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fortani

121 karma · joined October 8, 2017

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fortani··on [dead]
@dang Could we change the url to http://web.archive.org/web/20130305164549/http://www.alexmed...

This is a good article and discussion topic, thank you

fortani··on The biggest source of waste is untapped skilled pragmatists
I left a comment elsewhere on this thread, but here's an interesting quote by General Kurt von Hammerstein-Equord, an anti-Nazi WWII general.

"I distinguish four types. There are clever, hardworking, stupid, and lazy officers. Usually two characteristics are combined. Some are clever and hardworking; their place is the General Staff. The next ones are stupid and lazy; they make up 90 percent of every army and are suited to routine duties. Anyone who is both clever and lazy is qualified for the highest leadership duties, because he possesses the mental clarity and strength of nerve necessary for difficult decisions. One must beware of anyone who is both stupid and hardworking; he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will always only cause damage."

So according to him, most people seem to fall into the bucket of being lazy and stupid, which is closer to reality. "Skilled pragmatists" seem to map into what he terms "clever and lazy".

fortani··on The biggest source of waste is untapped skilled pragmatists
"I divide my officers into four groups. There are clever, diligent, stupid, and lazy officers. Usually two characteristics are combined. Some are clever and diligent — their place is the General Staff. The next lot are stupid and lazy — they make up 90 percent of every army and are suited to routine duties. Anyone who is both clever and lazy is qualified for the highest leadership duties, because he possesses the intellectual clarity and the composure necessary for difficult decisions. One must beware of anyone who is stupid and diligent — he must not be entrusted with any responsibility because he will always cause only mischief."

Kurt von Hammerstein-Equord

This is an interesting quote from a WWII General. So "skilled pragmatists" seems to map to what Kurt terms as clever and lazy. But it also means that most people are lazy and stupid.

fortani··on MongoDB security notice
Also, "2020-05-26: MongoDB identified a bug in the transaction retry mechanism [2] which they believe was responsible for the anomalies observed in this report; a patch is scheduled for 4.2.8." [1]

[1] https://jepsen.io/analyses/mongodb-4.2.6

[2] https://jira.mongodb.org/browse/SERVER-48307

fortani··on ZFS 2.2.1: Block Cloning disabled due to data corruption
Nope, somebody managed to reproduce this issue even with zfs_dmu_offset_next_sync=0

https://github.com/openzfs/zfs/issues/15526#issuecomment-182...

fortani··on [dead]
https://twitter.com/SaintCirce/status/1726664070429085990
fortani··on [dead]
https://archive.is/m2bl1
fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
Wonder what are their thoughts about nginx or Telegram versus Apache HTTP or Whatsapp? ;)
fortani··on Wagner Group now just 400 km away from Moscow
https://www.reddit.com/r/WagnerVsRussia/ is where the mod team from r/ukrainewarvideo is redirecting discussions about this attempted coup to.
fortani··on Prigozhin starts armed insurrection in Russia
Yes, we appreciate the mod team's efforts throughout. Nevertheless, this event is turning into something historic, even if it ends up in failure for the instigators.
fortani··on Wagner Group now just 400 km away from Moscow
Unfortunately posts like these would end up being flagged one way or another, just like the previous ones, which had great discussions but ended up being flagged:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457511

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36452290

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457433

dang's reason for flagging them is as follows. Hopefully he or the other mods can change their mind about it as it is developing into something not insignificant or trivial:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36456034

fortani··on [dead]
Yes, some very good discussions earlier which was unfortunately flagged:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457511

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36452290

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457433

@dang's reason for flagging them is as follows:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36456034

Agree or disagree with the decision? Message the mods.

fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
I guess the only solution is to message the mods to unflag these posts:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36456034

Something historic is happening right before our eyes, and it doesn't make sense to bury our heads in the sand. Wonder if posts like the outbreak of Covid got flagged too?

fortani··on [dead]
I don’t need ammo. I need a ride.

[1] https://twitter.com/DarthPutinKGB/status/1672558004015714304

fortani··on The Prigozhin Coup seems pretty damn well organized
And this got flagged too: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457511
fortani··on Wagner coup in Russia? Wagner declared war on the Russian army
Other good discussions that got flagged as well:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457511

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457433

fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
Some good discussions earlier which was unfortunately flagged

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36452290

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36457433

fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
Even the live address by Putin [1] seems to have been behind a greenscreen or edited screen and if you listen closely, there seems to be an audible din that seems to be from the whirling sounds from a jet plane.

