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meowfly

835 karma · joined August 5, 2017

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meowfly··on Sam Bankman-Fried Asks for 6 Year Prison Term
I agree. If we want harsh sentences to act as deterrents, I struggle to believe 30-40 years isn't viscerally similar to 100 years.

We don't want people thinking, I can steal a billion and if I'm caught get out in my 30s.

When you give 100 year sentences, I'm not sure what you are doing other than feeding the public's vengeance.

meowfly··on Wendy's Wants to Start Uber-Like Surge Pricing in 2025
Wendy's doing this almost seems predatory. They know people will show up and not pay attention to the prices.

I do, however, like the idea of surge pricing for sit-down restaurants. If restaurant prices raised to guarantee available seats (like hotel rooms), there are plenty of instances where I would pay a premium to eat near an event I'm attending.

meowfly··on Yishan Wong: "Google's Gemini issue is not about woke/DEI"
Sorry. I wasn't claiming Elon made Twitter more appealing, but rather was trying to point out that when management changed so did the bias.

I realize my poor grammar made it difficult to fully capture what I was trying to say.

My core argument is that I have now seen twice what looks like Yishan making excuses for moderation decisions that fall outside most people's discourse window.

I also am not making claims about what makes more money. It could possibly be true that people with a particular political pursuasion are more likely to convert.

meowfly··on Yishan Wong: "Google's Gemini issue is not about woke/DEI"
Yishan did this same sleight of hand trick with twitter before Elon bought it[1]. Then his point was that twitter doesn't have a bias, it's simply a normal moderation problem (noise-signal ratio). Now that twitter is owned by Elon, everyone can see it obviously moved right.

What normies are fairly noticing in these corps is moderating not by the overton window of the normal consumer, but by the overton window of the managerial class who run the business.

1. https://twitter.com/yishan/status/1586955288061452289

meowfly··on Why Don't We Teach People How to Parent?
I think this is generally good advice. I'd be a bit careful though and add that some people who will make fine parents are poor dog owners. They don't think of the dog as part of the family/pack and the dog ends up in the backyard alone its whole life.

Having a dog can also be cumbersome if you are renting, because you will pay a premium to ensure your future apartment is dog friendly.

At my local Humane Society most young dogs seem to get adopted quickly. Senior dogs or dogs with health problems have a hard time.

I think anyone who wants to get a puppy should be willing to re-home as soon as possible instead of crating or banishing their dog because it's misbehaving (or you don't want them on your furniture).

Certain dog breeds (e.g Dachshunds) are really easy to re-home because there are rescues dedicated to them. Seems like my local shelter is usually full of pits and lab mixes.

meowfly··on How Will the Golden Age of "Making It Worse" End?
I agree with you, but it's also worth noting that Boeing is one of the "too big to fail" industries tightly coupled to the government. It's too valuable to the DoD to let fail.

There are several industries (microchips have recently become one) where finance has figured out the normal rules around competition don't matter. Boeing can capture the upside and there is virtually zero risk of bankruptcy or being nationalized from mistakes.

meowfly··on "Sugar Alcohols Ruined My Health: Learn from My Mistakes" [video]
"Ruined" is a bit clickbait. It doesn't sound like she suffers any long term consequences aside from having to cut out sugar alcohols.
meowfly··on Add oil
JiaYou doesn't translate well. When I was learning Chinese, sometimes it sounds sarcastic when translated directly.

Like you are joking about how you are going to die from being too busy 忙死 and the speaker responds "add oil". Their actual intent is to say "I believe you can succeed"

meowfly··on A few words about Blameless culture
Quality is obviously a thing your team should care about, but quality is also a process problem. If an individual continually produces poor quality than the "process" should fix it via not merging their code or pip or something else.

What we are avoiding here is a CEO asking, "What caused the outage" and your manager responds "Bill wrote some code that caused a deadlock". It's possible Bill is working on fragile parts of the system, or writes most of the code. Blame at an individual level for an incident is unhelpful and, as OP points out, possibly creates a team with worse delivery incentives.

meowfly··on We Need Taiwan
> So it sorta seems like they both agree on 'One China', but not who should be running it.

"ROC claims the mainland" only exists because any change from the status quo would look like declaring independence. It's not taken seriously in Taiwan.

meowfly··on Security Vulnerability of Switzerland's E-Voting System
I think you make a good point. Purely from the public trust perspective, paper and pencil seems so simple it makes people trust the system is secure. If the claim is it's cryptographically impossible for this system to be cheated, most of us would still have to trust the experts making those claims.

