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loeg

27,248 karma · joined October 24, 2011

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loeg··on Retirement Savings Are Fueling the AI Bubble
They should impoverish their retirees by like 10x in order to avoid having a distribution of retirement results in the 8-12x range? Conservative investments lag even the worst-case equity investment result over any significant, retirement-relevant time range.
loeg··on Retirement Savings Are Fueling the AI Bubble
All I'm getting at is that EV matters. Putting a bunch of chips on the roulette table has high risk, but negative EV -- it's a terrible investment. Loading up on risk is not inherently EV-positive.
loeg··on Retirement Savings Are Fueling the AI Bubble
There is, but the presumption in that argument is that those risky bets bring higher returns. If that assumption is invalid, the argument falls apart. (I'm not especially confident myself that private credit can actually bring higher returns over a long time horizon.)
loeg··on Retirement Savings Are Fueling the AI Bubble
The language the author uses there obfuscates rather than clarifies. 401(k) holders can choose to invest in private credit, but it is never going to be the default investment option, and they control that choice. (Unlike public employees, who typically have no control over how their pension savings are invested.)
loeg··on Retirement Savings Are Fueling the AI Bubble
Market neutral index fund investment can not be accurately described as fueling a bubble, though. You're neither bullish nor bearish on Mag7 in particular.
loeg··on Tim Peters has died
And typing wasn't explicit for a long time. Now it is kind of best practice, but you can still produce Python without typecheck metadata.
loeg··on Tim Peters has died
I learned about Timsort and used it in a class as a student long ago. RIP.
loeg··on Tracking Anthropic-discovered vulnerabilities
> But right now they’re not even offering one. They’re just putting the burden on the project without even trying to help fix it.

> They have all the resources in the world, and they won’t even try.

You sure about that?

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50448558

loeg··on Tracking Anthropic-discovered vulnerabilities
> Anthropic needs to teach their systems to propose a fix too. Detecting a coding problem and proposing a patch is what we should expect from a company with supposedly the best coding LLM.

Of course it's trivial to have an LLM generate a fix, too. They probably do. It doesn't mean a project (1) wants to take an LLM-generated fix at all, or (2) can immediately commit an LLM-generated fix without review (which takes time).

loeg··on Muse Ember: Our smallest, most efficient model
We don't know how many parameters the closed Meta models have, so what are you comparing this number against?
loeg··on Going back two years on Hacker News is like entering another, better universe
We get closer every year.
loeg··on What is malloc doing, anyway?
Hyperscalars are also experiencing DRAM scarcity, FWIW.
loeg··on What is malloc doing, anyway?
This is mostly describing a kind of obsolete allocator that uses the brk to adjust a single contiguous heap range. This is basically irrelevant with virtual memory and mmap. The good malloc impls (jemalloc, mimalloc) don't do this.
loeg··on Muse Ember: Our smallest, most efficient model
Spark Open was just October. Give it time. https://research.meta.ai/blog/muse-spark-open
loeg··on Libghostty 1.0
What's better, an apple or an orange?
loeg··on Libghostty 1.0
This is so fuckin' cool.
loeg··on Democrats launching congressional investigations into SpaceXAI, META and Apple
Having immigration enforcement is legitimate and not illegal. Hosting an app related to legitimate government function in an app store is so far removed from any possible element of a real crime...
loeg··on Democrats launching congressional investigations into SpaceXAI, META and Apple
Should your political enemies be selectively prosecuted, though?
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
Yep.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
> are dedicated winter tires obsolete?

No -- they're still superior to all-weather tires in snow and ice. If you get a lot of that, they may be worthwhile. E.g., https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8K8ThRGNaoM

Spreadsheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Smk69SCu5WrI3yRd_FO6...

loeg··on You'll need nerves of steel to work with AI agents
A lot.
loeg··on You'll need nerves of steel to work with AI agents
Idk how you are running out of budget so fast. My usage is basically unrestricted tokenmaxxing ("/goal", flagship models at xhigh reasoning, etc) and my monthly burn is single digit thousands of dollars (maybe ~$350/day). Granted, my employer foots the bill so I don't care at all. But the return-per-spend is easily worthwhile and I'm not worried about the cost at these ratios.

Nerves of steel? Not even close.

I think 90% of the article is the author complaining about (predictably) bad small-model behavior. The large models are much better!

loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
No, the FB engine still has gasket and oil burn issues.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
It's orthogonal to the M+S rating. You can get a 3PMSF stamp without M+S.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
I think GP is talking about dedicated winter tires, which wear quickly and have poor performance in conditions above 45F. "All-weather" tires like CC2s are designed for and must tolerate year-round use.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
WA defines "traction tires" as M+S OR All-Season, with no requirement for 3PMSF (yes, it's dumb). CC2s meet all of those criteria (I use them too).
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
I think you're right that they think the cost to administer it might not be worthwhile.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
I don't think anyone runs summer tires here unless they also have a winter set. Most people run "all"-seasons (non-3PMSF).
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
Right.
loeg··on Jailbreaking my car's navigation system just so I can change the time
It kinda feels like insurers should give you a discount for running good/great tires. It's such a safety benefit. The externality of crappy tires isn't captured in their sale price.
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