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freefrog334433

22 karma · joined September 2, 2013

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freefrog334433··on Fire at Starlink site in Bulgaria after suspected sabotage in Poland
Ukraine started attacks against Russian shipping in the Sea of Azov and Black Sea on 6th July 2026, as part of the 40 days day sinking over 100 commercial ships.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_MoLoChKa

freefrog334433··on Ask HN: How can I delete a Substack account in Australia?
Unfortunately social media website make it difficult to delete accounts. I wouldn't have minded if the options were to verify through bio-metrics or delete account.
freefrog334433··on Ask HN: How can I delete a Substack account in Australia?
I tried this, and got a reply with a link, that redirected me to the age verification again. I replied to this asking them to manually delete my account, and they manually verified that I was an adult without asking for bio-metric verification. I just my calm, but critical emails convinced them, along with my paid subscription history that I was an adult :).
freefrog334433··on How I fell in love with Erlang
The ability to load recompiled code on running processes makes it possible to change live services on the fly. I worked for a low budget mobile operator in SE-Asia where there were no test platforms, and every change was on the live servers. Erlang made changes fast, as small changes were trivial, while large changes were broken down into small changes, implemented individually, and tested. Rolling back was fast, as I kept the original code before modifying. No convoluted build structures, and praying the rollout to production doesn't throw unexpected errors.

Programming languages stress reusable code, where you get reusable processes (eg interface to the SMSC)in Erlang, which you would need messaging servers in other languages.

freefrog334433··on South Korea's President says US investment demands would spark financial crisis
China knows NATO will turn on them if Russia is defeated. Also, the narrative that Russia launched an unprovoked attack on Ukraine isn't strong outside the West. It's more complex, starting with Bush announcing Ukraine eligible for NATO membership, the Maidan coup, and 8 years of civil war against the 4 Eastern Oblasts that voted to secede from Ukraine.
freefrog334433··on South Korea's President says US investment demands would spark financial crisis
Freezing Russian assets was the beginning. Sanctions against Russia backfired, cutting them off from SWIFT encouraged alternatives as did Lloyd's of London refusing to insure Russian ships. All it did was make the non-NATO world develop alternatives.
freefrog334433··on This map is not upside down
GDP PPP is being used to compare countries productivity more often now. Australia has high GDP but low productivity as most is sunk into expensive, unproductive real estate. Every country has their rust belts and undeveloped rural areas.
freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
It seems like you are making the point that there are large ranges of drones, and other weapons are required when drones are not effective, which I agree with. Drones aren't as cost effective as your earlier example of 12 soldiers being killed by a few drones. I can't find the interview, but a Ukranian drone operator said on average 15-20 FPVs were needed to wound/kill a soldier (80% are jammed). Just as it takes 1000 bullets to kill a soldier, it takes lots of drones (on average) to kill a soldier, making the cost-effectiveness worse.
freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
The key word was "effective". Ukraine's attacks haven't had any meaningful effect on the war. I would have no doubt that if Israel lost any of the conventional wars with it's neighbors, nuclear weapons would have been launched.

The original post was postulating that American bombers and intelligence could destroy China's production base. If US attacks did destroy a significant portion of China's factories, and production facilities, I have no doubt the war would become nuclear.

freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
The X.com links don't work. The CNN article was on a video showing how Russians treat a deserter. Ukraine has 400,000 deserters, and forces men on the street into vans for conscription. https://www.ukrainemonitor.com/article/837248236 https://www.bitchute.com/video/4GlBx4Dgihge

The Russian soldiers fighting in Ukraine are volunteers, well paid (five times average salaries). https://monitoring.bbc.co.uk/product/b0002tho

The people on the ground know how the war is going - there are no more Ukrainians volunteering to fight. Winning attracts, and Russia doesn't need conscription. Amazingly, Ukraine is now recruiting 60+ year old men to fight. https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-signs-law-allowing-over...

freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
It also took 18 months to insert the people, set up the shell company, smuggle materials, manufacture, etc. It also had the advantage of surprise - the first such attack at such a distance from the front line. Is it unlikely such an attack will be replicated, just as a box-cutter hijack of 747s attack against buildings will not succeed again.
freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
Soldiers adapt - deploying in groups of 3-4, moving along tree lines, and hiding in buildings/trenches. One of Patrick Lancaster's (an American journalist covering the war from the Donbas) videos has him hiding with a group of soldiers while a drone is overhead - the twigs and branches of the bushes and trees makes it impossible for a drone traveling at a moderate speed to see them, and would entangle the drone if it did attack.
freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
Problem is that munitions carried by drones are much weaker than artillery shells - more like grenades. On this page is a turtle tank that took 60 drone attacks to disable. https://simplicius76.substack.com/p/western-analysts-find-li...

Russians are able to retrieve 80% of disabled armored vehicles to repair them.

