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gerbal

745 karma · joined January 12, 2014

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gerbal··on Vitamin D metabolites and the gut microbiome in older men
This looks a lot like quackery. A miracle diet that will cure almost all ailments? Sounds too good to be true.

The author encourages parents to disregard Physician advice in favor of a vaguely formulated diet advice and expensive supplements, which the author sells. Also lots of enemas and no MMR vaccines.

gerbal··on U.S. Hits Record Daily Death Toll, with Worse Likely to Come
You are correct, I've edited my comment to be appropriately hedged
gerbal··on U.S. Hits Record Daily Death Toll, with Worse Likely to Come
It really depends on vaccination rates and the transmission rates of vaccinated people. Vaccines aren't going to reach mass distribution until February or March at the earliest. It's an open question just how much vaccination reduces low-level infection and retransmission. The published vaccine trials have been focused on incidence of symptoms and reduction in mortality in the vaccinated group.

It remains possible that the death rate may climb among the unvaccinated if others' vaccinations is used as an excuse for risky behavior.

gerbal··on Yelp Is Replacing Restaurants’ Phone Numbers So Grubhub Can Take a Cut (2019)
> Yelp, GrubHub, Seamless

Interesting choice of examples! Grubhub owns Seamless and bought Yelp's delivery service (formerly Eat24). Grubhub also owns AllMenus and MenuPages. So an individual restaurant has to compete with 5 different sophisticated offerings from one company for SEO position.

gerbal··on Glenn Greenwald Resigns from the Intercept
The op-ed pages have always been longform twitter, not journalism. The journalism and op-ed sides are different departments with no influence over the other.
gerbal··on Microsoft's underwater data centre resurfaces after two years
The container was filed with Nitrogen, so no pesky Oxygen corroding everything.
gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
I took a watch. Honestly, it's lazy and dumb. The siloing of modern social-media justifies the behavior of Cernovic and his ilk? There is genuine propaganda being actively promoted by malign actors in our media ecosystem, but Cernovic tries to use this as an excuse for his malign promotion of propaganda and misinformation.

That movie is by and for Mike Cernovic's existing audience. It was crowd funded by his audience, produced by his production company, and promoted on far-right websites where he contributes. The producers and directors appear to be mostly info-wars style far-right propagandists. Event the glowing IMDB reviews describe it as "preaching to the choir".

The project of Hoaxed is to create false equivalency between the misdeeds of the larger media industry, and the specific business model of promoting far-right misinformation that people like Cernovic engage in.

edit: I broadly agree with this guys take on the movie [1], which he expresses at greater length and clarity than I am presently able.

[1] https://lawrenceserewicz.wordpress.com/2020/04/16/initial-re...

gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
So what is reliable media? What can be trusted? Who do you trust?

> We've never had a media that's more blatantly bias and unreliable than the one we have right now.

Can you provide a citation or evidence of this claim?

gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
> I want the truth. That's something all US media is failing to give us right now.

What truth is this you are so deprived of? I presume you have some "real" source of truth that's more reliable than media that fact-checks itself and issues corrections?

gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
It sounds a lot like you are deliberately seeking bias-confirming right wing propaganda!
gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
Right wing propagandists flooded twitter and reddit with deceptive edits, frame grabs, and narratives. I expect there are now multiple retaliatory take down campaigns by multiple groups and bot networks to try to preserve only videos that support their preferred narrative.
gerbal··on Google is apparently taking down all/most Fediverse apps from the Play Store
unmoderated forums tend to drive off anyone but those holding the most extreme and toxic views.
gerbal··on Launch HN: GitDuck (YC S20) – Zoom for developers with real-time code sharing
How is this product "Zoom for Developers"? What makes GitDuck like a video conferencing platform which supports 100+ concurrent users?

To me "Zoom for x" implies video calling as a primary feature.

gerbal··on Trump fires CEO of TVA over replacing US tech workers with H1B workers
The TVA is government owned, but self funded. Apparently it's turned a healthy profit since the 70s.
gerbal··on Trump fires CEO of TVA over replacing US tech workers with H1B workers
This is off the AP Newswire, here's the AP original with a bit more detail: https://apnews.com/0336437987fec77627c17ca9a4c781bc
gerbal··on When a customer refunds your paid app, Apple refunds its 30% cut [edited]
This is also common for most credit card processors. But keeping 3% is very different from 30%
gerbal··on Brain connectivity levels are equal in all mammals, including humans: study
The full text of the paper is available on ResearchGate[1] or paywalled from the publisher [2]

[1] https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342022024_Conservat...

[2] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41593-020-0641-7

gerbal··on With oil cheap, Arab states cannot balance their books
> In many ways, it's even worse for the environment than just burning the oil directly.

