Don't humans almost always extrapolate their present situation far out in the future?
2,671 karma · joined September 1, 2021
https://github.com/kevinloch/
Don't humans almost always extrapolate their present situation far out in the future?
There is a simple workaround for this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kahan_summation
It's usually only needed when adding billions of values together and the accumulated truncation errors would be at an unacceptable level.
The entire line of Metal tapes by TDK were awesome.
Then there was the mythical MA-XG which retailed for something like $20/tape in the 1990's. They go for $120 on eBay today https://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_from=R40&_trksid=m570.l1313... I did eventually buy two of them. I tested one (it lived up to the hype) and the other might still be unopened.
I would show my Dad copies of Wired back in 1993-1995. When I finally got him set up with email and Netscape his comment was:
"The magazine about the Internet is more interesting than the Internet itself!"
The legacy telcos were NOT fans of the early Internet. They didn't like packet switched networks, variable sized packets, and especially best-effort delivery. That is why they spent the next 10 years trying to force ATM on everyone. They also couldn't figure out how to efficiently bill for these modern services, even up to the iPhone launch in 2007! https://money.cnn.com/2007/08/23/technology/iphone_bill/
A common thread in these commercials is high bandwidth applications (impossibly high bandwidth by 1993 standards) that would generate hefty usage fees. These applications were seen as so impractical in 1993 that the commercials were sometimes derided as an "empty promises" campaign.
Most of it did come true however, though at this point we may be wishing some of it had not - sending a "fax" or "attending a meeting" from the beach for example.
Even worse, programs almost never handled this gracefully so if you were trying to save your work it was effectively lost and you might as well ctrl-alt-del, even if you had another disk or drive (already attached).
I'm not getting any younger so it's really about survivability. Transferring to another individual HN'er probably wouldn't solve that.
Personal non-code project: The first adult LEGO fan conference in 2000. While I got out of that business years ago it has been replicated by dozens of other annual cons around the world. Back then the LEGO group didn't really understand and was very weary of adult fans. Now there's a whole reality tv show about them with LEGO designers as the judges, and LEGO actively supports cons and clubs.
Open source project: A project I released anonymously ~2010. Several github repos (unrelated to me) keep this project alive (the main one has ~600 stars and ~200 forks) and it's apparently used in several commercial products too.
Website: ip4.me/ip6.me serves 3-5M queries per day. I want to find a good non-profit to take this over to keep it ad and javascript free forever.
This is one of the greatest scientific instruments ever produced, shouldn't it be named after an astronomer/astrophysicist? Shouldn't the scientists that worked on it for decades be the ones to pick the name?
They don't blur like a gaussian filter, they have two separate plates, one that spreads light horizontally and the other vertically, ideally by about 1.0 pixel radius in each direction. This results in "square-like" artifacts, especially if the filters spread by more than 1.5 pixels.
The artifacts are most noticeable in astronomy where there is a dramatic difference between the appearance of star fields with and without anti-aliasing filters.
I don't know how this effect works against film simulation but it probably doesn't help. If they are going to start with Gaussian blur anyway, then using a camera with the antis-aliasing filters removed might help.
Not under the Zoo hypothesis: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Zoo_hypothesis
About 10 years ago I switched overnight from a very meat heavy diet to mostly plant based (I still eat dairy products and one or two servings of fish per week).
Within a week I was shocked at how well my digestive tract was suddenly working. Before that I had no idea how broken it was.
All other factors aside, I could never go back to the slow, uncomfortable digesting process of a typical USA meat heavy diet.
And If ZFS, what options are you using?
Just thousands? I would expect 100k years at a minimum and even that is only .0007% of the age of the universe. Millions or Billions of years more advanced is not out of the question.
It would be interesting to see how similar technology is among such advanced civilizations, even if they did not compare notes. Does technology eventually converge to the same optimal devices in each civilization?
Given our current extremely primitive state (only about a hundred years of useful electronics) I would be disappointed if we could even imagine what this technology looks like.
Of course a good photographer will tell you great photographs have little to do with the camera/lens and everything to do with lighting, framing, subject etc but still...
At first it seems like the author got this prediction horribly wrong, except almost everyone does have one or more social media accounts which is the modern equivalent.
An intermediate improvement might be a small/lightweight rubidium clock synced to GPS to improve stability for when GPS is unavailable to the satellite.
One example that will make any physicist bang their head on their desk:
3 * l_P / alpha_em^2 = 9.10543E-31 m
Which is within 4.3E-4 of the numerical value of the electron mass in KG except the formula has units of meters not kilograms so it's complete nonsense.
l_P = Planck length
alpha_em = "fine structure constant"This reminds me of something my dad would say when I was a little kid afraid of lightning.
He would say “By the time you hear the thunder you have already survived”