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1,558 karma · joined November 30, 2022

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htag··on What if we’re thinking about inflation all wrong?
I'm intrigued enough by this article that I'm going to dig deeper into the economics behind it. This article seems to highlight the cultural and political impact of the policy more than anything. As someone mostly naive to this way of thinking, let me highlight some thoughts on the subject.

* Price control only works so far. It's possible to price control an industry into ruin. There is a real risk when using these policies.

* How does employing this tool differ compared to other levers we have. Raising corporate taxes. Enhancing price gouging policies. Nationalizing critical industries.

* Who controls the price control lever, what is there mission, and how are they held politically accountable. This seems like the type of thing that needs more separation from the election cycle like the Fed or Supreme Court than the average law or executive order.

* Do we trust the controller of the price control lever? What does success look like? What does failure look like?

* Are we concerned that reducing private profits will reduce private investment? As bad as the chip shortage was, look at all the investments into fabrication that followed.

htag··on Apple’s Vision Pro Is a $3,500 Ticket to Nowhere
1. This really depends on how much sound leaks out. The original earpods were designed to leak a little bit of sound but were still used in airplanes.

2. I take a lot of 4 hour flights. I see people use steam decks on them all the time, even though their batteries don't hold for the whole flight.

3. I don't know the answer, but I wonder what the largest battery you could bring onto a flight is, and how long that would extend the Vision Pro's battery life.

htag··on Apple Vision
It's a long way away for corporate to buy it's developers a headset like what your describing. As far as Work goes, if you cannot get a corporate office to buy them then it's never going to take off.
htag··on Don't let Reddit kill 3rd party apps
If you watch the video you find that he has valid complaints, and he's not opposed to paying Reddit but thinks these terms are designed to sink 3rd party apps. Some highlighted points.

* The API access charges about 10x the price compared to the revenue per user they would expect if the users accessed reddit via web or official app.

* There was 30 days notice of the new pricing. He has many customers that pay per-year that he is going to lose money on until renewal.

* The price is too high. Compared to similar platforms that charge for API they are charging way more.

* An individual from the company called him out for having 'inefficient' code, which he took personally and mounted a good defense of his usage.

* The API is losing feature parity with the first party website/app.

* Reddit is itself building a bigger business on the backs of reddit users generating content. Many of those users use a 3rd party app. In fact, 3rd party apps were largely responsible for transitioning reddit into mobile usage. They seem to be overstepping their position in the ecosystem.

htag··on Red Hat dropping support for LibreOffice
I'm unsure what your talking about. Surely SecDevOps would be mostly alerted when a vulnerability isn't caught by someone looking at OSS. Those vulnerabilities that are caught should be mostly invisible.
htag··on Red Hat dropping support for LibreOffice
Exactly. These SaaS solutions are way less (speech) free, with anything you write being a accessible to various powerful entities depending on legal jurisdiction you reside in.
htag··on Conservative Americans are building a parallel economy?
I would have liked to see more numbers in this article. Have any of these brands gone public or released revenue figures? What's the highest valuation in the tech space? Which brands are squaring up best from their 'mainstream' counterparts?

I can only imagine these were omitted because they are unimpressive. Still, I've often wondered if beating the conservative/republican drum loudly could be leveraged into wealth.

htag··on Most important papers for quantitative traders
There has always been room for active strategies, and there will continue to be room for active strategies. It's very likely _your_ active strategy isn't as good as buying and holding an index fund.
htag··on FAA seeks public input on drone operations
To some degree, this idea is explored in Neal Stephenson's novel Termination Shock in a character with the nickname "The Drone Ranger" (play on "The Lone Ranger")
htag··on A mystery person who spies on theme parks from the sky
1. I like some of the IP, and being immersed in experiences is fun

2. They are one-of-a-kind. It's rare to see something made that isn't mass produced, and I have a similar appreciation for other things that don't come out of a factory.

3. There is interesting engineering involved.

htag··on A peek inside Japan's largest “Dagashi” store
There is a general mythology that business greed is a new thing, and that it is an American invention. This is not the case.

I'd specifically like to call out the ancient slave trade as an example of business existing for profit at the great determent of communities. I'd also like to call out that the Europeans explores immediately starting exporting tobacco around the world when introduced to it, even though it clearly has negative health consequences. It was their learned behavior to make profits while harming the health of their customers.

htag··on North Korea to Launch Military Spy Satellite for Monitoring U.S. Drills
That's kind of the point. International law isn't equal, there is often an 'us vs them'. The two are very different realms.
htag··on North Korea to Launch Military Spy Satellite for Monitoring U.S. Drills
> It's surprising how many systems there are (Russian, French, British, US, Chinese, Indian etc) and how rarely anyone dares to actually do a public test...

