files containing pointerless C structs (of flights, fares, etc), and then access these from Common Lisp using foreign data accesses" http://www.paulgraham.com/carl.html
earljwagner··on The Suicide of Venezuela
Sounds like the San Francisco Bay Area.
earljwagner··on The World Is Getting Fatter and No One Knows How to Stop It
It's not just people getting fatter, it's pets and even lab mice: http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2013/08/the...
earljwagner··on Not-so-secret atomic tests: Why the photographic film industry knew (2013)
Has anyone estimated how many early deaths were caused by the radiation exposure?
earljwagner··on The Fire Last Time: The Bronze Age Apocalypse
While the modern state is indeed stable, environmental change has an impact even if not through apocalyptic natural disaster.

A long term drought contributed to the civil war in Syria[1]. It may be the first of many around the world.

Both Ebola and Zika are exacerbated by global climate change[2][3].

According to the link, Egypt survived as a state for a century longer before it too fell. That was after transforming from a civil society to martial law. With the threat to pregnancy posed by Zika, I'm reminded of the propaganda in "Children of Men": "The World Has Collapsed: Only Britain Soldiers On"

1. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/03/science/earth/study-links-...

2. http://blogs.ei.columbia.edu/2014/09/04/how-climate-change-i...

3. http://www.vox.com/2016/1/20/10795562/zika-virus-cdc-mosquit...

earljwagner··on Louis Dalton Porter Used Artistic Skills to Trick German Army (2006)
Also worth noting, dazzle camouflage: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dazzle_camouflage

"Unlike some other forms of camouflage, dazzle works, if at all, not by offering concealment but by making it difficult to estimate a target's range, speed, and heading. Norman Wilkinson explained in 1919 that dazzle was intended more to mislead the enemy as to the correct position to take up than actually to miss his shot when firing."

earljwagner··on The Normalization of Deviance
This also shows up on the part of airplane passengers. How many people listen to the safety instructions, well, as is their lives depended on it?
earljwagner··on The Normalization of Deviance
An additional factor is the low probability of negative consequences.
earljwagner··on A Way to Detect Bias
I wouldn't agree with the conclusion of being truly inferior - there could be ongoing issues with the work context.

I'll put it another way: Graham says we can look at just the performance by group to detect bias in selection. But there could be bias in selection, and A) different treatment after selection, which would not be revealed through Graham's test. Or could also be bias in selection and B) continuous reminders of stereotypes triggering stereotype threat, and this would also not be revealed.

Now you could point to a tech company with few underrepresented minorities, let's say 1%. If there's no overt bias in the work environment then people should succeed and if they don't they're just worse performers. On the other hand, if you're in the 1%, just noticing the underrepresentation among your coworkers might be a constant reminder of stereotypes.

I don't claim to have a simple solution for this.

earljwagner··on A Way to Detect Bias
The phenomena of "stereotype threat" complicates this conclusion however: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stereotype_threat

When a member of a group is primed with a stereotype that their group underperforms at a task, they are more likely to underperform. So there could be a selection process biased against a group, and a selected member could be an above-average performer otherwise but, because of work environment, be underperforming.

Some universities work to remedy this through support groups or other practices aimed at under-represented minorities, and they appear to help students be more successful academically. On the other hand, there's the Hawthorne effect... https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hawthorne_effect

earljwagner··on The Next Wave – A Conversation With John Markoff
I disagree that we're underestimating the time to automate human tasks with robots. Speaking of the failures of humanoid robots at the recent DARPA robotics challenge, he notes "We're at that stage, where our expectations have outrun the reality of the technology."

Sure the robots were awkward and performed poorly. The situation was much the same at DARPA's autonomous vehicle grand challenge in 2004 that he mentions. Then, none of the robots finished the 150 mile course. CMU's vehicle traveled the farthest, 7 miles. Now Google and others are pretty far along with self-driving cars.

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