[1] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dZB3FOqBUxA

fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
Supposedly this operation has been planned for 2 months:

https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1672541087020339200

Maybe he was relying on his allies eg: General Surovikin. Nevertheless, he is correct to sense that many in the Russian Army are unhappy with how the war is panning out. But he is either miscalculating or misreading the situation, or see this as an existential crisis for himself and Wagner [1]

[1] https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offens...

fortani··on Russia Slides into Civil War
Some good analysis of the situation here: https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offens...
fortani··on Tyler Cowen: If the Economy Is So Bad, Why Is the Labor Market So Good?
https://archive.ph/75tr6

Related commentary on Fortune: https://archive.ph/Qui2r

fortani··on [duplicate] Tyler Cowen’s theory why workers ‘are doing less’
This should be deleted in favor of: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36254550 @dang
fortani··on Archaeologists Discover 'Lost Golden City of Luxor'
Zahi Hawass, the archaeologist who found it has an interesting past based on past comments.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=26974453

fortani··on CDC outlines what closing schools, businesses would look like in US pandemic
There is a pretty good Coronavirus prep guide here:

https://theprepared.com/wuhan-coronavirus/

The key here in any pandemic is to make sure you reduce the chances of being infected. That works better than any surgical masks, N95 respirators, etc.

In essence, minimize or eliminate social contacts like hugs, hand shakes, kisses or touching anyone during this period. If you need to do so, remember to not touch your face, nose or eyes, and wash or sterilize your hands immediately after that. Stay away from public places with large amounts of people or confined areas. Your face is sacred, remember not to touch your face, eyes or nose when you're outside, or else wear a surgical or N95 mask (if you can find one), which helps in enforcing the above. Wash your hands for at least 20-30 seconds when you return home. Do not touch things like lift buttons with your fingers. Use a key, pen, elbows or knuckles (not so ideal but it's better than using fingers). If you're travelling in a car or cab, request the driver to wind down the windows. Stock up on medicine, and avoid visiting hospitals unless required.

fortani··on Clinical characteristics of 50k patients with 2019-nCoV infection
The scary thing about this virus, isn't the mortality rate, but the high R0 value and the potentially high proportion of infected people who are classified as severe cases.

Assuming that 20% of the US population (330 million) gets it, we're looking at about 13.2 million (20%x20%x330 million) patients who require admission to an ICU ward. Needless to say, that is enough to overwhelm the healthcare system and hospitals, and increase the overall mortality rate, when people who requires ICU are turned away due to lack of beds or equipment.

As it is, the best option would be to delay the spread as much as possible, so that the number would be spread across a time-span for as long as possible.

fortani··on Clinical characteristics of 50k patients with 2019-nCoV infection
Can't edit the title anymore. Could an admin eg: @dang edit it, thank you.
fortani··on Clinical characteristics of 50k patients with 2019-nCoV infection
Yeah, that's a typo, it should be mortality rate.
fortani··on 80% of drugs from pharma, 48 pharma plants in Wuhan, US will start running out
The relevant question at 3:10
fortani··on PGAdmin 4 3.4 is finally usable
PGAdmin 4 1.x, 2.x was really bad. [1]

Well, I just downloaded PGAdmin 4 3.4 and it has improved quite a bit. Those who missed PGAdmin 3 should give it another shot. Thanks to the maintainer, Dave Page [2] for improving it.

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14884713 https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=15411690

[2] https://www.enterprisedb.com/de/user/254789/published_articl...

fortani··on 'Our minds can be hijacked': tech insiders who fear a smartphone dystopia
Agreed.

The problem here is not the smartphone per se, but our increasing dependence on it and the "outsourcing" of our thinking and desires to our smartphone.

Imagine the follow scenario:

* Need to get to a place? Just ask Google Maps, no need to think.

* Need to decide what and where to eat? Don't need to think, just use an app that optimizes for health/variety/preferences/budget and you don't even need to leave the house, just it delivered right to your doorstep.

* Need to think deeply about something? Just Google for the right articles. No need to waste time thinking.

* Feeling bored? Just consume a game, song, movie, Reddit/Facebook/Instagram/Twitter/etc.

* Don't know what to do next week? Have an app that auto-suggests what you can do based on your preferences, your friends' schedules, activities in your city, past user ratings for an event, etc. Taking this further, have an AI virtual assistant that plans your entire year's activities.

* Need to date someone? Use an AI virtual assistant (built with the latest in Natural Language Processing and AI technology that optimizes for the right words to use, the correct responses, the best times to send a message, the best jokes to be using, the best emotions to elicit) that has already done all the swiping on Tinder/OKCupid and done all the texting conversations to set you up on a date.

When this point in the future arrives, without a smartphone, you would become almost feel like an empty shell (or even suicidal). Your very existence becomes tied in to the smartphone. Your daily whims/desires becomes dependent on the smartphone.

If you were given a life sentence: give up an arm or a leg, or give up the right to own or use a smartphone for life. I think increasingly in time, people would rather give up an arm or a leg than give up a smartphone for life.

The question then becomes: Do you own a smartphone, or does the smartphone own you?

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