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jryle70

700 karma · joined July 31, 2013

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jryle70··on Initial effects of AI technology on employment look positive
It's handy-wavy because nobody knows how it will turn out and which new jobs will be created. In the same way as every predictions about AI bust, job lost, moat (or lack of it) is. If you feel confident about your predictions, don't.
jryle70··on An Alien Mind
No it isn't true. I'm saying so. Is what I said objectively true?
jryle70··on Your intellectual fly is open when you use an LLM to author a post (2025)
I'm way more articulated now than I've ever been, because in the past I didn't have to -- I never write a blog post -- but I've learned that well thought-out writing, with clear description, will produce better code.

The bottom line is, prompting is definitely writing.

jryle70··on OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra on ARC-AGI-3
That's the challenge of defining intelligence. What is intelligence?

Do you want to take a stab at defining/quantifying it? I'm s afraid anything specific you can come up with will also be useless.

jryle70··on The largest electric aircraft just flew [video]
So both can coexist? what's the issue? Why does HN waste energy on pointless pissing contests?
jryle70··on Qantas Airbus A380 engine failure in 2010 (2023)
An aviation thread with two utterly ignorant posts - [0]. Is that the aviation knowledge level of HN?

[0] - this one and https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49541946

jryle70··on Fable 5.1 World Modeling
Why don't you try to do it yourself with Fable and compare it with this one? Even with AI there are still a lot of work, knowledge, and gotchas involved. What's the point of such comment?
jryle70··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
That's wrong. US battery energy is growing faster than ever, not in small part thanks to the push by data centers.

https://www.siliconvalley.com/2026/09/01/us-battery-installs...

jryle70··on Nancy Grace Roman Space Telescope
> the president giving no bid contacts to incompetent donors

Are you talking about SLS?

Oh maybe you'd say that is "Senate Launch System", it's complicated, job program, 50 states sharing, and so on?

jryle70··on Actinide is first startup to produce high-assay low-enriched uranium (HALEU)
Why is it careless? and how do you know they didn't invest effort in the homepage, maybe even more with AI than if they didn't use it.

Plenty of human made websites with terrible graphics. We'd complain, but we wouldn't say the content is worthless because the art looks bad.

jryle70··on Sydney Marathon medal mistakenly depicts Munich stadium
It's easy to say behind the comfort of the keyboard. For a sport team to exist and survive, there are only a few options:

- Charge the fans more, revolt guaranteed, "forgetting the root, ungrateful" and all that.

- Merchandise. Now teams change jersey every year -- with home, away, 3rd jerseys. Game, practice, and many more variations.

- Beholden to the leagues. Premier League is prime example, or for a scandal see European Super League.

- Advertising. Well, you know how HN hate advertising.

- Sell out to the highest bidders. Red Bull, private equity (Liverpool, Arsenal, etc.)

- Find a sugar daddy. Oligarchs or nation states (Roman Abramovich's Chelsea, Manchester City, Paris Saint Germain, Newcastle)

Pick the least evils.

jryle70··on Sydney Marathon medal mistakenly depicts Munich stadium
If you release an open source software with GPL license that is just a wrapper of an MIT licensed library, and someone manages to misuse your software, should you be entitled to damages?
jryle70··on NanoGPT Speedrun Frontier
You should ask yourself how much it cost to train those open weight models, who foods the bills, for how much longer, and what's the catch.

HN has traditionally been very mindful of free products such as from Google and FB, yet seem to ignore those concerns when it comes to open weight LLM models, including FB's Muse Glimmer.

jryle70··on One night in Uzbekistan: Why was this one data point so influential?
Well, you can also use LLM to find issues, can't you? If it's quick to introduce an error, it's also quick to find and fix the error.
jryle70··on Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say
Huh? "Everyone hates us and the very fundamentals of what we are promising"

First of all everyone? Based on what?

Second of all "they hate our guts and the core of what we're doing (fundamentals), but they can't have enough of us". Are you sure the society (everyone) is that self loathe or HN is in a giant bubble?

AI clearly causes disruption, anxiety, uncertainty, and will be negative for certain groups, just like anything with major impacts in the history. But hate by everyone? people who consider themselves smart and well informed should really be more objective and level headed.

jryle70··on Anthropic IPO filing will show AI backlash as a risk factor, sources say
"Everyone hates us but they can't have enough of us. Our revenue can't stop rising"

Anthropic's credit line is now $10B - [0], and the IPO is expected to beat or match SpaceX - [1]

[0] https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/anthropic-p...

