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OpenAI’s biggest issue is that it has no moat. The product is a simple interface to a powerful model, and it seems likely that any lead they have in the power of the model can be quickly overcome should they decrease R&D.

The model is extremely simple to integrate and access - unlike something like Uber, where tons of complexity and logistics is hidden behind a simple interface, an easy interface to OpenAI’s model can truly be built in an afternoon.

The safety posturing is a red herring to try and get the government to build a moat for them, but with or without Altman it isn’t going to work. The tech is too powerful, and too easy to open source.

My guess is that in the long run the best generative AI models are built by government or academia entities, and commercialization happens via open sourcing.

There is no such thing as “once the code has been written”.

A passion project is great until the passionate project flounder moves on, then it’s unmaintainable junk.

The current behavior shows results for hurricane katrina, with a reasonably prominent link to search hurricane karina. Given (I’m assuming) is empirical evidence that the former was the intent a huge majority of the time, what’s unreasonable about this?

Claire Boucher, better known as Grimes and Elon Musk’s ex wife.

Some friends of mine built canoes to paddle down the Mississippi River that summer, and encountered these two. My friends said they were in way over their head on the river and were quite mean.

He’s an extremely prolific producer. I happened to watch The Other Two and Detroiters the other day, both produced by him. Tim Robinson from Detroiters went on to make I Think You Should Leave

The point isnt that 8 years is a reasonable lifespan for a generic car, rather that getting 8 years out of a car with early stage, novel tech is not so bad

They would need the warm body to explain the cold hard math anyways

The cost of the lockdowns was more than a missed party or two.

And the point of the study quoted above is that jurisdictions that did not implement lockdowns did not experience increased mortality

That there’s a generation of children who were speech delayed and under socialized during critical development years.

A pretty uncontroversial view among those who had kids or worked with kids during that time.

At least in the American context, it’s far from clear the lockdowns reduced mortality [1].

Adjusting for age/health Florida had similar mortality to California’s.

[1] https://www.mercurynews.com/2023/04/02/why-major-study-argue...

And for an informative, trustworthy driver rating, you’ll need staff to adjudicate disputes

Why is Minnesota less likely to succeed?

I’m unfamiliar with Nintendo’s product line and this example proves the point. If I were buying a DS for a kid I’d have no idea which one is the best.

I think it is supposed to be fun

Geographic subreddits are a poor mechanism to gauge sentiment of a city. Reddit itself is already a very skewed sample, and one does not need to actually live or visit the city to participate.

It's more impressive than many people think, but in context:

- The PS5 sales have been notoriously hampered by supply constraints

- The XBox numbers are considered to be a major disappointment [1]

- The Quest continues to be crushed by the Nintendo Switch, which counted selling 18m unites in a year to be a disappointing result of supply constraints [2]

[1] https://kotaku.com/xbox-series-x-s-sales-microsoft-next-gen-...

[2] https://www.cnbc.com/2023/05/09/nintendo-full-year-earnings-...

Curious if you have any links to support lower incidence of Parkinsons for smokers. I found this, which states that nicotine does not slow the disease once started: https://www.michaeljfox.org/news/nicotine-patch-not-benefici...

Not only this, but the features have rapidly transitioned from fancy features unique to Tesla to table stakes features of other manufacturers.

Sounds like Facebook’s problem, not mine.

It’s an incredibly condescending exercise, both to the managers (lol at a reduction of meeting time, is the assumption that managers go to meetings for fun?), and to the people who actually run support (who get to use already stretched resources to herd untrained, resentful managers).

Google’s products aren’t bad because the VP’s have lost the meaning of holding your customer dear. Maybe their senior managers are stuffed with former startup founders, all visionaries in their own minds, who collect big windfalls to join, play at empire building for a few years, then quit in a huff and blog about how it’s everyone else’s fault.

Indeed, and additionally the proposed fixes aren’t all that inspiring. Mandating every manager do a meaningless, symbolic one hour stint in customer support isn’t going to change anything.

It’s funny that he cites the Waze blog, which similarly gives the impression of a blameless author

Simple to use != simple to make is so often a hard fact to keep in mind when looking at these numbers

That’s regular season Lebron at 38, in games that matter he’s an excellent defender.

I still think that his last finals run with the Cavs is the most impressive basketball accomplishment I’ve ever seen. That supporting cast was mediocre to bad, and they came a JR Smith all time blunder from beating a super team.

Horizon Worlds is what Meta chose to showcase, so it’s pretty reasonable to draw the conclusion that it’s the best they can do right now.

The screenshots you’re talking about are of Zuckerberg trying to gin up enthusiasm for the product.

The insurmountable most is surrounding a space that doesn’t make any money. Apple may be investing in AR but they didn’t signal that they are betting the company on it

Is Pokemon GO still popular? My impression is that it was a fad that came and went.

Well, it's consumer hardware, how many hours do you expect people to log before they "get it?"

It's useful to hear the experience of casual testers, enthusiasts will praise the technical achievements, but that doesn't mean it's a good product.

I can sympathize with this attitude with things like a Slack clients, which are designed to run in the background, and which developers probably don’t have much choice over.

But there are plenty of lightweight IDE options. IntelliJ competes to be the most powerful IDE available. That implies using lots of compute resources for productivity gains that might be marginal or not even realized by all devs.

The strong typing system in Java means the recommendations and general code assistance is much more accurate and powerful than that if scripting languages

But you are willing to comment on one!