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everythingswan

300 karma · joined March 18, 2014

brianswanick.com - I used to fix broken marketing programs for growing companies. Now do biz ops.
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everythingswan··on Alphabet in bid to buy Fitbit
Probably received free replacements. I had 3 break down on me and only once did I have to pay shipping, coincidentally that was the last time I asked for a replacement. perhaps I am bitter.

Their support was great but when it doesn't perform the basic function of syncing with my phone or desktop app, what good is it? I had software and hardware problems (band breaks easily) on all of them.

everythingswan··on Launch HN: Carve (YC S19) – Rent Cars from Local Dealerships
I have only rented a car a few times recently, for skiing and hiking far from home, but I like the idea of a smoother experience and I love anything that creates less waste :)

https://www.drivecarve.com/search?startDate=2019-11-8_3-00pm...

^^ I know it's 2019 and this is expected but I really appreciate this URL structure for search results. I have spent a lot of time working on booking sites and it used to frustrate me to no end that some projects used a very un-friendly URL structure. This will help your marketing team so, so much over time.

I'll offer some critique of the booking process that you probably already know of: travel is highly dependent on trust signals and push mechanisms like Best Purchase Guarantees, People Looking at This Hotel, countdowns, etc. Some I find gross while others necessary. I think you could look at the booking experience and find plenty of room to grow there. Right now, the car experience feels barren and fake to me. I bet there are some things you will find very helpful, like MPG, etc. so it's just about testing those assumptions.

Best of luck!

everythingswan··on Which Way Do You Run?
I appreciate it because I've read his other book. If I had not, or maybe if I didn't enjoy it as much as I did, I wouldn't get much from this either. It's purely a promotional component for his upcoming book so it's more of a teaser than anything.
everythingswan··on YouTube Regrets
There's shared responsibility with any product/consumer relationship so I think the point is that YouTube is not owning up to theirs. IMO, pretty fair argument to make when you think about people who are not in tech.

We hold cigarette companies responsible for letting us know their products may cause harm. We hold food and beverage companies responsible for what they put on their labels. We label coffee cups with a "Hot!" warning.

I hear you on personal responsibility, however, I think that comes from a place where you have or had time and space to educate yourself on this (apologies: using "you" very generally here and don't mean to imply you specifically). Most readers here have deep experience with YouTube and the consumer web--I've been on the web since Compuserve in the mid 90s and a hundred people who read this thread can one-up me. Think about how many people are coming onto the web for the first time. YouTube is a source of truth to them. They're told that Facebook has a "News" feed--and that's what they think is in their feed: literal and true news.

I'm trying to consider it from that perspective. My first reaction is to say: if you don't like it, just ignore it. If you don't want to get addicted to something, don't try it. It's up to you, as an individual, to own your life. I still feel that to be true, however...

I'm still considering how I feel but I think it's more complex than that my gut reaction indicates. We're not making decisions just for the informed 10% and I do think there is ground to be given up by the platforms.

everythingswan··on The Quest to Be Good at Everything
I don't think there's anything wrong with that. Everyone pursues different strategies to achieve different things. I'd praise you for choosing a deliberate strategy if I was your friend. I feel like more people should be deliberate with their time and energy, including myself.
everythingswan··on The Quest to Be Good at Everything
Really helpful addition to the link, thanks for sharing! Even though I was aware of radar charts, I hadn't linked them for personal use yet and I've been thinking about how I can look a few different measures in my personal life. I was coming up empty. Sounds like it would complement interviewee's system perfectly.
everythingswan··on Neither, and New: Lessons from Uber and Vision Fund
I think the value of a brand is under-estimated by HN in general. Brands make people do irrational things and brands do form moats. So while the hardware might be owned by someone else, is it hard to imagine that Uber might be the first association that 1bn people make with "needing a ride"? My answer is no, it's not hard to get there given what I know.

No doubt that car manufacturers will partner with a non-Uber software company. And Uber will partner with someone for hardware. I feel like we could look at how industries consolidate and have an educated guess about how it will play out: some car manufacturers combine to gain more leverage, some create their own proprietary software, some try opening up their cars to multiple software options, one manufacturer exclusively partners with Uber, etc. Phones and computers come to mind as probably sharing _some_ parallels.

