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eric_b

3,320 karma · joined October 18, 2016

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eric_b··on President Daniels responds to Chinese student's harassment
There is increasing evidence over the last 2 years that low-consequence "intervention" doesn't really deter future bad behavior. Perhaps there are some specific actions that would have a greater success rate, but a slap on the wrist and a "don't do that again" isn't going to cut it.
eric_b··on Covid-19: Runny nose, headache, and fatigue are commonest symptoms of omicron
> Hospital capacity will take years to increase

No, not really. With trillions of dollars and 2 years there was absolutely plenty of time and resources to train more people and find new COVID-specific spaces. Nurses and PAs can be done in as little as two years with the current system, and people can be trained to handle just COVID patients much faster.

The problems are easily tractable, it's just poor leadership.

eric_b··on Covid-19: Runny nose, headache, and fatigue are commonest symptoms of omicron
Our politicians and medical system executives have completely failed to do the one thing that would have actually made a difference: increase hospital capacity to care for COVID patients.

All these mandates and lockdowns are just performance art to distract from their abject failures.

eric_b··on Covid-19: Runny nose, headache, and fatigue are commonest symptoms of omicron
At this point I assume it's clear to everyone that all humans will be exposed to COVID. Get your vaccine or don't, but one way or another your immune system will have to sort it out.

The biggest story of COVID that no one is talking about is the absolute failure at all levels (political, medical establishment, etc) to increase hospital capacity.

We are in year 2 of a global pandemic and, at least where I am, there has been a reduction in ICU staff, beds and hospital capacity more generally. Vaccine mandates taking qualified healthcare workers out of the workforce is one of the biggest own-goals I've seen.

Why haven't we increased hospital capacity to deal with a highly transmissible disease we knew was never going away? Lockdowns, mandates, personal freedom restrictions are all just cover for not handling the basic blocking and tackling of fortifying our medical systems. All that money and none of it increased the ability to care for COVID patients. What a shame.

eric_b··on Jimmy Wales’ Final Email
I mean... you can put anything you want on the internet. I looked up their "methodology" and it's sort of just whatever they think a source/article is. Not really rigorous.

And anyways, they put the WashPo right of NYT? That hasn't been true since ol Jeff B took over.

eric_b··on Jimmy Wales’ Final Email
Agreed, I used to love some of their programming, but the NPR of today is completely unlistenable to me.
eric_b··on Writer Liu Cixin on How His Visions of the Future Collide with Reality
I could not agree more. I don't mind hand wavy "technological breakthroughs" as long as the main point of the story is "when confronted with new crazy thing X, here's how humanity deals with it" and there's some clever thought put in. Maybe some interesting insights from the author. But the Three Body Problem.... ugh. So bad.

- As you say, the plot is terrible. Kerouac had a more coherent narrative. What story there was strained believability even for pulp sci fi.

- The characters are utterly devoid of humanity. I don't even know who's who half the time, and there is no continuity throughout the series.

- There are no clever "ah ha" moments where the author has thought of something "profound" in relation to the scenario they've crafted. It's tropes and painful lurches from one thing to another.

I don't get it. I finished it and I couldn't believe all the people telling me how great it was.

eric_b··on Google Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro
Did you go to the page I linked to? That is only one section of many photos.
eric_b··on Google Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro
If you read my comment, the answer is "no". That appears to be a white woman, and I was specifically talking about white "guys" which I used to mean "males"
eric_b··on Google Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro
Your examples are hilarious and you can imagine how I missed those. Pretend all the photos were reversed, and those were the only two people of color on the whole page. Google would be (rightfully) chastised.
eric_b··on Google Pixel 6 and Pixel 6 Pro
That was my point. It's ridiculous whichever extreme they choose. In 2021 when everything is about race and equity, I find it telling who its OK to exclude. Why couldn't they just have it be equal across the board?
eric_b··on MacBook Pro 14-inch and MacBook Pro 16-inch
HDMI and magsafe are back!
eric_b··on Colin Powell has died
Some truly wild comments in this thread. The moral self-righteousness of the commenters here is really something to behold. I'm particularly saddened by so many of the obviously partisan comments.

From my recollection it was Barack Obama who continued the conflict in Afghanistan and was responsible for scores of extra-judicial assassinations throughout the world.

And while many people died in the Afghanistan conflict and it was a terrible tragedy, the silver lining was that many women gained new liberties. Education wasn't just for men, for awhile. Of course Joe Biden put a stop to that, didn't he?