The stakes of getting this wrong are incredibly high. Perhaps all of these systems are simple posturing tools, incapable of providing real protection if called upon. They provide comfort to the population, and doubt in their enemies.

I think it's just as likely that these systems work to some degree, but demonstrating them would provide the enemy with quantifiable data that can use to help circumvent the protection.

htag··on North Korea to Launch Military Spy Satellite for Monitoring U.S. Drills
Ideally the law provides equal protections and rights to everyone. International law is much further from this ideal than US National law, and many people are surprised to learn details about international law.
htag··on Pro-cash movement warns that people could be losing more than they bargained for
West coastal.

I recently made a $1300 transaction in cash, and while the business was able to accommodate me, it took them five minutes, two drawers, and creative accounting to generate $74 in change. They were surprised to see a cash transaction. $1300 probably puts me in the top 20% of their transactions.

I once lost my keys to my car, and called a locksmith, he drove a van out to the neighborhood and provided two new locks for a cost of $700. When I started putting cash out to pay he said "holy shit" and his mannerisms changed. He then insisted he is good for repeat business. Considering the interaction happened between 11pm-1am on a Wednesday, and he took no record of my identity, I wonder what type of repeat business he was expecting from me.

I often see trendy places with staff running around with a tile or square or whatever, often operating by a teenager. I'm unsure if they have cash, and if they know how to keep a drawer that would count correctly with receipts. I imagine some of them will straight up refuse cash.

There aren't all horror stories. Anyone working a cash register in a gas station, convenience store, smoke shop, or grocery store will actually be prepared to take your physical concurrency.

htag··on Pro-cash movement warns that people could be losing more than they bargained for
1. Why did you lose the ability?

2. What efforts were required to regain the ability?

htag··on Pro-cash movement warns that people could be losing more than they bargained for
> motorcycle

It should be tracked to some degree. If the motorcycle is designed for street use (compared to track or dirt only) then there are several interested parties that need to know about some sort of transaction (insurance companies, DMV, state sales tax). There's some difference between "my insurance company knows I bought a GSXR" and "Visa knows I bought a GSXR", but less than you'd think. Even if the insurance company doesn't sell the data, you're likely to buy a new helmet with the Visa, increase browsing of motorcycle related webpages, or have some new speeding tickets.

htag··on Group accused in $225K 'dice sliding' cheating scheme at Las Vegas casino
> where do we draw the line

There's actually clear rules about dice handling at carb tables. The dice are expected to hit the far wall, the dice are expected to be tossed, and to not slide. Throws that do not meet standards might be deemed 'no roll'.

htag··on Group accused in $225K 'dice sliding' cheating scheme at Las Vegas casino
An eight deck shoe being dealt to 3/4 empty would give an advantage to teams signaling over a 2 deck shoe being dealt to 1/2 empty, because it allows for more total hands before being shuffled.
htag··on Psychiatric detentions rise in first year of 988 hotline
I was a volunteer phone responder for a (smaller) state Suicide Prevention Hotline, but stopped because of the changes to the organization caused by the 988 transition.

My primary complaint was in the organizational changes made by the non-profit. The amount of funding increased significantly, and while some of it was spent on non-volunteer responders the majority of the funding was spent on new bureaucrats. With the funding, the amount of external organizations we were answerable increased. I was suddenly scolded for behaviors I had been doing for years before. Things like calls taking longer than fifteen minutes (when we had lines open, and I am talking to a person in crisis), or me failing to collect enough demographic information from distressed individuals. I didn't want to adapt, and they were more than happy to pay someone $12/hr that will follow orders more closely.

There were a lot of great things that came from the 988 transition. For one, cell phone calls are now routed based on the location of the cell phone, where previous they were routed by the area code of the cellphone number. Another thing, is it did lead to increased call volume. I bet the combination of increased calls, with all calls routing to centers familiar with local resources, drastically increased the amount of detentions coming from suicide hotlines.

htag··on Ask HN: Has anyone switched from a professional job to a more manual one?
I agree. I've had five and ten year plans. Some of my five year plans even panned out. The vast majority of my one and five year plans fail as reality is too unpredictable.

* Be careful to not fall into a local maximum. As years progress in a long plan you might find better opportunities by adapting. Think of the opportunity cost of sticking to your plan

* As you execute the plan, you'll gain more knowledge and experience. This very frequently includes information that would have been useful in forming the plan. Try to anticipate what will give you this information and gain it as early in the plan as possible.