So I think the question in our simple discussion is whether the value of the brand and internal knowledge of the software side (data, et al) outweighs the value of having the hardware figured out. And maybe given that this is complicated, it's less about who is in a stronger position and more about who executes better while pursuing that strategy.

everythingswan··on WeWork parent pulls IPO following pushback: sources
Yea, classic case of low vs. high margin businesses. Travel is a great example. You would think sites like Expedia would make a healthy margin on airline tickets. Due to the way it's set up (booking systems, airlines, competition) the actual net per ticket is something like $5 for domestic flights. Last I checked Expedia specifically, most of their revenue was on hotels.

Contrast that with a high margin business like consulting services or a proprietary technology/product and there's a huge difference in net profit between the two at $10m annual revenue.

everythingswan··on E-books at local libraries: a fight between publishers and librarians
Fiction is quite illustrative as well. I don't know how to, or if we need to, draw the line between entertainment and education but I think that it's unfair to say that you cannot be entertained and educated at the same time.

I don't know if that was your point specifically but there are undertones whenever library funding gets brought up. It's also comparable to welfare fraud. There are people who campaign against welfare because of abusers but the amount the fraud amounts to is relatively low.[1]

I'm not learned enough to tell you what percentage of fraud is acceptable but I worry about us treating this the same way. I understand the campaign about how your taxes are spent but I also think we agree that this is a valuable community service, especially for people who do not have access to tools and networks like I do.

A very fair point though fouric!

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Welfare_fraud#United_States

everythingswan··on Amazon Changed Search Algorithm in Ways That Boost Its Own Products
You have a point but I think the fact that grocery stores sell private label goods is the counter-point. Grocery stores re-package goods like rice, beans, paper towels, etc. to compete with their vendors all the time. We call them supermarkets, right? A grocery store is simply a more organized open market. Which is very comparable to Amazon.

I think the problem is that they present the results on good faith that "these results are the best match for you based on your search", not the most profitable for them.

I just ran a search and the default search filter was "Featured", which is so ambiguous it could mean anything, so it seems like a classic bait and switch that played out over the course of a decade of consumers getting the best search results based on reviews and sales.

everythingswan··on Don't build growth teams
I believe there will be plenty more stories like this coming out and landing well. Some of the testing I've managed hasn't helped end-to-end conversion rate _at all_ and did nothing short-term results even when it looked great at first glance. I feel pretty jaded about "performance marketing" and "growth marketing" at this point. There are legitimate growth marketers out there but it's become a cop out for The Hard Things in marketing.

Essentially, it's become really easy to get leads for cheap and incredibly expensive to get them to convert. The question becomes, which master do you serve?

I think marketing leaders need to delicately balance the KPIs with the vision of the company or product. In High Output Management, Andy Grove talked about negative indicators for KPIs as well (forgive me, don't have book within reach). I don't think any time gets spent on that in my network. Granted, it is hard to do with small teams and you might say it's the wrong thing to focus on for small teams. Eventually, you reach the point where the numbers look too good to be true and they usually are--meaning you won't convert these people because they're not ready to buy what you're selling. They're just ready to get the free info you're offering them in two clicks of their time.

I appreciate the candidness about failure even if it wasn't detailed. Can't wait for more similar stories.

everythingswan··on Facebook Dating
I haven't read all the comments in this thread but I do agree with the idea that this _could_ erode trust even more, ultimately being one of the 1,000 cuts that causes their death. I don't see a big problem with it in general or in the short-term and it's something that's been thrown around for years: why doesn't FB do dating?

In reality, you nailed my experience with dating apps (self + friends on them). Every single person I know uses multiple since the source of a date does not matter to them. They just want what they're looking for. The cost to use an app is so low and context switching is easy enough. And everyone hates on some or all of them...and continues to use all of them.

Many of the non-tech people I meet in real life don't even know the difference between an app and the mobile web. They know interfaces well enough to get the things they need done, done.

FB already has the social layer and lots of other data, so I don't foresee this as a terrible idea. Seems more like a small bet.

everythingswan··on Universal Basic Income Is a Bad Idea
I see a straw man here. It seems like you can argue against the theory or argue against the actual implementation. The latter was chosen...but with made-up parameters that make it easy to defeat. Examples

"...a UBI of just $1,000 per month would cost around $4 trillion per year, which is close to the entire federal budget in 2018. Without major cost savings, US federal tax revenue would have to be doubled, which would impose massive distortionary costs on the economy..."

So we need major cost savings or taxes to go up.

"Sacrificing all other social programs for the sake of a UBI is a terrible idea. Such programs exist to address specific problems, such as the vulnerability of the elderly, children, and disabled people. Imagine living in a society where children still go hungry, and where those with severe health conditions are deprived of adequate care, because all the tax revenue has gone to sending monthly checks to every citizen, millionaires and billionaires included."

