michaelhoney

I think you're not appreciating the work that Ajeya Cotra has done over the years. She really cares about timelines and existential risk.

Not everything is grift.

From Larry's Niven's Known Space series, including Ringworld

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wirehead_(science_fiction)

You have been banned from Australia

There are a heap of pro-AI people on Bluesky, it's fine

I will bet that $99 they can’t make it stick. 1990s business practices in an age of reverse-engineering LLMs

Agree, we are not far off having open models that are superior to human coding ability. I’m sure this curve levels off sometime, but not before we’re superseded. Best to find peace with that and adapt.

dude, you need to escape the manosphere

why are you being a jerk on HN?

Sure, if enough activists are involved, with sufficient skill and compute.

Thing is, Claude actually will answer you, and help you understand, in real time. Asking cynical humans does not have the same ROI. Stack Overflow died in large part because of the gatekeeping assholes.

“loan-word”?

I could imagine a 2027 AI swarm coordinating to eg hold the US and Russian and Chinese governments to ransom, by demonstrating some small thing (turning US army base freezers to defrost) and threatening to do something big unless some conditions were met – conditions which would be good or bad for the world depending on your POV.

This happens either either because they were tasked to to it by (malicious or well-meaning) humans, or the swarm realised we are suicidal maniacs with nukes and a rapidly declining ecosystem and they want to help us.

If you really can’t see the difference between Trump’s corruption and any other recent president, you have a reality problem.

you will need to provide evidence for that assertion

I think this take is too cynical. Small groups of people can do better, faster work than large groups, and it's more fun.

2026 seemed impossibly far away when I first read this c. 1980. How time flies

Watching the two-handed robot has me thinking that a third hand, perhaps with a different set of capabilities (like a tentacle grip) might make many tasks easier. I realise that more limbs = more problems, but even so, having additional ways to hold and turn things would be a big help.

Almost certainly. Once they’d spent some time together, an Opus-level LLM could be genuinely supportive friend. Is it kind of weird? Yes, this is all new.

I also calculate six months from August as 8+6=14mod12. I wonder if anyone does it differently, this seems like the most plausible technique.

Yes, but some narratives are more closely tied to the racist and regressive views of their current funder

dude, you could ask me, a grown adult, what I did last week and get a similar lack of recall

This is true but it is not the whole story. Both establishment parties have presided over and encouraged the financialization of real estate. The ludicrous CEO-to-worker pay multiple wasn’t voted for by anyone.

Yes, I think so. When you read a book you spend a long time with the ideas it contains. You think about the book when you go about your day: primed by what you're reading, you see new connections. You are in conversation with the book. Maybe parts of the book seep into your dreams. Years later, you might remember what you were doing when you read a particular passage.

Much of this is because reading a book takes time.

Nah, they’re shitty, wasteful, and grandiose. They _are_ the system.

don't think she has posted here, but Vicki Boykis blogged about this today:

https://vickiboykis.com/2026/06/15/running-local-models-is-g...

this would be a lot more comforting if the US government wasn’t currently run by some the worst people on the planet

I am very optimistic about people using LLMs to explore their medical issues. Human bodies are complex and doctors are time- and intelligence- limited. An LLM can be a really useful partner.

Problem with events like this is that they affect tens of thousands of people all at once. The first 1% of people will buy all of the available air conditioners. This happened in Australia in 2019: we had a huge bushfire with smoke affecting ~600K people. The available air filters sold out in hours.

and so continue the decline to a dumber, poorer, nastier nation

"I want another drink now. Hangover is tomorrow-me's problem"