* Change happens. You change. The world changes. Reevaluate your plans frequently.

* Be careful of sunk cost fallacies. Even if you worked really hard to progress, sometimes the best corse of action is to walk away.

htag··on Ozempic drug supresses desire to smoke, drink and more?
> Exercise has many side effects too, including a risk of injury.

This feels like saying chocking is a side effect of eating vegetables.

Most negative side effects from exercise come in a few camps.

* The exercise of choice comes with a risk of accidents. Accidents happen everywhere, but they happen to skiers more frequently than mall power walkers.

* The exercise of choice is well known to put strain on certain body parts. Usually this is a joint or tendon. Pitchers and arms. Power lifting and knees.

* The exerciser did not prepare well for exercise. Do they have proper equipment? Did they stretch? Did they warm up? Did they drink enough fluid? Are they attempting a goal they aren't ready for? Are they over training? Did they get training to establish proper technique? Are they distracted when they should have been focused?

htag··on Ozempic drug supresses desire to smoke, drink and more?
To pile on other popular theories on smoking guns, there is a widespread decrease in physical activity levels. Physical activity can delay or prevent type 2 diabetes, as well as having widespread benefits on almost every system of the body. Physical activity also improves mental health, which impacts some behaviors around emotional/addiction driven over eating.
htag··on Apple’s new headset meets reality
Graphics quality was the biggest punch line for Zuck's Metaverse demo
htag··on Apple’s new headset meets reality
I forgot this, but for a period of time Siri was a serious compeitive advantage for iPhone.
htag··on Legend of Zelda game sells 10M copies in three days
Pop-in essentially exists because the draw distance is too low. As the player get's closer to an object, it is more likely to be drawn, and the level of detail it is drawn at is higher.

While it's not Saturn/PS1 levels in modern games, in very large and very open maps you can have this problem where you know in the distance there can be things that you simply cannot see because of draw distance. If your running towards something in the distance, there can be noticeable 'step-ups' as it decides to draw the model with more and more details. So it comes up in exploring very large and very open areas. This happens to various degrees even on PS5+ level hardware.

There's a similar issues with movement speed, but instead the limit is how quickly can the game load new content.

htag··on Legend of Zelda game sells 10M copies in three days
I'm very bothered by this aspect of switch gaming. If I want to play a game at a decent framerate and resolution I have to jump through hoops to run it on unofficial hardware.
htag··on Legend of Zelda game sells 10M copies in three days
The Switch actually came out as an advanced handheld. The appeal was that it was a handheld advanced enough to play on a TV. It's just that (especially handheld) technology have advanced in the last 8 years. On the Switch, Nintendo is simply extending it's console's life.

I think a Switch 2 is likely from Nintendo, but they are also likely to release some other idea. Nintendo console releases are highly variable. They have had a lot of major hits. They've had some flops. They are just making hay while the sun shines, and delaying a console release that might change the weather. I do wonder how many bad console releases Nintendo can get away with. I also am beginning to worry they don't have a great console concept prepared for the next generation.

htag··on What were the worst jobs for poor Romans in Ancient Rome?
One thing, it's ambiguous if they are speaking of only jobs inside the city, or any job in the republic/empire. It's also ambiguous if this is limited to jobs only performed by free individuals. Some things that didn't make the list.

* Free individuals sometimes became Gladiators

* While very clean for ancient standards, their sewage system required a lot of manual maintenance.

* We know sailors we subject to scurvy, which suggests they spent most of their time on ship and had very poor diets.

* Prostitution was legal.

* Without an understanding of germ theory, anyone dealing with very sick or dead individuals could be subject to poor health outcomes.

* Lots of work would have been extremely physically taxing by today's standards. Lifting heavy things. Farming with hand tools. Blacksmithing.

htag··on Steam Now Offers 90-Minute Game Trials
I'm very interested in how this interacts with Valve's standard policy of giving refunds for games you've played for less than two hours.

I suspect there will be more demo downloads, but fewer total (non-refunded) purchases with this modal. The question is where do you apply friction, before download or after 90 minutes of gameplay.

I'm also generally concerned with demo-hacking. Putting all the novelty in the first 90 minutes. Placing one large cliff hanger or achievement near the 90 minute mark. Building a starting place that takes just over 90 minutes to get out of. I do get the impression PC devs are aware of the 120 minute mark and try to make the first two hours strong. This lowers that bar.

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