A tank does not even notice cluster bombs - this type of bomb is effective against infantry and civilians.

freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
https://simplicius76.substack.com/ is in the top 10 subscribed substacks. He posts videos supporting points he makes, and you can find drones attacks. His analysis and predictions are more accurate than pro-Ukrainian pundits, and draws on information from within Ukraine (speeches at the Rada, Ukrainian commander interviews, posts) and Russia.
freefrog334433··on Marines now have an official drone-fighting handbook
An effective attack against Chinese mainland by US forces would be the trigger for nuclear war. The century of humiliation has cemented a "never again" attitude.

Also, Aircraft carriers are vulnerable to mass missile attacks, and land bases in the Philippines, Japan or Taiwan are within missile range.

freefrog334433··on Quarkdown: A modern Markdown-based typesetting system
I've started using presenterm for markdown presentations. Given that markdown is just a format, a comprehensive comparison should find the tools using markdown to export to pdf and epub.
freefrog334433··on Quarkdown: A modern Markdown-based typesetting system
The online editor is commercial. They have a github repository releasing Typst under an Apache 2.0 license for free. I installed it using cargo (Rust), and don't use the online editor.
freefrog334433··on Ask HN: How are parents who program teaching their kids today?
I started a coding class at school because my 8yo preferred learning with friends.

I made a website for parents to see, at http://rustycc.com.au/whyrust for more details of why I chose Rust.

I used Rust, partially because like you, I started with C at an early age, courtesy of my Academic father, who placed me in front of a Unix mainframe at the Uni "babysitting", and older children taught me.

To make it fun, I developed multiplayer games, and children program the actions of a robot avatar, so they have their character, and robot in the games. I also used it to teach mathematics.

freefrog334433··on The ‘white-collar bloodbath’ is all part of the AI hype machine
Traditionally there were the English upper class, who had others work for them, and the working class who did. Doctors and Bankers were the middle class, because they owned houses with 6-8 servants running it, so while they worked, they also had plenty of people working for them.

I agree with your point. Now doctors are working class as well.

freefrog334433··on Indian court orders blocking of Proton Mail
and Australia. Australian government tried making encryption illegal.

https://www.eff.org/deeplinks/2017/07/australian-pm-calls-en...

freefrog334433··on Try Switching to Kagi
I got a family subscription after saving on hotel bookings after using google, which impressed my wife. I like it for my children because not only does it return age appropriate results, there is no advertising targeting children. It works out $20/month for 6 people, a Christmas present for my sisters, mother and nephew that keeps giving.
freefrog334433··on China's Energy Transition at Odds with Solar Glut, Cheap Power
Indonesia and Malaysia are both BRICS+ members, and Singapore is pretty pro-China. Trump said he was talking to countries about inspecting Iranian ships passing through the Malacca Straits, and I'm guessing he meant Singapore, and probably got the thumbs down.

You are right about China keeping options open - the BRI initiative is about improving land transport options in Eurasia.

freefrog334433··on Scott Galloway: How the US is destroying young people's future [video]
Yes - I question whether his statement that the US has the highest housing costs in the world. Australia is out of control.
freefrog334433··on Sweden has long opposed nuclear weapons, but once tried to build them
Saudi Arabia might have had access to nuclear weapons for a while, as part of an arrangement with Pakistan.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-24823846

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_Arabia_and_weapons_of_ma...

freefrog334433··on Sweden has long opposed nuclear weapons, but once tried to build them
Saudi Arabia might already have access to nuclear weapons earmarked by Pakistan, as part of an agreement, when Saudi Arabia helped fund Pakistan's nuclear program.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-24823846

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_Arabia_and_weapons_of_ma...

freefrog334433··on German state ditches Microsoft for Linux and LibreOffice
“The clever combatant looks to the effect of combined energy, and does not require too much from individuals.” Art of War
freefrog334433··on German state ditches Microsoft for Linux and LibreOffice
I was trying to remember a Confucius proverb that applied to Linux. Or something from the Art of War?
freefrog334433··on U.S. army drops requirement for high school diploma (2022)
Could they learn from the mining industry? Terrible job, long hours in the middle of no-where (in Australia) and poor family life, but the salaries and benefits are huge. There is no shortage of people wanting to work in the mining industry.
freefrog334433··on U.S. army drops requirement for high school diploma (2022)
It surprises me that this obvious solution is the one the government avoids the most. I would expect salaries to keep pace with the private sector. Especially when the cost of mistakes by a CEO (company goes bankrupt) is much less than the cost of a mistake by an officer (many people die). Might also stop the systemic corruption in the military AKA the revolving door between the military and private contractors.
freefrog334433··on "No inventions; no innovations" A History of US Steel
The Vietnamese didn't need active participation from China or the USSR to win. It was seen as a war of independence, with a popular Northern Vietnamese government and a US puppet South Vietnam government, whose soldiers were unmotivated. The South Vietnam government only lasted as long as it did because of US assistance.
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