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epsteingpt

783 karma · joined November 18, 2025

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epsteingpt··on Binance-hacker-1029 – $5.6B stolen from Binance
FDIC insured, no doubt.
epsteingpt··on Anthropic S-1
underrated comment
epsteingpt··on Anthropic S-1
principles* (GAAP)
epsteingpt··on Anthropic S-1
According to "Generally Accepted Accounting Principle" my friend.

They are costs.

Derivative liabilities, SAFEs - those are basically taking cash from RETAIL shareholders and giving them to employees and early investors INSTEAD of using it to fund the business.

Let's have that discussion if you want, but don't act like a thing that is CLEARLY a COST to the business isn't a cost.

epsteingpt··on Anthropic S-1
$81B net loss in first 6 months of 2026 alone. Linked discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50243002
epsteingpt··on Anthropic Officially Files S1 – Shows $81B Net Loss
$81B loss is for 6 months ended June 30, 2026 as per the official S1.

Original S1 and discussion here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50242939

epsteingpt··on Cognitive Mercantilism: AI panic resembles fears of early capitalism
The point is not that the poor aren't better off. They undoubtedly are.

It's the it's the nature of mercantilist systems to leave only scraps for the people at the bottom. The absolute bare minimum to stave off revolution in good times.

This is merely the nature of the beast.

We're way better off in capitalism than other systems (as you can see); but to assume that we just had better ideas like the article suggests to get there is laughable.

Capitalism was enabled by a superstructure of world power that, we must remember, very nearly didn't make it.

Leaving Omelas &c.

epsteingpt··on Cognitive Mercantilism: AI panic resembles fears of early capitalism
Hate taking down these articles, but this is a very, very bad take. Rationalists always fall down on human behavior.

There is a comforting fairy tale popular among tech optimists: that human history is driven by mental upgrades that trickle down to the masses.

The first part of that sentence is absolutely true. The second part has a much darker side that optimists conveniently ignore.

1. Mercantilism is alive and well. Please see Hormuz, Straight of. 2. Mercantilist rent-seeking is alive and well, just at a layer up of abstraction. See Google, Meta, Microsoft. No single player can compete with them. Ones that somehow manage to even threaten get bought. 3. Tech doesn't solve issues broadly: a modern worker with a battery-powered chainsaw has more productive power than an 18th-century frontier settler. Yet we still have homelessness. Riddle me this, techno-optimist.

But you'll say, we're overall better off. Of course we are. But the gains have BY AND LARGE gone to the wealthiest individuals and countries. The idea that the dude can eat a variety of incredibly rare food sits on the backs of billions of impoverished people who don't spend time in our air conditioned offices on MacBooks.

Great men and discoveries move the world (see Musk, Elon) but their exploits spread wealth HIGHLY unevenly, and big nation states want to steal it in the most mercantile way possible - by forcing and scaling up supply (look at China for cars, steel, and basically any advanced manufacturing right now).

One man intelligence will be a boon for people with agency. But it's HIGHLY unlikely to undo the superstructure which captured the rules of mercantilism AND capitalism at the same time.

epsteingpt··on IBM CEO says open weight models are now good and cheap on-prem
But you know - it would be funny if somehow Open Weights are the thing that completely save IBM
epsteingpt··on OpenAI and Anthropic cut their LLM prices by up to 80% within a few months. Why?
Yes - exactly.

Because all these newly trained models using the compute are doing really well and growing!

epsteingpt··on OpenAI and Anthropic cut their LLM prices by up to 80% within a few months. Why?
Because there's limited demand, and GPU capacity is like airline seats use it or lose it.

This will only get worse.

epsteingpt··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
You're absolutely right! It's not personal. Frontier Lab employees are incredible people - at least the dozens I know are! Undersigned - A Member of the Permanent Underclass.
epsteingpt··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
came back to write this response ;-)
epsteingpt··on Now Google says it might use your Gmail and Google Photos data to target ads
Went in the training data, now they can't undo it.
epsteingpt··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
thanks pessimizer.

2 things: 1. Yes they are. Yet here we are not using WorldCoin despite its obvious utility. But backdooring every major software library in the world is pretty useful for governments. Too big to fail. But not an economic weapon, more like a cyber one.

2. Employees and consultants don't have what it takes to start a business, that's why they become employees.

Just take a second. I promise it makes sense. Many see the simple point I'm communicating.

epsteingpt··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
Came for this comment
epsteingpt··on Ask HN: If the models are so good, why doesn't OpenAI just start 100 companies?
The sort of obvious answer is the same reason McKinsey hasn't taken over the Fortune 500 despite consulting and having deep knowledge of the operations of most of those companies.

AI is brains. Companies need arms and legs and relationships.

The reality is that employees are also mostly not entrepreneurs, same as consultants.

There are trillions of company ideas in those tokens, just like there are trillions of shots in the fans head watching the basketball players.

Takes years, patience, capital and the right mindset to get to the point to even take the shot.

epsteingpt··on SaaS Is Dead
Good format and hook.
epsteingpt··on World Classics: Modern Translations of the Iliad and Odyssey (EN, FR, DE, ES)
Read 2 of Homer's classics for free in modern English, French, German, and Spanish as an example of frontier model capabilities. The goal is to expand access and improve upon the 'public domain' translations available which are often antiquated.
epsteingpt··on DeepInfer: High-performance inference framework for DeepSeek models
Combined with this: https://www.apollo.com/wealth/insights-news/insights/daily-s...

Supply skyrockets - demand slows. Price... you know what happens.

Someone share an alternative story here - revenue is committed. How do these companies that have bought this compute justify their costs in 2027 and 2028?

epsteingpt··on Anthropic logged net loss of over $80B in first half of 2026
Fable 5.5 better be incredible.
epsteingpt··on The obscure trust looming over Anthropic's IPO
The trust can appoint the board, which can appoint the CEO.

On paper this seems reasonable insulation from going rogue.

However normal shareholders, who they are selling stakes in the company to, can do very little.

epsteingpt··on Token-maxxing is dead, OpenRouter's token usage plateaus
Absolutely sure this is bullish.
epsteingpt··on Show HN: Spotatui, a Spotify TUI/GUI without web API rate limits
Upvoting for the name only. Great name.
epsteingpt··on REA Reverse – Engineer Anything
Morluto is a legend.

Started in the repoprompt (https://repoprompt.com/) community.

Good stuff.

epsteingpt··on Meta and Microsoft take steps to reduce employee usage of Claude AI
June was peak spend.
epsteingpt··on Opus 5.5 agents discover two room-temperature magnetic semiconductor candidates
JACS will be a good journal - e.g.
epsteingpt··on Opus 5.5 agents discover two room-temperature magnetic semiconductor candidates
To be fair, this existed in a 1999 paper. They just simulated that it worked as predicted.

Many more things will be like this. The massive amounts of 'genius' buried under corporate management and obscurity in the past 500 years will be a treasure trove.

epsteingpt··on Will America Spend 9% of Its GDP on AI? The Industry Is Counting on It
Bad model. But good to make the assumptions clear. Robots are the only thing that matters here.
epsteingpt··on America.gov
I'm sure you'll change your mind about me after a visit to my island!
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