However, it's beyond simply the public needing simple systems; the number of experts that would be required to lie about the certainty of a system is low enough that you really do create a less secure system. Paper ballots are harder to cheat because the systems scale in a way that you require more people in on the heist, which is the hardest part of any scam.

meowfly··on What does friendship look like in America?
My hunch is that all your moving doesn't help. I'm a similar age and it feels impossible to make new friends. Virtually all my current inner circle are friends from ~20 years from High School and College.

It's much easier to lose friends then gain them. So as people marry, have kids, move, keeping the close allyship becomes more difficult.

The kinds of activities most US 30+ adults are open to are relatively small and easily prone to be disrupted. For example, I might invite someone to watch a basketball game, but it will take a fairly long time for that kind of contact to blossom into a strong friendship. Moving just resets everything.

Also consider I would never call up a coworker I might have known for years and invite to something more personal, like a ski vacation. If I was in college, I wouldn't think twice about doing that with someone I didn't even know that well.

meowfly··on The U.S. birth rate has fallen by 20% since 2007
The rates don't matter here because the overhanging threat of divorce is what sways someone from having children.

I'm a DINK myself; I've watched the complexity of my friend's divorce with children and I perceive it as more evidence I've made a good decision.

meowfly··on Tech CEO applauds an employee selling their dog to accommodate return-to-office
I was never claiming pets should come to the office.

I am saying it's not signaling wealth or virtue to take care of your pet. Some people really love their animals, and are willing to part with their money for them. Using your example, I would never begrudge someone spending lots of money on their family either.

It seems you don't like pets, and that's OK. It's also OK for other people to love their pets even if it doesn't make sense. It doesn't have to be signaling.

meowfly··on Tech CEO applauds an employee selling their dog to accommodate return-to-office
Or... Perhaps people love and feel responsible for their pets?

This problem doesn't seem new to me. Startups letting people bring their dogs to work was a benefit before remote.

meowfly··on Men paying to have their jaws broken in the name of ‘manliness’
This article was very click baity. Supposedly tech workers are getting invasive cosmetic surgery because they look at themselves all day on Zoom. The author highlights an insecure man who says he was border line suicidal. The reader is left believing that fringe online culture is making young men engage in drastic surgeries to be chad like.

Here is an alternate hypothesis: People with expendable income, or the insecure, are paying for cosmetic surgery just like they always have.

meowfly··on Rupert Murdoch Lies at the Heart of Democracy's Destruction Worldwide
I agree with the conclusion but Thom Hartmann is a regular contributor for Common Dreams. This article isn't particularly enlightening or interesting. I'm struggling to see what makes it worth posting here. It kind of feels like Reddit content.
meowfly··on America and China are preparing for a war over Taiwan
I've been pretty skeptical of an invasion scenario. It's never made sense to me, because Taiwan is so close to the Mainland. If Taiwan wanted to, they could do an immense amount of damage to valuable infrastructure. When this is posited online to a Chinese audience, it seems people believe that they would never do that because China would annihilate the country.

My take is that China just plans to harass Taiwan. Last week it's believed China cut internet cables. We might continue to see China escalate until they start creating real economic damage (i.e an embargo).

This military build up is to make the US more hesitant to get involved in behaviors that don't quite warrant a war, but are severe enough to start pressuring Taiwan for concessions.

This whole situation is honestly pretty scary still, because it relies on no miscalculations. My own take is I blame Xi. Past presidents, like Obama, are often blamed for their weak stance against China, but many don't realize Hu Jin Tao was an entirely different leader. All the NYTimes articles about China joining the global order seemed far more reasonable, because Hu was very pro-globalization and no where close to as nationalistic. The KMT (Taiwan's pro-China party), was much stronger when China was run by Hu.

Recently Xi has broken convention and is in his third term. He has through anti-corruption campaigns and politicking filled the politburo with his people. There was a brief belief that post-covid, the country would pivot, however that now looks unlikely. China and America are going to have a tumultuous half-decade at-least.

meowfly··on Denmark’s Welfare State Became a Surveillance Nightmare
My brother works for a non-profit that distributes HIV drugs to the homeless. The biggest issue he has is that people will stop taking meds and disappear. They try to bribe them to come back with gift cards. He's expressed how valuable it would be if we could track these persons, but that it would be politically untenable.