Colin Powell did plenty of bad things, but the same folks crucifying him probably have a copy of "Dreams from my Father" in their library and have absolved the equally complicit left-leaning politicians of any crimes.

Every single national politician is a self-interested, amoral, shit-bag. Lionizing one side while pillorying the other is not helpful. All politicians should have less power, less influence and less money, across the board. Only then will things get better.

eric_b··on Speed Matters
To me, this is not a lesson about speed, but rather a lesson about "compound interest". He was able to compound all his learnings from the first go round in to the second. That doesn't always mean it will go faster, but it does usually mean you don't make the same mistakes as the first time (which can result in speed).

I find this notion of compounding to be much more useful in life than just in terms of finance and interest. Starting early, or doing something more, yields a compound benefit down the road. You get better at a thing faster, which compounds and lets you get better still. It's how expertise is realized and why there will never be equal outcomes between different people with different levels of motivation and persistence.

eric_b··on Redditors are right about the unfairness of the market
Well well, another anti-capitalist op-ed from Bloomberg. The least surprising thing I've read today.

"Recent events suggest their [Redditors] suspicion that the decks are stacked against them is justified – which is a terrible look for capitalism."

Insiders profiting from private knowledge is hardly unique to capitalism. I think the author should check out China over the last 20 years to see truly stunning examples of insider profiteering. Feels more like the author wants to fill out their 2021 finance article bingo card than make a real connection here.

"[Insiders] also increased their buying and selling in the gaps between audit reports being produced for company boards and being made publicly available, and exploited rules governing scheduled trading schedules for profit."

I mean - insiders are required to schedule their trading activities ahead of time. There are whole groups of people who's trading strategies revolve around reading those disclosures and make the same trades.

And of course a little bit of the 2021 media's favorite tactic: "guilty until proven innocent"

"And while they said the trades were within the central bank’s rules, both are being scrutinized further. “We’re looking carefully at the trading that was done to make sure that it’s in compliance with our rules and with the law,” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told the Senate Banking Committee."

So wait, no concrete evidence their trades were against the rules, but Bloomberg will publish this hit piece anyways.

"And the growing prevalence of the fastest-growing companies staying off public markets and funding their expansion instead with private capital keeps them out of the portfolios of retail buyers, further stoking suspicion that the covenant between capitalism and society is asymmetrical and biased against individual investors."

What....? Loads of IPOs this year. And for those that are still private, or eschewing the public markets for whatever reason: no private company has an obligation to give Joe Retail Investor the ability to buy and sell shares of the entity.

Bloomberg has really become a joke.

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
If you read my comment thoroughly, I was talking about cloth masks. That link you posted is really only interesting as far as surgical masks.

The surgical mask effect is certainly interesting, but they couldn't de-correlate the effect from increased social distancing in the intervention arm. Certainly that seems just as likely to make a difference if not more so eh?

So I'm left where I started: Nothing of consequence about cloth masks, and a mild un-corroborated effect from surgical masks in a country that's about as different from the US as I could imagine.

I wouldn't base public policy on that study, that's for sure. I have no problem if people want to wear masks, go for it. But mandates? I have a higher bar than you to infringe on personal freedoms I guess.

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
So some mild effect for surgical masks they think (though the intervention group did more social distancing than the control group as well, hard to suss out the impact of that).

But then they say this:

"while cloth masks clearly reduce symptoms, we cannot reject that they have zero or only a small impact on symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections"

Not exactly a slam dunk.

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
How can you write so many words defending the CDC? Their "guidance" is based on cherry picked science at best, and gut feelings and political narratives at worst. There are plenty of studies that suggest lockdowns, closed schools and other "mitigation" efforts are ineffective or net harmful, but eh, just ignore those right?

Look at the most recent issue of vaccine boosters. The FDA panel of experts (whom we're supposed to trust now, right?) said boosters are not necessary. CDC comes in and says the FDA is wrong, boosters are good jk lol. What a joke.

Can you point me to a well done study on cloth masks and their efficacy? 19 months in and I have yet to see one. But people "feel" that masks must work, so CDC guidance says wear them. Surely at this point we should have so much compelling data about masks if they are effective...

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
This is such a horseshit argument. If you're at risk, by all means get the vaccine. You're protected. Job done.

"But what about the children?!?!" is the next common refrain. What about them? Look at the numbers. COVID is not a relevant concern for pediatric public health policy.

https://data.cdc.gov/widgets/9bhg-hcku?mobile_redirect=true

COVID deaths account for less than 1% of deaths in children under 15. I think the other 99% of things killing our kids is a bigger concern, don't you?