[1] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-20/anthropic...

jryle70··on Moderna reports first positive Phase 3 for mRNA neoantigen therapy in melanoma
150% increase is because it started from a low point. Moderna's stock lost 94% value after Covid. Stock price speaks to investors' enthusiasm, there is no algorithm.

> This phase 3 news so far is nothing more than a press release.

Can you find a case where a press release after phase 3 was later proven wrong? They do have the data, and most likely the data is positive. They're talking about FDA's approval as soon as late 2027, which is fairly soon.

Do you know what would be more dramatic than stock gaining 150%? that'd be the stock crashing if the press release turned out to be wrong. Follow the money if you are skeptical. See who's selling.

> The flashy 49% figures are from the old 157 only patient Phase 2, not this Phase 3 trial.

There are 1,100 patients in phase 3. More evidence that they're pretty confident.

This is great news.

jryle70··on Cerebras CS-4
Huh, why I'm not surprised that HN is full of opinions confidently stated without any numbers or resources to back up?

> built on both the insurmountable trillions of debt, and the assumption that only GPUs are all we need to continue scaling.

Insurmountable according to whom? And who assume that only GPUs are all we need to continue scaling? Google, Amazon, Microsoft, Meta and OpenAI, all have or plan custom non-GPU AI chips. Do they plan to use them not for scaling?

jryle70··on Claude Code May–August 2026 weekly limits promotion
Made up?

https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/accounting/r...

jryle70··on Claude Code May–August 2026 weekly limits promotion
Their revenue has increased dramatically. The run rate was 9B in Dec, 19B in Mar, 47B in May. It's now at 65B.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-08-17/anthropic...

jryle70··on Software Engineering fundamentals matter more
Show those known cases? When and which models?
jryle70··on AI has access to a vastly larger working memory than the human brain
Nobody knows what true "understanding" really entails, or what are "truly novel and unique things that are not just a rejiggering/recombination of training data". For the latter, you'd at least have to find an example in history of someone who came up with some idea that has been widely considered "truly novel" by experts, who didn't have any education or training, so no "rejiggering/recombination".
jryle70··on Thanks to social media, canned sardines are a scarcity on the supermarket shelf
That's why any attempt to ban advertising would only make it go more underground and harder to detect. No matter how strict the rules, people will find a way. Advertising is vital to competing businesses.
jryle70··on Grok 4.6 scores 61 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index
I can respect if you say you hate their guts. Everyone has their worldview. But over moral or ethical stand? You don't have any if you're using Chinese models, or fly Middle East airlines, or countless of other products. Don't delude yourself.
jryle70··on Bluesky's active user base is shrinking as its focus expands beyond the app
I'm sure you'll find it home right there
jryle70··on Go is an ideal language for AI-assisted software engineering
Interesting. Why is Oreos sold in over 100 countries and apparently sold very well?
jryle70··on Grok Bot
Have you ever been in sales?

If the requests are real there would never be 5 thousands, let alone 5 millions (or the vendor would count their lucky stars).

If they are spams that already happens today as well, at scale. AI bot would not change that.

The vendor will never blindly make a sample just based on a single request. There will be back and forth. Maybe require proof that the inquirer is serious.

Sending out RFP to 40 vendors isn't unusual.

jryle70··on Go is an ideal language for AI-assisted software engineering
Isn't that true? Prove them wrong.

(Someone who doesn't even eat cookie but heard a lot of praise of Oreo)

jryle70··on 70% of AI revenue comes from OpenAI and Anthropic [video]
> They cannot just stop and turn profitable like Uber.

Of course they can. They could just stop training new models and milk the existing ones. A billion users check in ChatGPT weekly. Software developers wouldn't stop using Codex.

OpenAI is not unlike any other startups who try to build their marketshare early on. No matter how much money they lose, they would be fine as long as they could raise more money than they spend. Uber is exactly the same. HN during 2015-2020 were full of comments predicting Uber's demise.

jryle70··on 70% of AI revenue comes from OpenAI and Anthropic [video]
Anyone who remotely pays attention to AI would know who DeepSeek is, given the shockwave it sent in early 2025, impacting the tech stocks. News was full of "Kimi moment" recently too.
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