This seems like a testable claim. Is there research about this subject that could confirm or debunk this claim?

gerbal··on Schools Beat Earlier Plagues With Outdoor Classes
It depends on the region, the age of the school, the wealth and demographics of the community. The poorer the area, its more likely the schools are overcrowded concrete boxes built in the 60s-80s.

US Schooling is very inconsistent and varies a huge amount by municipality.

gerbal··on Schools Beat Earlier Plagues With Outdoor Classes
> There's no measure that will be realistically implemented in the next month that would cut R in half

Universal masking can cut R substantially, but it requires high levels of compliance [1]

[1] https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rspa.2020.037...

gerbal··on The end of the Arab world’s oil age is nigh
Do various sorts of batteries (gravity, fly-wheels, LiON) provide reasonable alternatives for some base load and peak generation?
gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
With those assumptions, it seems fair to state that, given enough time, any sufficiently large group of humans will commit an atrocity against an internal or external minority.

Shouldn't then societies try to structure themselves against this tendency?

gerbal··on Amazon says email banning TikTok from employee phones was ‘sent in error’
> > One of the challenges of doing that nowadays is we have a president who thinks cultural genocide of Uighur muslims is 'absolutely the right thing to do' and that Tienanmen square massacre was also the right thing to do.

> Fake news much? See the 2020 Uyghur Rights Act [1]. I have no idea where you came up with this.

This claim originates in John Bolton's book [1] Make of it what you will. Personally it seems pretty consistent.

> At the opening dinner of the Osaka G-20 meeting in June 2019, with only interpreters present, Xi had explained to Trump why he was basically building concentration camps in Xinjiang. According to our interpreter, Trump said that Xi should go ahead with building the camps, which Trump thought was exactly the right thing to do. The National Security Council’s top Asia staffer, Matthew Pottinger, told me that Trump said something very similar during his November 2017 trip to China.

[1] https://www.wsj.com/articles/john-bolton-the-scandal-of-trum...

gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
> The rumors are the spark that I mentioned. The long-existing anti-semitism is the wood pile that is ready to be set ablaze.

Which arrives at the question, how does anti-semitism propagate through societies? It doesn't spring from nothing. What are the mechanisms that keeps the idea alive? Are all societies susceptible? Someone must be doing the work of keeping that wood pile dry and ready to catch light.

gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
The assertion in that article is that all BLM activists and the whole movement are black separatist and racists because a "media commentator" taunted Tucker Carlson? That article also does not mention that she lost her job as a result of that interview (cancellation works both ways).

While there may be black separatists who support BLM, BLM is not a black separatist movement. Ultimately any black separatists will be frustrated by BLM's goals of an inclusive and just society.

Also, National Review is about as unbiased as Daily Kos, and has other ideological goals when discrediting BLM.

gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
> You don't have pogroms without previous animosity. Somebody saying something might spark the fire, but the wood has been there all along, soaked in gasoline.

That presumes the victimized communities have done anything to warrant violence. In the case of anti-jewish pogroms the inciting factor was often speech by newspapers and officials. How should we account for anti-semitic newspapers that made a good business of concocting lies about the crimes done by Jewish people in the community?

Consider the Kishinev pogrom where "the Bessarabetz paper insinuated that children had been murdered by the Jewish community for the purpose of using their blood in the preparation of matzo for Passover"[1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kishinev_pogrom

gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
That's not true at all. This sounds a lot like the random anti BLM propaganda you see on facebook.

The core tenants of BLM are that CURRENTLY black communities are policed in a radically different way than white communities. BLM activists want everyone to have a just and fair policing.

gerbal··on We are all prisoners of groupthink
Hate crimes spring to mind. People tell lies about minority groups, give themselves permission structures to justify violence, and vigilantes take it upon themselves to "fix" the problem with violence.

A lot of people have been murdered on as a result of hate speech. Emit Till, Michael Donald, James Byrd are a few.

Also, the Rwandan Genocide, historical Pogroms, lynchings, arguably the holocaust.

It's pretty hard to get humans to murder their neightbors without inciting speech.

gerbal··on Pulsar vs. Kafka
Postgres can be used as an effective event centric database and pub/sub queue with NOTIFY and LISTEN
gerbal··on Pandemic speeds largest test yet of universal basic income
Do you mean RSA[1]? My french is quite bad, but as I understand it, the RSA is tied closely to employment and has complicated work obligation and subsidizes employers for keeping employees at low hours. RSA appears to be extensively means tested as well (which UBI is not supposed to be).

[1] https://fr.wikipedia.org/wiki/Revenu_de_solidarité_activ

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