To me, it seems society should have some ability to do this for the sake of public health, however I also understand not wanting to wanting to grant this kind of power to the state, even if we are trading it for welfare.

meowfly··on 90% of Kidnappings in São Paulo result from dates on Tinder and similar apps
This is often referred to as the tea shop scam. The girl doesn't have to be "too good to be true".

It's often just someone who appears friendly and speaks English. They might tell you they are a student looking to practice.

In China, and really anywhere, it's sadly best to not respond to anyone approaching you.

meowfly··on WHO: No level of alcohol consumption is safe for our health
You could say the same thing about coffee.

There is a reason nicotine is addictive and popular. It's mildly enjoyable.

UK's old drug czar, David Nutt, got in trouble for calling alcohol Britain's most dangerous drug.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-11660210

meowfly··on Contracts you should never sign
For sure. I sort of get the company not wanting spend money to sign me and then I immediately quit.

The relocation management company racked up a bill I would have never incurred if I allocated the money myself.

meowfly··on Contracts you should never sign
The only time I've been burned by my contract is from relocation expenses. I went to a company to take a job and not long into it a reorg moved me to a different team. I left the company and they demanded I pay back my relocation expenses. When I protested that they changed my role to something not what I was expecting, I was told that according to my contract it doesn't matter. The temporary housing I was put in was very expensive despite the fact I hated it. Luckily, my balance was paid as part of a signing bonus by my new company.

My lesson here was: Never take a relocation package that has the company sorting your housing and travel, just ask for a large signing bonus instead.

meowfly··on Japan has changed in important and visible ways
I share a bit of that experience when trying to make Chinese friends. The first place I lived was with a family who had a son around my age. He was solely interested in practicing English but he had virtually no life outside of school.

I moved into a foreign students dorm and most of my classmates were Korean and Japanese, but I spoke to them in Chinese. The friend I hung out with the most was Korean and I didn't feel like there was a gap in hobbies. We had a group that would go out and play pool, drink soju, and sing KTV. I never had good opportunities to meet and hangout with other Chinese students. When people go to bars, they really don't go and socialize with others. Socializing is usually contained to the group you are in.

I think I'd say though there is still a big advantage in just being able to converse with taxi drivers, retail workers, etc. People are pretty chatty because westerners speaking Chinese is kind of novel. It is a great way to better understand what I consider a fairly misunderstood country.

meowfly··on Japan has changed in important and visible ways
Going to China for that long and not trying to learn Mandarin is a misstep. Chinese is spoken by a lot of people, but spoken fluency isn't that high. Moreover, outside of the major cities, you will meet very few English speakers.

Where I lived, Shanghai, there was a western community that essentially interacted with each other in their enclaves and never developed any meaningful relationships outside maybe dating someone who was Chinese. In Shanghai at least you can get along just fine without learning the language, but you will miss out on so much because most people around you can't hold conversations in English.

meowfly··on Pope Francis Says Homosexuality Is Not a Crime
I'm not a Catholic, but I thought Jesus was pretty explicit that the [state and the religion are separate. ](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Render_unto_Caesar)

The interesting part of this article, IMO, is that Pope Francis believes it's also the church's responsibility to undo laws against homosexuality.

meowfly··on Who pays for your rewards? Redistribution in the credit card market [pdf]
Banks still occasionally shutdown customers who follow the rules but are grossly unprofitable.

My point is, I think the banks actually want churners for the reasons I mentioned.

meowfly··on Who pays for your rewards? Redistribution in the credit card market [pdf]
Banks seem to be OK giving cards to known churners. It should be trivial to figure out. My theory is it's either because the marketing department is happy to show off the success of their campaign, or that the banks are leveraging the high credit scores of churners to reduce the risk on-paper of customers with lower credit scores.
meowfly··on The Scandal of Financial Nihilism
I think you are right.

The WSB crowd mocks r/investing because a 50 year timeline optimally turns 10k into 220k (not enough to be rich). With options you can do half that overnight.

However, options lose in most cases. With options pretty much everyone who uses them will have the experience of a loss even though their theory is confirmed. For example Tesla misses sales and the stock price goes up. The fact that the miss was priced in, makes it feel like retail investing is simply there to be shaken down in the same way a casino has a house edge.

"Don't fight the fed" has been a better slogan than "Diversify in stocks with dividends and good fundamentals"

meowfly··on Programmer salaries in the age of LLMs
It does seem to me a lawyer's pedigree is as important as the types of arguments they bring to the case.

I imagine this bias exists because law schools are a dime a dozen, and lawyers have created another form of gatekeeping to augment their licensing rules.

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