This came our of nowhere as social programs were not mentioned before this line. It's basically fearmongering at this point.

Maybe someone can help me understand what the argument here is. Perhaps I'm being harsh on the author but I just don't see how you can make this argument with genuine intentions.

everythingswan··on Vegan takeaway orders quadruple over past two years
What are the constraints based on where you live? I knew someone who grew up heavily on beef since she was from a small, rural country. Is it a similar reason?

I'm interested in food insecurity and related things, which is why I ask.

everythingswan··on Show HN: I made a CRM system to make sales fun
I'd echo the parent comment. I hope you can get some paying users to sign up. The first place I would spend money is on a top-notch copywriter. I really like some of the copy but it feels disjointed as a whole.

When you say that it's for small businesses and it's really efficient and light, I think people will identify with that. As long as features keep getting added to platforms, we will always need a super lightweight version. Again, I hope you get some paying users right away!

I think I'm just missing something and I see these as clashing messages that don't get fully explained: this platform will make you smile and you'll have fun using it, this platform is faster than other platforms, and it's built for small businesses. I'd ask you "How?" for all three of those.

Just some thoughts from a marketer who thinks about positioning and looks at lots of landing pages. I hope you ignore all advice, trust your gut, and have tons of success :)

everythingswan··on Three Years of Misery Inside Google, the Happiest Company in Tech
Fong-Jones, Whittaker, and Stapleton did resign as per this story.
everythingswan··on Uber Posts $5.2B Loss and Slowest Ever Growth Rate
I think the challenge is that the tech is moving so fast that there is no line where the judicial system has said: "Hey Uber, that's over the line."

Credit Card and loan rates are two examples where some people would be so desperate that they would sign _anything_ to get an advance of cash or credit. But we have protection for them and rates cannot exceed a certain amount, depending on the type of loan.

everythingswan··on Selfie-seeking Instagrammers are ruining the world’s beautiful places
They do this in a lot of places, partially to conserve the area and prevent what you described and also as an added safety measure. Over-nighting in the Grand Canyon is a great example. I think it's a good idea in most places where the risk of injury or the risk of trampling is too great.

It's kind of a bummer that you have to plan so far ahead for some things. Grand Canyon permits are done during a 1-week opening 5 months before the calendar month you hike in, for example. It's challenging to organize a group when you have kids, jobs, etc. that could change in that time.

everythingswan··on Selfie-seeking Instagrammers are ruining the world’s beautiful places
I think calling people in to the conversation instead of calling people out is more effective over time--but I totally get what you mean. It's really hard to sit and watch people ruin things you love. Most of _the outdoors_ are designed to be shared experiences and when people go off-trail in sensitive areas or don't pack out trash it really leaves a sour taste in my mouth.
everythingswan··on Facebook's fake account problem
It's actually very hard and expensive to do end-to-end reporting, so it's not as simple as you either prove profitability or not. Think of how many SMB's there are out there that have to choose between hiring a new service provider to provide better coverage or spending money on an obscure-to-them tool like a CRM. I feel for them.

In addition, time is always an issue and is the ultimate variable. What worked two months ago didn't work last month, what do you do? Every company runs into this and there are factors that make it crazy complicated: payback period, LTV, AOV, Days to Close.

Ad platforms like Google Ads and Facebook Ads talk more about "reaching your target customer" with fluffy metrics since that's what they can easily measure and, IMO, it obscures the real end-to-end results you mention. When success is obscured, it allows them to absolve themselves of educating their customers.

The ad platforms build case studies of success and then simplify it down to impressions and reach so that companies feel like they have to do it. It's a profit machine.

everythingswan··on The Metrics of Backpacks
In the article, the author describes the people she works with in this exact context.

Parent you're replying to is lumping those further up the comment chain with the people described in the article. She says they often talk about how to get their wives to watch more science fiction movies.

I felt it landed perfectly given the context of the article, YMMV.

everythingswan··on Smoke and Mirrors: How Snap and Pinterest Hide User Attrition
I appreciate the analysis. I love thinking about these economics so I deeply appreciate the thought process!

My question would be, and I hope to be able to dig in later, is the international ad platform rolled out completely? Ad products tend to roll out continuously and I would want to know if the problem is adoption of the platform from advertisers or a low-usage issue.