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
I myself am vaccinated, but I hold no ill will towards those who do not get it; whatever their reason. And yet, the media is conditioning all of us to hate those people. To shame them. To ignore their reason and free-will.

The same people who are rabidly pro-vaccine are generally rabidly pro-choice when it comes to abortion. How does that reconcile? How come the government can sometimes tell you what to do with your body but not others?

And the same people who are in favor of the vaccine mandates are almost universally supporters of BLM and social justice. And yet... the majority of the vaccine hesitant are non-white. That doesn't square either.

The whole thing is absolutely fucking outrageous. I hate what the media has done to the United States. And I hate all the moral self-righteousness I see on display here and everywhere else.

eric_b··on YouTube is banning anti-vaccine activists and blocking all anti-vaccine content
Eh, everyone has been moving goalposts. First it was "flatten the curve" to prevent hospital overrun. Then at some point it became "no one can ever get covid again" and we did wild things like close schools even if a person so much as got near a person with COVID.

I don't think one side has a monopoly on losing trust, behaving badly, or making anti-science decisions.

eric_b··on Lockdown, distance learning likely to increase social class achievement gap
This is my US-based perspective:

Closing schools last year due to COVID was as bad of a policy as putting COVID patients in nursing homes (looking at you MN and NY). We knew by September of last year that kids were less impacted by COVID (they spread it less, they get less ill etc). We learned from Europe that it wasn't killing teachers at an increased rate either (a fear-based argument I heard ad nauseum in my very blue state).

There was no good science-based argument to close schools last year in the US, especially when restaurants and hair salons were reopened. But political polarization - exacerbated by the media - ensured we did the worst possible thing for our children. I am continually disgusted with every person I encounter who promoted (and in many cases still promote) remote learning.

Rich parents could afford professional tutors and create pods and go to other great lengths to ensure their kids got some education. Meanwhile the poor parents were going to work in-person and leaving their kids to fend for themselves (many of whom, at least where I live, turned to committing crimes)

The most disgusting part is the people most in favor of closing schools were rich, left-leaning white collar workers. Nevermind that the very people they purportedly want to help with their policies were the most harmed. As long as you say the right words, who cares about outcomes yeah?

eric_b··on Mister Rogers had a simple set of rules for talking to children (2018)
Depending on the age and temperament of the child there was probably no winning move.

Some kids are terrified of loud noises. Leaf blowers, lawn mowers, whatever, will immediately set off tears and wailing. Even if they're four houses away. Other kids shrug it off like it's nothing.

Same with haircuts. My first kid handled the haircuts just fine at 2 years old. No big deal, hey I get to watch videos. Second kid was inconsolable the first four times we went - just had to get used to it.

eric_b··on Mister Rogers had a simple set of rules for talking to children (2018)
> Not being a parent but I can already see that they were setting themselves for a fail.

Yeah... have some kids and then we'll see how confident you are. Young kids especially are irrational balls of emotion. Sometimes there is no winning move, but the hair needs to be cut.

eric_b··on Practical Front-End Architecture
In my experience PJAX/turbolinks + server rendering will get you 80-100% of the way depending on use case. The remaining pieces can be filled in with careful and disciplined use of something like React/Preact or Stimulus.
eric_b··on Restaurant workers quit at record rate
I agree with you, 100%.
eric_b··on Cornel West Releases Resignation Letter from Harvard
Yikes, the writing in that letter was not up to par for a professor who was seeking tenure at a prestigious university. The tone, word choice, layout, everything felt amateur and overly emotional. I haven't read many resignation letters but I'd have expected more polish and professionalism.
eric_b··on I know the secret to the quiet mind but wish I’d never learned it
Yeah, I couldn't get very far in to it. Something about the author's tone and writing style was awkward and offputting.
eric_b··on Stack Overflow sold to Prosus for $1.8B
Well, since you're being deliberately obtuse - I'll expound.

My point is that these companies are moving focus away from the products that got them to where they are, to a set of vague handwavy concepts that are completely unquantifiable. And, in my experience anyways, this usually comes at a cost to the existing products.

eric_b··on Stack Overflow sold to Prosus for $1.8B
I will admit the Prosus people seem more forward-looking (based on some wiki reading) than your usual run-of-the-mill PE acquirer. So perhaps they can steer the ship competently.
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