Advertisers will always find out where customers are so I would assume that it's either the platform isn't getting adopted or the actual tool of delivery is lagging behind, maybe until adoption increases.

everythingswan··on The wave of unicorn IPOs
You could make it binary and label everything as improving profit or investing in the growth of the company but I think we should define "growth" in this case as the relatively short-term investment made to grow. That's immediately what I thought of when I read and re-read the parent comment.

Reading what was said, I imagine rolling out new markets, testing new customer acquisition methods, and hiring to focus on new features would all fit in this label as growth.

Things like R&D might not. If Uber has been investing in self-driving vehicles, it may not pay off in the short-term, and therefore wouldn't fit in this set as it's quite speculative. Technical debt might fit here too. Or marketing debt: perhaps they want to establish brand guidelines and everything that comes with it. Great investment but not what directly helps you grow. A more direct "financial dial" might be restructuring your company from a legal perspective and forming new entities.

Just sharing how I read "black-and-white consideration". Maybe the parent can clear up what they meant.

everythingswan··on I Can't Do Anything for Fun Anymore; Every Hobby Is an Attempt to Make Money
I think this drives the point of the OP: some of us obsess over the optimal solution and it dries up our happiness.
everythingswan··on How the Maker of TurboTax Fought Free, Simple Tax Filing (2013)
You can already file for free if you make under $66k: https://www.irs.gov/filing/free-file-do-your-federal-taxes-f...

Edit: I don't think I addressed your question, sorry!I agree that a simple tool could be a great help if it doesn't already exist!

everythingswan··on Amazon stops selling Dash buttons
I definitely overthink purchases but it's also interesting to consider. I think you make a great point that the dash buttons are a terrible fit for many things. Food feels like a challenge since I have ever-changing dietary needs and desires. I also hate the markup game that Instacart and Amazon play and not seeing a price gives me anxiety.

I immediately think of clothes detergent, toilet paper, shampoo, cleaning supplies with dash buttons--although I move frequently so I did not buy for these instances and I wonder if many people say they would buy them for those and then do not.

But to me, they fit the perfect use case: static location inside a cupboard, there is a fixed amount sent, the demand is inelastic and not seasonal, and the product itself doesn't change much (I don't need to compare when I buy, ever). That sounds perfect to me! I don't want to waste time and energy shopping for these 8 things.

I really wonder why this is the case and I'd love to understand why it couldn't work. Perhaps it was marketed to a more innovative audience and not to the people who do laundry, wash their dishes, etc? I hope I'm not generalizing.

everythingswan··on Is it still ok to have kids in face of climate change?
It's an interesting question. I think where it goes awry is that your choices directly impact the ability of others to enjoy it. So your voluntary choices (assuming they're detrimental) could mean billions of people don't even get that choice. So what gives you the right to make that choice for them?

Not arguing, just offering a counterpoint.

everythingswan··on Reading in the Age of Constant Distraction
I've come to love books intensely. Not only because I enjoy learning--before I read books, I found blogs to be great educators. I love books because they create time and space to be alone with a thought. It gives me time to consider things that I normally have no space for.

I remember Seth Godin saying once that every business book can be summarized in just a few pages but the book itself is a story. I think it goes beyond just that idea and is The Exercise in reinforcing ideas. Yes, you don't need to spend 10 hours to memorize an idea: _move fast and break things._ Yea, I get it.

But what does that actually mean? How do you actually implement that philosophy? How do you internalize it? How do you navigate situations where you will revert back to your old habit or philosophy? I think you have to spend 10 hours thinking about it and then taking actionable steps to implement it in order to make it useful. Teaching and writing are similar exercises that I have found helpful as a learning tool.

I only just stumbled upon why I like to read. It is likely very personal. But I have found that removing the distractions and habit of "horizontal reading" makes me happier. I'm looking forward to reading the referenced book by Birkerts.

(Aside: At times, I have found reading to be an excuse for not getting things done on my projects. _I just need to know more about x, y, and z before I start_. Ironically, the quest for knowledge can be distracting itself.)

everythingswan··on Facebook manager quit after being 'harassed' over views on diversity
A Jewish friend of mine once told me to pay attention to instances where they were classified as white or not and, dang, was she right. She called it being _selectively_ white. I think this is a good example of that.
everythingswan··on Zillow CEO: startups trying to disrupt real estate commissions will fail (2012)
What if their knowledge of the market and negotiating helped you get an extra $60k in value on the sale of your home vs. selling it yourself?
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